Aching-Cactus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$517

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

216

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$127

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-22 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 79% -$25

Other

32% 71% +$528

Sports

16% 21% +$10

Politics

4% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-127	-$126	100¢	$-127	-$1	04-29 05:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$1.3K	652	652	+0	No	-$1	03-04 06:38
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.3K	651	651	+0	No	-$1	03-08 06:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$641	642	0	+642	No	+$1	02-27 03:57
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	1	$450	451	0	+451	No	+$1	03-03 07:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 23	1	$404	405	0	+405	No	+$0	02-23 08:55
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	1	$360	360	0	+360	No	+$0	03-08 06:41
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$359	359	0	+359	No	+$1	02-11 11:31
ethereum above 2300 on march 4	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	03-04 07:33
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	02-28 09:46
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	1	$340	340	0	+340	No	+$0	03-10 12:29
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	1	$338	338	0	+338	No	+$0	03-07 12:01
bitcoin above 74k on february 13	1	$329	330	0	+330	No	+$1	02-13 11:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	1	$328	328	0	+328	No	+$0	03-06 03:25
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 165 189	1	$321	322	0	+322	No	+$0	03-09 12:13
ethereum above 1800 on march 6	1	$320	320	0	+320	Yes	+$0	03-06 03:19
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	1	$320	320	0	+320	Yes	+$0	03-09 12:09
ethereum above 1700 on february 13	1	$310	311	0	+311	Yes	+$1	02-13 10:57
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$310	310	0	+310	Yes	+$0	03-07 12:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	1	$302	302	0	+302	No	+$0	03-10 12:31
will ethereum reach 2300 february 16 22	1	$288	289	0	+289	No	+$0	02-22 09:00
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$284	142	142	+0	No	$0	03-29 11:40
will xrp dip to 1 march 2 8	1	$284	284	0	+284	No	+$0	03-08 06:42
ethereum above 2300 on february 11	1	$280	280	0	+280	No	+$0	02-11 11:26
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$277	139	139	+0	No	$0	03-28 03:14
will mrbeast hit 110 billion views by january 31 658	2	$275	138	138	+0	No	$0	02-01 05:50
will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$274	138	138	+0	No	$0	03-20 08:15
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$274	137	137	+0	No	$0	03-18 12:20
will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$274	138	138	+0	No	$0	03-20 08:37
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$272	136	136	+0	No	$0	02-02 11:21
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$270	136	136	+0	No	$0	04-08 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:18:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x0cbcde…
09-27 00:02:20	houthis seize an oil tanker by september 30 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9baa78…
09-27 00:02:09	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1a8ab2…
09-27 00:02:03	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aa7bd…
09-26 23:54:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9680db…
08-11 07:09:10	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xbc9248…
07-09 11:31:13	will amzn dip to 216 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x56ee39…
06-05 12:19:03	tsla above 465 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xc19b09…
05-31 08:39:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x1b02c6…
05-31 08:30:16	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf3d96e…
05-31 08:25:52	Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb315d7…
05-29 07:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xa33170…
05-29 07:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on May 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb215d2…
05-28 12:50:33	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x486bbe…
05-27 07:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xeaa805…
05-27 07:04:29	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xab051d…
05-27 07:02:52	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x8b6280…
05-27 06:35:33	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x04bd5b…
05-26 12:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x1b3757…
05-24 04:05:06	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 18-24?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0b5405…
05-24 04:01:08	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x53149c…
05-24 03:51:57	Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5d64f6…
05-24 03:38:49	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xafb827…
05-23 07:39:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe3154d…
05-21 10:26:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x27ddd8…
05-21 10:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x825cf4…
05-20 08:41:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x937161…
05-20 08:36:45	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x38cc74…
05-20 08:25:29	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x307576…
05-20 08:18:17	Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x2402f2…
05-20 08:16:58	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x1441ac…
05-20 07:58:48	Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x7ac58d…
05-19 12:29:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xca9099…
05-18 12:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x4c0cfe…
05-17 11:41:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x97342d…
05-16 11:28:20	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb12416…
05-16 10:54:47	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf9c693…
05-16 10:38:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x991357…
05-16 10:16:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc270aa…
05-15 07:19:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $370?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xd320c2…
05-15 07:13:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x3f9db4…
05-14 12:38:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7ae75b…
05-14 11:09:43	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd70b69…
05-14 10:22:37	Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x8d0266…
05-14 10:19:40	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$120	0xfc20a9…
05-13 10:21:47	Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$120	0x73586a…
05-13 10:19:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,450	0¢	$3	0xc307dc…
05-13 10:11:57	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xa1f665…
05-12 10:16:17	Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xb945f5…
05-12 10:00:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,430	1¢	$9	0x372a25…
05-11 10:11:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5f2dba…
05-10 06:16:03	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xb51dfa…
05-09 09:28:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xf0f26f…
05-09 09:25:11	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x34fe4a…
05-09 09:08:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x8a380d…
05-09 09:00:13	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x550f0f…
05-08 04:39:52	Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$290 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x5a4476…
05-07 07:24:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xa7dc7c…
05-07 07:20:18	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xeee4ab…
05-07 07:02:29	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x8432e9…
05-06 07:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xffdfa5…
05-05 05:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x527f9e…
05-04 07:47:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x9d4bd6…
05-03 09:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x7b75cc…
05-03 09:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 20°C or below on May 4?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xd3dbda…
05-02 11:44:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x0cc245…
05-01 10:38:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x443195…
04-30 08:52:12	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4896bc…
04-29 05:20:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa64c27…
04-29 05:20:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x3da283…
04-29 05:11:16	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0xe1b0ac…
04-28 06:03:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	647	0¢	$2	0x933f59…
04-28 06:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0x84709b…
04-28 06:00:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	680	0¢	$1	0x0023ca…
04-27 03:59:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x06cd9a…
04-26 05:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xfc00df…
04-26 04:45:04	Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe54538…
04-25 05:23:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x631d41…
04-25 05:17:30	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xc7b11a…
04-25 04:33:06	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x034206…
04-24 10:57:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xa66ef7…
04-24 10:52:42	Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc73550…
04-24 10:49:08	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xf75c81…
04-24 09:14:56	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x416b39…
04-23 06:38:08	ethereum above 2600 on april 23	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xdf72ac…
04-22 05:57:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	Yes	BUY	815	0¢	$2	0x4354d8…
04-22 05:55:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0xfb43d7…
04-20 03:27:46	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xda7a51…
04-20 03:24:18	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xa2eb4d…
04-20 03:03:36	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x87902c…
04-20 03:02:26	Madrid Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Suzan Lamens	Suzan Lamens	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xef9513…
04-20 02:59:42	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x0776c9…
04-20 02:38:02	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0xb607c7…
04-19 11:40:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc715ca…
04-19 11:18:14	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Magic	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xae6ff1…
04-17 03:24:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x9a9086…
04-15 07:42:56	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	Yes	BUY	860	0¢	$2	0x5649a3…
04-15 07:39:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	643	0¢	$2	0xf867e2…
04-14 11:09:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x496536…
04-14 11:06:59	atp marozsa tsitsip 2026 04 13	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xffb490…