Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.42K

Unrealized P&L

-$759

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

659

659 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$559.3K

$559.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$849

Open exposure

$13.7K

7 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-28 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

98% 29% -$1,625

Other

1% 33% -$1,207

Crypto

1% 60% +$407

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+6,889	$5,015	74¢	$5.1K	+$49	10-27 12:02
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+6,290	$3,986	57¢	$3.6K	-$369	10-28 11:13
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+5,190	$3,313	58¢	$3.0K	-$277	10-27 11:57
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+2,034	$1,479	74¢	$1.5K	+$37	10-28 11:17
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	+770	$293	30¢	$231	-$62	10-27 11:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+308	$347	66¢	$204	-$143	10-28 11:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+209	$50	28¢	$57	+$7	10-23 11:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	86	$147.0K	146,241	146,241	+0	open	—	10-26 13:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	33	$65.7K	93,363	93,363	+0	open	—	10-06 12:29
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	22	$39.1K	35,859	29,569	+6,290	open	—	10-28 11:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	16	$36.2K	142,579	142,579	+0	open	—	08-18 01:23
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	11	$35.9K	82,615	82,615	+0	open	—	08-19 01:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	9	$30.8K	28,795	28,795	+0	open	—	09-13 13:41
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	32	$30.0K	125,824	125,824	+0	open	—	09-14 23:38
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	46	$29.0K	26,029	26,029	+0	open	—	09-15 09:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	23	$22.6K	21,872	16,682	+5,190	open	—	10-27 11:57
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	13	$17.0K	21,566	21,566	+0	open	—	09-13 09:09
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$13.6K	16,796	16,796	+0	open	—	09-11 16:09
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	9	$11.3K	13,156	13,156	+0	open	—	08-16 18:36
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	8	$11.3K	13,183	13,183	+0	open	—	09-08 14:55
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	26	$9.9K	8,957	8,957	+0	open	—	09-14 23:37
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	16	$6.0K	8,402	8,402	+0	open	—	10-27 11:50
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	9	$5.5K	7,472	7,472	+0	open	—	10-18 06:30
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	12	$5.0K	6,889	0	+6,889	open	—	10-27 12:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	4	$4.5K	4,541	4,541	+0	open	—	09-13 12:32
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	11	$4.3K	3,476	3,476	+0	open	—	10-28 11:12
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	13	$3.1K	11,038	11	+11,027	open	—	10-28 11:19
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	7	$2.5K	2,749	715	+2,034	open	—	10-28 11:17
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	8	$2.4K	2,974	2,974	+0	open	—	10-19 02:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	2	$2.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$169	10-21 13:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	7	$2.0K	1,467	1,467	+0	open	—	10-28 11:16
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2.0K	2,211	2,211	+0	open	—	08-11 08:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	9	$1.8K	1,391	1,084	+308	open	—	10-28 11:16
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	9	$1.7K	2,042	2,042	+0	open	—	10-26 13:51
will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	3	$1.6K	1,154	1,154	+0	Yes	+$269	10-21 13:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	6	$1.5K	1,380	1,380	+0	No	-$252	10-21 13:39
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	8	$1.4K	1,686	1,686	+0	open	—	10-11 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:19:19	Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xd9fa4e…
10-28 11:17:59	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	101	72¢	$73	0xbc2f29…
10-28 11:17:58	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	455	72¢	$328	0x44e930…
10-28 11:16:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0x84016e…
10-28 11:16:19	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	64¢	$124	0x6ab6cd…
10-28 11:13:49	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	57¢	$627	0x2b7a9a…
10-28 11:12:10	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,020	60¢	$612	0xf961b1…
10-27 12:03:30	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	418	72¢	$301	0x388b69…
10-27 12:02:30	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0x59aa05…
10-27 12:02:30	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	614	72¢	$442	0x355c27…
10-27 12:00:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	270	92¢	$248	0x6491ac…
10-27 11:59:24	Will Lukáš Hájek be the next Mayor of Liberec?	Yes	SELL	73	90¢	$66	0x8b8bbe…
10-27 11:59:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	95	90¢	$85	0xd1480d…
10-27 11:57:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	180	59¢	$106	0x6fd5f0…
10-27 11:56:38	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	72¢	$497	0x26d49f…
10-27 11:55:36	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	770	38¢	$293	0x34e95c…
10-27 11:52:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x2fbb02…
10-27 11:50:29	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,951	31¢	$605	0x580d96…
10-27 11:46:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,951	31¢	$605	0x8eb9ca…
10-27 11:06:47	Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x7532f3…
10-26 14:00:24	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	58¢	$104	0x0cb72f…
10-26 13:58:09	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	36¢	$90	0xd3173d…
10-26 13:57:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	490	34¢	$167	0xea75bd…
10-26 13:56:21	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	250	31¢	$78	0xd595c0…
10-26 13:55:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x06a6bf…
10-26 13:55:20	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	250	94¢	$235	0x153a31…
10-26 13:53:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$11	0x64523f…
10-26 13:53:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	108	58¢	$63	0x1c3252…
10-26 13:53:29	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	72	58¢	$42	0x9ffa89…
10-26 13:53:11	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xc7caf4…
10-26 13:52:36	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	72¢	$209	0xf8bbe5…
10-26 13:51:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	35¢	$88	0x780578…
10-26 13:48:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in November?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe3d59a…
10-26 13:46:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	SELL	80	61¢	$49	0x5a9444…
10-26 13:44:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x41bd62…
10-26 13:44:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	SELL	45	32¢	$14	0x8002b9…
10-26 13:43:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0x8d1dfd…
10-26 13:43:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	SELL	82	39¢	$32	0x5d4cb8…
10-26 13:42:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?	No	SELL	470	62¢	$291	0x8ee668…
10-26 13:40:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x63211f…
10-26 13:39:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	No	SELL	116	84¢	$97	0xd70af6…
10-26 13:35:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x219ca2…
10-26 12:34:35	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in October?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$9	0x3b4e63…
10-26 12:24:38	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,049	32¢	$656	0xde6b75…
10-26 12:24:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	543	32¢	$174	0xa22854…
10-26 12:23:12	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	250	31¢	$78	0xe7a905…
10-26 12:22:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	35¢	$88	0xa218fb…
10-26 12:17:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	BUY	189	64¢	$121	0xe29498…
10-26 11:18:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in November?	No	BUY	52	74¢	$38	0x6c9f69…
10-26 11:16:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in November?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x2c7321…
10-26 11:15:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	310	32¢	$99	0x0b5dc4…
10-26 11:14:24	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,060	72¢	$763	0xbf628c…
10-26 11:13:30	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	72¢	$124	0x2d3eaa…
10-26 11:12:51	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	104	65¢	$68	0x78466d…
10-26 11:12:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	195	65¢	$126	0x45b52b…
10-26 11:11:26	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	763	65¢	$496	0xf97c07…
10-26 11:11:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	696	65¢	$451	0xca8e15…
10-26 11:10:21	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0xc53326…
10-26 11:10:21	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	SELL	99	56¢	$55	0x067873…
10-26 11:09:11	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	116	59¢	$68	0x6894e1…
10-26 11:05:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb19802…
10-26 11:04:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x223776…
10-25 20:28:12	Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0xa0a1fd…
10-25 20:22:41	Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xcf5d04…
10-25 20:21:12	Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x960872…
10-25 20:21:12	Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8388fa…
10-25 18:02:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x2ee80a…
10-25 18:02:27	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	No	BUY	66	72¢	$48	0xf5a8ae…
10-25 12:20:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x20a52d…
10-25 12:06:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	No	BUY	303	72¢	$218	0xba2213…
10-25 11:55:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	No	BUY	115	72¢	$83	0x3d8e64…
10-25 11:02:38	Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x2854ce…
10-25 10:58:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	95	69¢	$65	0x52bc56…
10-25 10:56:14	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x797910…
10-25 10:54:17	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xc01712…
10-25 10:53:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x3aa17c…
10-25 10:52:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $56 in October?	No	BUY	470	65¢	$306	0x85e309…
10-25 10:50:36	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?	No	BUY	451	72¢	$325	0x1c7ff1…
10-25 10:48:59	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0x0a4103…
10-25 10:47:18	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x127513…
10-24 09:58:47	Will Trump say "Canada" 4+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x3746bf…
10-24 09:57:30	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x4f7c91…
10-24 09:55:41	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	37¢	$93	0x367b16…
10-24 09:54:50	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,350	74¢	$999	0x466885…
10-24 09:53:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	No	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0xd78f4f…
10-24 09:53:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x7bdf17…
10-24 09:53:57	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	No	BUY	56	50¢	$28	0x6e25cc…
10-24 09:53:23	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in October?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x74a9bf…
10-24 09:52:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	No	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xa90495…
10-24 09:51:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x2dc16a…
10-24 09:47:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 25?	No	SELL	74	93¢	$69	0x428eb4…
10-24 09:44:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xaff471…
10-23 12:05:47	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	83¢	$162	0xdc3c7a…
10-23 12:02:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	510	32¢	$163	0xd2bab7…
10-23 12:01:48	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0xb5a9da…
10-23 12:00:05	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	980	61¢	$598	0xb224ea…
10-23 11:57:08	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,731	59¢	$1,013	0xd42d36…
10-23 11:55:32	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	58¢	$46	0x986aeb…
10-23 11:19:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xd72336…
10-23 11:16:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	112	44¢	$49	0x19504b…