Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$558

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

25.5%

Resolved (30d)

321

Trades (30d)

444

703 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$9.36K

$24.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

$169

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 17% -$434

Sports

33% 80% +$1,275

Other

30% 33% -$342

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+139	$100	74¢	$103	+$3	10-30 13:43
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	+714	$100	6¢	$46	-$54	10-31 12:58
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+22	$10	48¢	$11	+$1	10-30 13:06
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+30	$10	29¢	$9	-$1	10-30 13:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	20	$2.8K	4,763	4,763	+0	No	+$745	06-10 23:14
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$2.5K	4,294	4,294	-0	Yes	+$640	06-10 23:14
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.2K	40,158	38,458	+1,700	No	+$90	07-09 04:06
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 1am et	9	$827	1,320	1,320	+0	Up	+$143	03-27 06:05
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?	3	$301	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$101	07-07 16:22
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?	7	$300	1,223	1,000	+223	Yes	+$203	06-29 18:44
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	4	$274	480	200	+280	Yes	-$190	07-11 22:30
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?	4	$245	625	450	+175	No	+$56	07-01 16:14
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	2	$213	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$187	06-26 19:44
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$208	248	248	+0	Yes	+$0	07-16 02:10
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	17	$204	3,449	3,449	+0	No	+$4	06-29 18:41
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$201	886	0	+886	No	-$201	07-15 11:38
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2am et	6	$176	800	800	+0	Up	-$16	03-27 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$170	1,111	0	+1,111	Down	-$170	10-29 23:58
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?	2	$164	3,158	3,158	+0	No	-$38	06-30 17:56
epl ast not 2026 01 03 ast	2	$143	98	98	+0	Yes	+$43	01-03 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$136	149	149	+0	Down	+$96	10-29 11:17
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 12am et	2	$134	69	69	+0	Down	+$4	03-27 05:25
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3am et	20	$132	442	442	+0	Down	+$79	03-27 07:34
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 420 439	1	$130	0	1,292	-1,292	No	+$130	01-02 12:06
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	1	$127	200	0	+200	No	+$73	07-07 17:38
sea gen pis 2026 01 03 gen	2	$126	100	100	+0	No	+$26	01-03 14:31
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	7	$123	547	273	+273	No	+$45	07-07 17:41
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 France?	2	$113	3,400	0	+3,400	No	-$113	06-26 13:39
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$113	812	812	+0	No	+$13	01-05 03:12
elc bir cov 2026 01 04 draw	2	$106	231	231	+0	No	-$14	01-04 13:42
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	1	$100	714	0	+714	open	—	10-31 12:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$100	139	0	+139	open	—	10-30 13:43
epl liv lee 2026 01 01 liv	1	$100	154	0	+154	No	-$100	01-01 11:51
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 6am et	9	$96	592	591	+1	Down	-$72	03-29 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 18:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xd8e934…
11-02 18:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xfad02e…
11-02 17:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xc818da…
11-02 17:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0xdf8507…
11-02 17:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xa40fa4…
11-02 17:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xdee63b…
11-02 17:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x51e3b4…
11-02 17:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x2f2629…
11-02 16:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xb764b0…
11-02 16:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x1551aa…
11-02 15:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x3454f1…
11-02 15:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x9cac0a…
11-02 15:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x3c592b…
11-02 14:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xf6d795…
11-02 14:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x844d86…
11-02 14:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x221c2f…
11-02 14:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xf2143f…
11-02 14:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x26df7c…
11-02 12:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x818f4c…
11-01 18:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x2675ba…
11-01 18:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x669346…
11-01 18:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	235	15¢	$35	0xdaa606…
11-01 18:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x53627d…
11-01 17:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x247007…
11-01 17:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	371	13¢	$50	0xd20cff…
11-01 17:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	184	15¢	$28	0x430d83…
11-01 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	435	11¢	$50	0x616d35…
11-01 16:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x82ea7f…
11-01 16:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	299	15¢	$44	0xff934f…
11-01 16:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	316	14¢	$45	0xede269…
11-01 16:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0x7742cd…
11-01 15:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	135	15¢	$20	0xf266b7…
11-01 11:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 1?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe1789c…
11-01 05:10:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xafaed1…
11-01 05:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on October 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5890ac…
11-01 03:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	66	14¢	$9	0x1585d3…
11-01 03:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	272	15¢	$41	0x09d5ed…
11-01 03:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	349	14¢	$50	0xd7ee10…
11-01 03:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x80ba9d…
11-01 03:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcfc0d1…
11-01 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	212	15¢	$32	0x40ff61…
11-01 03:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x98c9f0…
11-01 02:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x5de63c…
11-01 02:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	313	14¢	$44	0xc36f9e…
11-01 02:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	15¢	$6	0x88c821…
11-01 02:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x07bc03…
11-01 02:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x053313…
11-01 02:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x6de0f7…
11-01 01:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xd52091…
11-01 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	85	15¢	$13	0xc82dde…
11-01 00:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x85ea8d…
11-01 00:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xc65c73…
11-01 00:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x97eca7…
10-31 23:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xf93b35…
10-31 23:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xdd9f85…
10-31 22:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	467	11¢	$50	0xc0e6ca…
10-31 22:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	380	13¢	$50	0xcbbe02…
10-31 21:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	152	13¢	$20	0xf8028f…
10-31 21:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	197	15¢	$30	0x72eedd…
10-31 21:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xe0a3c3…
10-31 20:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x5a9983…
10-31 20:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	274	15¢	$40	0xf64f5c…
10-31 20:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	373	13¢	$50	0xec799c…
10-31 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	271	16¢	$43	0xe80e2f…
10-31 20:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	16¢	$7	0x322456…
10-31 19:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xb4ddf9…
10-31 19:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xe474dc…
10-31 19:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x7fb137…
10-31 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	188	15¢	$28	0x8c297e…
10-31 18:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x52812e…
10-31 18:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xd7cc09…
10-31 17:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	377	13¢	$50	0xc8e4dd…
10-31 17:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x511585…
10-31 16:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	430	12¢	$50	0x602873…
10-31 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x9c45fc…
10-31 15:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	175	14¢	$25	0x806872…
10-31 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	170	15¢	$26	0xeaa559…
10-31 14:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x57cbe9…
10-31 14:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	343	15¢	$50	0x770bb7…
10-31 14:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x1e8ee2…
10-31 13:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	423	12¢	$50	0x0d1705…
10-31 13:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1e3975…
10-31 13:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x8fdf9c…
10-31 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	352	14¢	$50	0x419f33…
10-31 12:58:37	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x8ea3d4…
10-31 12:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x4c7e43…
10-31 12:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	366	14¢	$50	0x8053b3…
10-31 12:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x71a695…
10-31 11:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	381	13¢	$50	0x9e43ed…
10-31 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xb9b22d…
10-31 11:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf966b4…
10-31 11:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xc472c9…
10-31 10:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x4dc253…
10-31 10:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0x46a147…
10-31 10:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0x262c14…
10-31 10:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	346	14¢	$50	0xf5516b…
10-31 10:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xf49c01…
10-31 09:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xa2f233…
10-31 09:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	384	13¢	$50	0x4bdc97…
10-31 09:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xba046e…