Horrible-Insolence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$263

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

234

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 11-02 01:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 51% +$100

Other

43% 58% +$162

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$228	300	0	+300	Down	+$72	11-01 15:42
BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	4	$121	148	0	+148	Down	+$27	11-01 20:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	2	$60	77	0	+77	Yes	+$17	06-03 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 30?	3	$56	68	20	+48	Yes	+$2	05-30 04:19
BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	2	$54	100	0	+100	Down	+$46	11-01 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 30?	5	$45	50	50	+0	No	-$24	05-30 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?	3	$41	27	27	+0	No	-$4	05-27 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 31?	4	$39	73	0	+73	Yes	+$34	05-31 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?	4	$36	49	0	+49	No	+$13	05-29 04:07
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$34	52	0	+52	Down	+$17	10-31 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 24?	4	$32	32	32	+0	No	-$10	05-24 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$31	39	0	+39	Down	+$7	11-01 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 21?	2	$31	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 09:35
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	10-31 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$30	45	0	+45	Down	+$15	10-26 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$29	42	0	+42	Up	-$29	10-23 20:27
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:25 UTC	8	$27	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	09-29 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 28?	3	$27	35	0	+35	No	+$8	05-28 07:32
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$4	10-26 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$23	31	0	+31	Up	-$23	10-23 22:56
XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$23	30	0	+30	Down	-$23	10-21 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$22	30	0	+30	Down	+$8	10-25 18:25
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$21	25	0	+25	Up	+$4	10-26 19:11
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$21	23	0	+23	Down	-$21	10-28 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?	2	$20	43	0	+43	No	-$20	05-26 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$19	29	0	+29	Down	+$10	10-30 08:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$19	35	12	+23	Down	-$6	10-23 16:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:45 UTC	2	$19	11	11	+0	Up	$0	09-30 17:47
BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$18	22	0	+22	Down	-$18	11-02 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$18	31	0	+31	Up	+$12	10-21 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 01:26:30	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x8b34a3…
11-02 01:26:04	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xee67fa…
11-01 21:51:40	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbdefab…
11-01 20:51:37	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xec86d9…
11-01 20:51:37	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x2152cb…
11-01 20:51:24	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6422d5…
11-01 20:51:22	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x5a4db5…
11-01 17:47:51	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x9580e7…
11-01 16:52:13	XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0xd9613b…
11-01 15:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbf9afb…
11-01 15:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xe5f0e3…
11-01 15:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	180	68¢	$122	0xeeab30…
11-01 15:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfb88dd…
11-01 11:46:01	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xba2824…
11-01 11:46:00	BNB Up or Down - November 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0x1732d5…
11-01 07:10:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x632084…
11-01 03:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x17d9cd…
11-01 03:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x7a92cd…
10-31 22:28:45	BNB Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x976ca5…
10-31 14:58:40	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x2e9217…
10-31 14:58:40	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0x23152e…
10-31 14:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	20¢	$7	0x0d2824…
10-31 13:49:19	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x87076e…
10-31 13:29:21	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x999078…
10-31 13:29:19	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x49bd95…
10-31 13:28:21	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xbef80a…
10-31 11:56:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x4b6e68…
10-31 07:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3a0bc0…
10-31 07:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2e0bb4…
10-31 06:48:22	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x666ff0…
10-31 04:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe77be1…
10-31 04:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xb3b1a3…
10-31 03:59:31	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd88b0a…
10-30 19:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x7163bb…
10-30 19:45:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x90a60d…
10-30 13:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x21c8a3…
10-30 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xac3047…
10-29 10:35:16	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x8417c2…
10-29 10:35:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xed7098…
10-29 00:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x29f7fe…
10-29 00:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x67d15d…
10-28 22:57:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xada6e5…
10-28 17:55:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xb5a070…
10-28 17:55:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x08b3ab…
10-28 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xff5ef6…
10-28 14:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x13c54d…
10-28 05:58:43	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x63ff95…
10-28 05:54:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xab5464…
10-28 01:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x660df4…
10-28 00:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd52934…
10-27 23:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb4ea72…
10-27 23:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xebe7d8…
10-27 23:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x27dd62…
10-27 22:58:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x829cbc…
10-27 21:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x01f6c0…
10-27 21:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x8140f8…
10-27 18:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x0c4d2f…
10-27 13:58:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x7b59b5…
10-27 11:51:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x18b2c9…
10-27 07:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xaa681b…
10-27 03:59:30	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa927f1…
10-27 02:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x235297…
10-26 23:49:03	BNB Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x285a47…
10-26 22:52:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x2b2cc4…
10-26 22:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc19ce4…
10-26 22:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x244b93…
10-26 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xf85d95…
10-26 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x56de48…
10-26 19:11:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x326db5…
10-26 15:21:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x754fc9…
10-26 14:42:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x976cad…
10-26 11:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xfc2c34…
10-26 11:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x281246…
10-26 07:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xff5b2d…
10-26 07:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb1715b…
10-25 21:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xebe178…
10-25 18:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x92f324…
10-25 18:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x5fdf7f…
10-25 17:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe2f48c…
10-25 03:43:57	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0x7ef78e…
10-25 02:56:27	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe43207…
10-24 17:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x4dc30e…
10-24 13:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x63b952…
10-24 13:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xc43551…
10-24 13:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0x70df9f…
10-24 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0xf42bf6…
10-24 06:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x12baa7…
10-24 05:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x1bbaf7…
10-24 02:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	44¢	$12	0x439800…
10-23 22:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xaf47d8…
10-23 22:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$14	0xf0bc81…
10-23 22:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb57bfa…
10-23 22:47:30	HYPE Up or Down - October 23, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1e0713…
10-23 20:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x581ba0…
10-23 20:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0xe7dfc3…
10-23 20:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x5b7ae9…
10-23 17:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x1fac9d…
10-23 16:58:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x6f3b2b…
10-23 16:58:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xcdb4c9…
10-23 16:56:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0x918903…