Well-Lit-Emphasis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-23 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

65% 97% +$12

Sports

17% 95% -$4

Politics

8% 100% +$2

Crypto

4% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No		-10	-$10	98¢	$-10	+$0	09-23 12:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$1	05-25 02:13
Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	05-28 05:04
highest temperature in miami on march 20 2026 80 81f	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-20 16:51
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 20	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	03-19 22:54
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	2	$45	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 06:47
will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	2	$43	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 19:11
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 35c	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-18 11:26
highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 13c	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	03-16 06:37
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	2	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	03-31 13:49
secret lives of mormon wives season 5 cancelled by april 15	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-15 21:29
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-29 19:40
highest temperature in wellington on march 18 2026 18c	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-17 21:38
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 28c	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-16 14:00
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	05-31 05:19
north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	03-31 22:33
will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-29 15:20
nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	2	$33	21	21	+0	Bulls	-$8	03-11 04:29
highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 88 89f	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-16 20:56
solana above 100 on july 3 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-02 16:07
lol gen dnf 2026 04 23 game1	1	$33	33	0	+33	Gen.G	+$0	04-23 10:39
will mrbeasts video get between 81 and 82 million views on day 6	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	04-23 16:36
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-26 00:52
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-15 01:12
will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-26 02:17
will hungarian two tailed dog party magyar ktfark kutya prt mkkp win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-12 20:10
ethereum above 2200 on june 17 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-15 09:03
nyc mayor of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-27 10:02
will larry page be 3rd richest person on march 31	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:59
will gerb sds win 70 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	04-19 23:15
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-24 23:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 12:06:46	Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2af4cc…
07-25 12:01:00	will gas hit 2pt50 low by july 31 20260630204749457	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x32f0d3…
07-02 16:07:37	solana above 100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x96458c…
06-29 19:40:25	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x362421…
06-29 14:54:34	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb1ab2e…
06-25 13:51:47	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4c4c6e…
06-24 23:37:47	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0a9de9…
06-15 09:03:18	ethereum above 2200 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8fcf4c…
06-15 01:12:55	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x1827f2…
06-14 06:45:09	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2cfd15…
05-31 05:19:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x875e10…
05-30 18:12:07	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xf6fde2…
05-28 05:04:27	Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x2a7374…
05-25 02:13:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x8f018d…
05-23 18:48:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x6bd5fd…
04-26 00:52:20	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x9459c2…
04-23 16:36:20	will mrbeasts video get between 81 and 82 million views on day 6	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xd6d6b1…
04-23 10:39:34	lol gen dnf 2026 04 23 game1	Gen.G	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4250c2…
04-21 04:07:38	cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 40 59	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd6e79f…
04-19 23:15:14	will gerb sds win 70 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xbcdbbe…
04-18 19:38:20	will gerb sds win 70 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x6da66c…
04-15 21:29:10	secret lives of mormon wives season 5 cancelled by april 15	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1bcb1d…
04-14 00:00:13	secret lives of mormon wives season 5 cancelled by april 15	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x61213c…
04-12 23:30:47	will the democratic coalition dk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b373e…
04-12 20:10:59	will hungarian two tailed dog party magyar ktfark kutya prt mkkp win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbd2db3…
04-11 00:00:23	will hungarian two tailed dog party magyar ktfark kutya prt mkkp win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x3ed619…
04-11 00:00:21	will the democratic coalition dk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7c152…
04-09 00:01:01	will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x14a39c…
04-07 09:21:15	khamenei of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 15 19	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x4abc44…
04-06 06:47:13	will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x07ce25…
04-05 00:13:07	will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 11	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xc2fd38…
03-31 22:33:01	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf9b32f…
03-31 13:49:51	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1e65a6…
03-31 04:59:27	will larry page be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xecf6aa…
03-30 07:38:28	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xaeacc6…
03-30 01:03:42	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 31	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x085471…
03-30 00:05:16	will larry page be 3rd richest person on march 31	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x0f23d7…
03-29 15:20:16	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe3814b…
03-28 03:57:25	will heather mcpherson win the canadian ndp leadership election	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xdb5efc…
03-27 10:02:07	nyc mayor of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xdd3cb7…
03-26 16:56:45	nyc mayor of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 40 59	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xba2841…
03-26 02:17:53	will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x168376…
03-25 18:00:19	will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x877d84…
03-23 00:03:23	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 28	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf643a5…
03-20 16:51:41	highest temperature in miami on march 20 2026 80 81f	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2b5f7b…
03-19 22:54:49	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 20	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x9e1873…
03-19 12:00:41	highest temperature in miami on march 20 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x45d8c3…
03-19 03:00:35	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 20	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xed7c9f…
03-18 16:26:41	highest temperature in milan on march 18 2026 15c	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x54a7b1…
03-18 13:49:15	highest temperature in ankara on march 19 2026 12corhigher	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x7a5bb0…
03-18 11:26:23	highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 35c	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x569887…
03-18 10:50:49	highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 35c	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xc9f606…
03-17 21:38:29	highest temperature in wellington on march 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xbb5704…
03-17 19:11:35	will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xb785c6…
03-17 12:55:55	highest temperature in wellington on march 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd20584…
03-16 20:56:25	highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 88 89f	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x41b026…
03-16 19:48:21	will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x383490…
03-16 15:52:11	will jurassic world rebirth be the 2 global netflix movie this week 347	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1ba72d…
03-16 14:00:47	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 28c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb8de7e…
03-16 06:37:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 13c	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x07550b…
03-16 03:37:39	highest temperature in shanghai on march 16 2026 13c	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd7e663…
03-16 03:37:39	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 28c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x82b4f8…
03-16 03:37:35	highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x37cdf9…
03-14 01:57:35	nba phx tor 2026 03 13	Raptors	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3849b7…
03-11 04:29:31	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Warriors	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x90094d…
03-11 04:15:59	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Warriors	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xcc5961…
03-10 04:28:49	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3b069c…
03-09 03:20:19	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1c1ebe…
03-09 00:02:47	nba det mia 2026 03 08	Heat	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x626d47…
03-07 22:21:01	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Magic	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x789bb3…
03-06 03:19:53	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Timberwolves	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xee0d45…
03-05 02:35:19	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x35d89a…
03-04 02:15:03	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb8e3e6…
03-02 03:34:51	nba phi bos 2026 03 01	Celtics	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x64b228…
03-02 01:08:37	nba por atl 2026 03 01	Hawks	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5d872c…
03-01 22:58:35	nba cle bkn 2026 03 01	Cavaliers	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x951dab…
02-28 20:16:21	nba por cha 2026 02 28	Hornets	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7c151e…
02-27 02:32:04	nba was atl 2026 02 26	Hawks	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa17ab4…
02-27 01:53:48	nba cha ind 2026 02 26	Hornets	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x038bf4…
02-19 00:00:44	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 6 be less than 50	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcd2e64…
02-19 00:00:44	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 6 be between 80 and 90	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x481650…
02-19 00:00:40	will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 20	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbc48de…
02-16 17:53:07	highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 64forhigher	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbd2d1a…
02-16 11:08:07	highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 64forhigher	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc4051a…
02-15 18:54:23	highest temperature in dallas on february 15 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6b3c59…
02-15 09:19:31	highest temperature in dallas on february 15 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x24574a…
02-14 16:54:37	highest temperature in atlanta on february 14 2026 56 57f	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9adbb6…
02-14 06:49:07	highest temperature in dallas on february 14 2026 64 65f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf33a62…
02-14 00:59:35	highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 6c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4c2be1…
02-13 19:08:39	highest temperature in buenos aires on february 13 2026 31c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x065d85…
02-13 12:41:41	highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 6c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa51ccb…
02-13 12:41:41	highest temperature in atlanta on february 14 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2cf8f4…
02-13 12:01:21	highest temperature in dallas on february 14 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd26808…
02-13 07:18:25	highest temperature in buenos aires on february 13 2026 31c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f2f4a…
02-12 03:05:31	nba por min 2026 02 11	Timberwolves	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3374f…
02-12 02:15:31	nba atl cha 2026 02 11	Hornets	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x61ff02…
02-08 22:15:47	nba ind tor 2026 02 08	Raptors	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x43a56e…
02-08 01:17:01	nba dal sas 2026 02 07	Spurs	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x043c43…
01-25 11:51:36	highest temperature in miami on january 25 76 77f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8cfb74…
01-25 02:19:22	highest temperature in dallas on january 24 34 35f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf126f6…