Profitable-Shoulder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

429

Trades

2,791

lifetime

Volume

$127.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 09-02 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

73% 50% -$1,194

Politics

23% 76% +$417

Tech

2% 17% -$360

Sports

1% 66% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$11.0K	5,720	5,720	+0	No	-$42	02-20 22:39
will undertone opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	40	$6.1K	4,523	4,523	+0	No	+$649	03-18 05:55
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	8	$4.3K	2,310	2,310	+0	No	+$74	02-20 22:39
will you me tuscany opening weekend box office be less than 8m	15	$3.4K	2,250	2,200	+50	Yes	+$106	04-12 00:45
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be less than 160m	23	$3.1K	1,735	1,535	+200	No	+$100	04-03 00:11
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	56	$3.0K	4,350	4,446	-96	Yes	-$507	04-20 01:21
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$3.0K	1,968	1,958	+10	Yes	+$97	02-28 06:50
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$3.0K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	-$86	02-20 22:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	18	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$157	02-19 20:38
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	14	$2.2K	1,607	1,300	+307	Yes	+$31	03-30 16:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$12	02-16 04:52
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?	12	$2.0K	1,094	1,094	+0	No	+$178	07-25 16:40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	4	$1.9K	1,020	1,020	+0	No	+$127	04-07 10:26
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be less than 44m	12	$1.9K	1,000	995	+5	Yes	+$60	04-17 21:54
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	13	$1.9K	1,153	1,153	+0	Yes	+$191	07-31 13:43
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	5	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$74	02-12 06:43
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$1.7K	1,862	0	+1,862	No	+$140	02-10 09:33
will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	10	$1.5K	1,755	55	+1,700	Yes	+$175	03-20 21:54
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$11	03-17 22:42
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	44	$1.5K	3,611	3,611	+0	No	-$710	04-05 02:24
will ready or not 2 here i come opening weekend box office be between 7m and 8pt5m	16	$1.5K	1,066	966	+100	No	-$136	03-22 15:03
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	4	$1.3K	1,342	0	+1,342	No	+$32	02-09 06:07
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	17	$1.3K	823	823	+0	Yes	+$352	07-26 23:48
will mrbeasts next video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4	15	$1.3K	1,494	144	+1,350	No	+$118	03-25 10:43
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	16	$1.2K	2,719	657	+2,062	Yes	+$1,774	04-12 23:14
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	4	$1.2K	900	900	+0	Yes	-$98	07-31 06:43
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	10	$1.1K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	-$1,139	09-02 16:08
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?	7	$1.1K	645	645	+0	No	+$151	07-26 23:58
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be less than 31m	10	$1.1K	3,351	3,867	-516	No	-$1,047	04-19 14:29
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	19	$1.0K	1,294	149	+1,144	Yes	-$900	05-03 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 16:08:01	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x5d0c6c…
09-02 12:13:24	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	129	60¢	$77	0x920bc9…
09-02 12:13:04	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	71	60¢	$43	0xefbaad…
09-02 11:29:06	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	72	63¢	$45	0xd0fe19…
09-02 11:28:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0x65a984…
09-02 10:58:52	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	376	70¢	$263	0xc653e0…
09-02 10:40:19	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x680804…
09-02 10:39:55	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x1378fc…
09-02 08:57:07	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x099cee…
09-02 06:08:48	Will "Onslaught" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x72152a…
09-02 06:08:43	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xdbfeb7…
09-01 10:27:03	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$3	0xab6780…
09-01 10:27:03	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x72bac4…
09-01 09:24:55	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	475	6¢	$26	0x08e802…
09-01 09:06:34	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x80e5d8…
09-01 01:51:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4e24cc…
08-31 12:24:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	400	85¢	$340	0xbf0f19…
08-31 02:42:18	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee10bb…
08-31 02:42:18	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x6cd98a…
08-31 02:38:58	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf485ed…
08-31 02:38:58	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xca9765…
08-31 02:38:58	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xa7e790…
08-31 02:36:09	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x06d26f…
08-31 02:36:07	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xbb8c61…
08-31 02:36:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x99f269…
08-31 02:36:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x82ff0e…
08-31 02:36:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0x5e84c0…
08-30 19:30:01	Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	84	60¢	$51	0x95a53e…
08-30 17:11:21	Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	89	60¢	$54	0xf0aef5…
08-30 17:11:21	Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	183	60¢	$110	0x6b2f8a…
08-30 17:11:21	Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x0036df…
08-30 17:10:58	Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	251	63¢	$158	0xc8063a…
08-30 13:04:01	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xfa40c3…
08-30 08:02:04	Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xb7f45b…
08-30 04:29:24	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x30d207…
08-30 04:27:40	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xfda12a…
08-30 04:25:40	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x716274…
08-30 04:25:39	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xe17d1e…
08-30 04:25:37	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	94	25¢	$24	0x8c6fd6…
08-30 04:25:37	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x5e8ac6…
08-30 04:25:15	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	186	28¢	$52	0x537aed…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xfefeb4…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x931693…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x486a43…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4174d4…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x3eab20…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2e6fdc…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	90	60¢	$54	0x0d22d1…
08-30 04:12:06	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0x033bfd…
08-30 03:27:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0xeb3433…
08-30 03:27:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xc13e17…
08-30 03:27:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x6740c6…
08-30 03:27:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x4fd78c…
08-30 03:27:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x15b4f9…
08-30 03:27:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x10ea95…
08-30 03:05:27	Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe00c18…
08-30 03:05:27	Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xcae0c3…
08-30 03:05:27	Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0xbfd43c…
08-30 03:05:27	Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x965733…
08-30 03:05:27	Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4492dc…
08-30 02:47:15	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x013634…
08-30 02:27:15	Will "Coyote vs. Acme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x87deb0…
08-15 04:01:46	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	No	SELL	470	66¢	$310	0x003b7f…
08-15 03:44:37	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x3d1d45…
08-14 15:50:39	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	BUY	75	10¢	$7	0xd91168…
08-14 15:46:16	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x033dd1…
08-14 11:06:43	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0xb6bc48…
08-14 08:45:22	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x95011f…
08-14 08:45:09	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0x72eade…
08-14 06:34:25	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x96d833…
08-14 06:12:27	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	279	28¢	$78	0x004c48…
08-14 05:34:22	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0x23d334…
08-14 05:18:58	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0x19c391…
08-14 01:13:33	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xf5e168…
08-14 01:13:33	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xab1565…
08-14 01:13:33	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x60a6fb…
08-14 01:13:33	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x02d3be…
08-14 01:13:28	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x1f872b…
08-14 01:13:28	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x167c37…
08-13 23:59:21	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	288	32¢	$92	0xd4b4ee…
08-13 14:24:34	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?	Yes	BUY	165	16¢	$27	0x6c5b8a…
08-13 13:59:00	Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0xf8d0ad…
08-13 13:49:33	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xa10391…
08-13 13:32:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	Yes	BUY	139	76¢	$106	0x2d8da8…
08-13 12:47:10	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?	Yes	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xa994f2…
08-13 09:17:34	Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x97602c…
08-12 13:23:01	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xe70da8…
08-12 12:17:16	will the end of oak street score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028624	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xff9389…
08-12 12:11:01	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	BUY	192	28¢	$53	0xbd0c93…
08-12 11:07:46	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x963b3d…
08-12 11:07:15	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0xb6bcc3…
08-12 10:38:19	will the end of oak street score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028624	No	BUY	170	2¢	$3	0x26af3d…
08-12 10:18:00	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x174945…
08-12 10:16:09	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0x586b05…
08-12 09:54:31	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x823241…
08-12 09:28:13	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0x279ac4…
08-12 09:11:55	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0x998795…
08-12 09:05:00	will the end of oak street score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028624	No	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x68d598…
08-12 08:47:39	will the end of oak street score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028626	No	BUY	179	26¢	$47	0xf838b7…
08-12 08:37:49	will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	No	BUY	151	9¢	$14	0xd96d4b…