Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$171

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

123

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$7.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$83

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-18

last 11-04 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 94% +$213

Politics

28% 88% -$28

Other

21% 90% +$21

Sports

2% 71% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	+34	$29	94¢	$32	+$3	11-04 13:51
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?	No	+32	$30	94¢	$30	+$0	11-04 11:47
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	+34	$30	60¢	$20	-$9	11-04 11:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	12	$818	600	600	+0	No	+$32	11-03 16:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	4	$563	300	300	+0	Yes	+$34	11-03 15:44
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	6	$552	300	300	+0	Yes	+$24	11-04 00:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	14	$428	310	310	+0	No	+$33	10-30 15:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	11	$364	200	200	+0	Yes	+$14	10-30 15:09
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	6	$352	198	198	+0	open	—	10-31 22:30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	11	$255	132	132	+0	No	+$6	10-25 22:13
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 3?	3	$171	100	100	+0	No	+$25	11-04 01:06
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	4	$168	100	100	+0	Yes	+$26	11-01 17:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	2	$136	150	0	+150	No	+$14	10-28 12:20
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	4	$131	80	80	+0	open	—	11-04 02:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2?	3	$94	50	50	+0	No	+$4	11-02 23:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	4	$91	50	50	+0	No	-$3	10-31 12:02
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$90	48	48	+0	No	+$3	10-27 19:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	4	$90	50	50	+0	No	+$2	11-02 16:09
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	3	$82	100	0	+100	No	-$82	11-03 00:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	2	$65	36	36	+0	No	+$6	10-25 17:36
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	2	$64	35	35	+0	No	+$4	10-21 11:16
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	2	$63	34	34	+0	No	+$3	11-04 00:49
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	2	$63	34	34	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 10:30
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	2	$63	34	34	+0	No	+$3	10-21 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$3	11-01 22:33
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	3	$62	34	34	+0	No	+$3	11-04 01:30
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	5	$62	48	48	+0	Yes	-$20	10-30 14:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?	2	$62	33	33	+0	No	+$2	10-31 17:46
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	2	$61	33	33	+0	No	+$2	11-04 01:21
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	4	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	10-25 11:46
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	2	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$1	10-24 19:24
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?	2	$60	32	32	+0	No	+$2	10-23 17:06
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	3	$60	32	32	+0	No	+$2	10-28 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:51:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xb8c7ce…
11-04 12:44:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xddec42…
11-04 11:47:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xbd8727…
11-04 11:08:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xf89359…
11-04 02:16:24	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xa64a89…
11-04 01:34:52	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xa6f27d…
11-04 01:30:48	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x685d2e…
11-04 01:24:30	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	75¢	$34	0xf461f6…
11-04 01:21:42	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x0a8937…
11-04 01:06:06	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xf1ef76…
11-04 01:05:57	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xa42dd3…
11-04 00:59:28	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x1d1711…
11-04 00:56:46	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x98dbf0…
11-04 00:50:54	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	95¢	$143	0x8ab6c5…
11-04 00:49:13	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x2b27d3…
11-03 16:53:18	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x50c3cf…
11-03 16:21:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x63b541…
11-03 15:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x4297b9…
11-03 15:44:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x1f4f76…
11-03 14:29:12	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xbe2d26…
11-03 14:01:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x64f0dd…
11-03 13:54:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	151	70¢	$106	0xa5e874…
11-03 13:52:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	99	67¢	$66	0xd8be4e…
11-03 13:51:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x64d072…
11-03 13:51:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x7bd871…
11-03 13:32:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	420	58¢	$244	0xf9faeb…
11-03 11:21:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$179	0x100173…
11-03 11:07:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x73cbc6…
11-03 10:26:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	87	86¢	$74	0xefd501…
11-03 10:15:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xb1bcb8…
11-03 09:26:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0xa3c326…
11-03 09:25:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x35715b…
11-03 09:24:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x8c0914…
11-03 00:41:09	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	66	79¢	$52	0xb01eec…
11-03 00:41:03	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xeeac98…
11-02 23:37:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xc13165…
11-02 23:34:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x41fa84…
11-02 20:59:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xb1952e…
11-02 19:23:00	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	87¢	$58	0xfc1fd4…
11-02 16:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x5c5300…
11-02 16:09:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x811d26…
11-02 16:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x706f86…
11-02 16:02:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x0bb83e…
11-02 01:52:18	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x097017…
11-02 00:50:01	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xc98a4f…
11-01 23:12:09	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x8d6724…
11-01 22:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xc1e843…
11-01 18:26:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xe4f04b…
11-01 17:41:10	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0xa50413…
10-31 23:33:18	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xb1b35d…
10-31 22:30:25	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x22b2e9…
10-31 19:06:15	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	63¢	$42	0x314cfa…
10-31 17:46:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x60c9cb…
10-31 12:02:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xc2b099…
10-31 11:58:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x3b9be4…
10-31 11:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x07ba56…
10-31 11:38:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x924e0f…
10-31 01:01:19	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xf79d89…
10-30 17:21:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?	No	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xefcb4e…
10-30 16:46:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x66b54f…
10-30 16:37:00	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x4f0662…
10-30 15:52:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xa6acfb…
10-30 15:51:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xcf00da…
10-30 15:33:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x5231aa…
10-30 15:33:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x241fd5…
10-30 15:26:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0xc32a45…
10-30 15:25:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	34	74¢	$25	0xd54494…
10-30 15:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	46	74¢	$34	0x45c1a5…
10-30 15:21:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xfa894c…
10-30 15:21:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	149	66¢	$98	0x00796b…
10-30 15:18:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0xa16570…
10-30 15:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x9a9084…
10-30 15:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	51	72¢	$37	0x1e45f4…
10-30 15:09:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8c565f…
10-30 15:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0xa88844…
10-30 15:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xf15b72…
10-30 15:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$33	0x5d9b75…
10-30 14:51:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x71a7c0…
10-30 14:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x484bea…
10-30 14:49:13	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	32	17¢	$5	0xc05a7b…
10-30 13:44:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0xe6439e…
10-30 12:59:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x707eb9…
10-30 12:58:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	34	90¢	$30	0x8b99c6…
10-30 12:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x0ff014…
10-30 12:51:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x59ff18…
10-30 11:53:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x6d8245…
10-30 09:39:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2b4b10…
10-30 01:45:51	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x678b2b…
10-29 11:49:56	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xd5aa7a…
10-29 10:34:55	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xca19fa…
10-29 00:13:56	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x17ecab…
10-28 15:30:35	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0x8ecbbf…
10-28 15:03:50	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x9dd07a…
10-28 14:25:05	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	57	83¢	$47	0x8addc0…
10-28 14:02:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x3f651a…
10-28 13:50:31	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0xb5b00e…
10-28 12:20:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xb771ee…
10-28 12:15:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x44711c…
10-28 06:55:55	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xa06bdc…
10-27 23:30:03	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x1bade8…