Incredible-Initial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

615

lifetime

Volume

$2.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-03 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% $-4

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	06-03 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	3	$13	14	5	+9	open	—	05-26 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 00:49
btc updown 5m 1780532100	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-31 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-01 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 22:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 10:29:35	wta bencic kalinsk 2026 07 03 first set winner Bencic vs Kalinskaya	Kalinskaya	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x46a425…
06-30 14:10:32	btc updown 5m 1782828600	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb08449…
06-30 14:10:22	btc updown 5m 1782828600	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd849dd…
06-30 03:37:47	btc updown 5m 1782790500	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x301351…
06-30 03:37:37	btc updown 5m 1782790500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x42dcb6…
06-28 21:45:11	btc updown 5m 1782683100	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb5f535…
06-28 21:45:02	btc updown 5m 1782683100	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x549409…
06-25 00:09:14	btc updown 5m 1782345900	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe5a22d…
06-25 00:09:05	btc updown 5m 1782345900	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x03440d…
06-24 20:33:23	btc updown 5m 1782333000	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x54d8d1…
06-24 20:23:14	btc updown 5m 1782332400	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x634e64…
06-24 20:22:40	btc updown 5m 1782332400	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xac1160…
06-24 20:19:05	btc updown 5m 1782332100	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xeb6fab…
06-24 20:17:34	btc updown 5m 1782332100	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1ac121…
06-24 20:13:55	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2fca2b…
06-24 20:13:08	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x682f8f…
06-24 19:23:13	btc updown 5m 1782328800	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x45fd35…
06-24 19:22:41	btc updown 5m 1782328800	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x44b3ce…
06-24 18:48:26	btc updown 5m 1782326700	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa4d527…
06-24 18:48:07	btc updown 5m 1782326700	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9ab691…
06-24 18:34:25	btc updown 5m 1782325800	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xfdae2b…
06-24 18:33:25	btc updown 5m 1782325800	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x455b8d…
06-24 18:18:22	btc updown 5m 1782324900	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x2920dd…
06-24 18:18:05	btc updown 5m 1782324900	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfe26b4…
06-24 18:12:55	btc updown 5m 1782324600	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xdef2c5…
06-24 18:12:34	btc updown 5m 1782324600	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x18f5b5…
06-24 18:04:29	btc updown 5m 1782324000	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x7eb2da…
06-24 18:03:05	btc updown 5m 1782324000	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1e8572…
06-24 17:58:32	btc updown 5m 1782323700	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x13c77a…
06-24 17:58:17	btc updown 5m 1782323700	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9826d9…
06-24 17:53:26	btc updown 5m 1782323400	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x98c967…
06-24 17:52:41	btc updown 5m 1782323400	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x76a490…
06-24 16:17:37	btc updown 5m 1782317700	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xddac09…
06-24 15:52:53	btc updown 5m 1782316200	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x2f3a6b…
06-24 15:52:35	btc updown 5m 1782316200	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x74482b…
06-24 14:12:49	btc updown 5m 1782310200	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xe71611…
06-24 14:12:38	btc updown 5m 1782310200	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xea3705…
06-24 14:03:08	btc updown 5m 1782309600	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x44cd13…
06-24 14:02:44	btc updown 5m 1782309600	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x90101c…
06-24 13:33:13	btc updown 5m 1782307800	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x1bd0a1…
06-24 13:32:53	btc updown 5m 1782307800	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3fab4f…
06-24 13:27:55	btc updown 5m 1782307500	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x562828…
06-24 13:27:38	btc updown 5m 1782307500	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x04583d…
06-24 08:04:05	btc updown 5m 1782288000	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x767956…
06-24 08:03:22	btc updown 5m 1782288000	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb69fef…
06-24 07:03:44	btc updown 5m 1782284400	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xfbb3b7…
06-24 07:02:35	btc updown 5m 1782284400	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3656b7…
06-24 02:38:20	btc updown 5m 1782268500	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe6ae10…
06-24 02:04:35	btc updown 5m 1782266400	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xc00a17…
06-24 02:03:56	btc updown 5m 1782266400	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x97ae13…
06-23 15:04:16	btc updown 5m 1782226800	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1993b3…
06-23 15:03:02	btc updown 5m 1782226800	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x66b15c…
06-23 12:38:11	btc updown 5m 1782218100	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf4b2c3…
06-23 08:38:10	btc updown 5m 1782203700	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe9af42…
06-23 06:18:04	btc updown 5m 1782195300	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xee9e88…
06-23 06:04:44	btc updown 5m 1782194400	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x2a75e5…
06-23 06:03:25	btc updown 5m 1782194400	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x30fb7a…
06-23 01:03:55	btc updown 5m 1782176400	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x8dd988…
06-23 01:03:38	btc updown 5m 1782176400	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5cd87f…
06-23 00:49:55	btc updown 5m 1782175500	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xf1337b…
06-23 00:48:52	btc updown 5m 1782175500	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe83604…
06-15 00:43:25	btc updown 5m 1781484000	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x8e5f90…
06-08 08:08:43	btc updown 5m 1780905900	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x866ebf…
06-08 08:08:22	btc updown 5m 1780905900	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xee594e…
06-08 07:29:01	btc updown 5m 1780903500	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x60f1f7…
06-08 07:28:07	btc updown 5m 1780903500	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfe1ebf…
06-08 07:24:06	btc updown 5m 1780903200	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3984fb…
06-08 07:23:04	btc updown 5m 1780903200	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x9603e4…
06-08 07:18:15	btc updown 5m 1780902900	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x0cbd0b…
06-08 07:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780902900	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x242e53…
06-08 06:49:12	btc updown 5m 1780901100	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbd3d64…
06-08 06:48:03	btc updown 5m 1780901100	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x856899…
06-08 06:23:25	btc updown 5m 1780899600	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x73a893…
06-08 06:23:04	btc updown 5m 1780899600	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xdd2f4f…
06-08 06:18:48	btc updown 5m 1780899300	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0ce6df…
06-08 06:18:24	btc updown 5m 1780899300	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x697ec5…
06-08 06:13:40	btc updown 5m 1780899000	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x202f33…
06-08 06:13:34	btc updown 5m 1780899000	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x449d89…
06-08 06:08:58	btc updown 5m 1780898700	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x3bb00d…
06-08 06:08:06	btc updown 5m 1780898700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb327f3…
06-04 03:43:57	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3bb00f…
06-04 03:43:36	btc updown 5m 1780544400	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x52d6f2…
06-04 03:39:55	btc updown 5m 1780544100	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3ff03c…
06-04 03:38:34	btc updown 5m 1780544100	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8841ff…
06-04 03:29:40	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x24f939…
06-04 03:28:33	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x588c2a…
06-04 03:24:13	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2f5cb8…
06-04 03:23:33	btc updown 5m 1780543200	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x0c823b…
06-04 03:18:55	btc updown 5m 1780542900	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x3d97f1…
06-04 03:18:33	btc updown 5m 1780542900	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1591f9…
06-04 03:14:31	btc updown 5m 1780542600	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8037ab…
06-04 03:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780542600	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6f95f7…
06-04 03:08:46	btc updown 5m 1780542300	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x67dccf…
06-04 03:08:33	btc updown 5m 1780542300	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe17543…
06-04 02:59:28	btc updown 5m 1780541700	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0f948a…
06-04 02:58:33	btc updown 5m 1780541700	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5fd86f…
06-04 02:49:19	btc updown 5m 1780541100	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x195f5b…
06-04 02:48:33	btc updown 5m 1780541100	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf8c07c…
06-04 02:43:45	btc updown 5m 1780540800	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x40147c…
06-04 02:43:36	btc updown 5m 1780540800	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2d2695…