Aching-Cactus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$27.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-05 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 67% $-8

Other

29% 50% +$4

Sports

12% — —

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$1.3K	652	652	+0	open	—	03-04 06:38
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.3K	651	651	+0	open	—	03-08 06:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$641	642	0	+642	open	—	02-27 03:57
bitcoin above 74k on march 3	1	$450	451	0	+451	open	—	03-03 07:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 23	1	$404	405	0	+405	open	—	02-23 08:55
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	1	$360	360	0	+360	open	—	03-08 06:41
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$359	359	0	+359	open	—	02-11 11:31
ethereum above 2300 on march 4	1	$350	350	0	+350	open	—	03-04 07:33
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	1	$350	350	0	+350	open	—	02-28 09:46
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	1	$340	340	0	+340	open	—	03-10 12:29
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	1	$338	338	0	+338	open	—	03-07 12:01
bitcoin above 74k on february 13	1	$329	330	0	+330	open	—	02-13 11:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	1	$328	328	0	+328	open	—	03-06 03:25
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 165 189	1	$321	322	0	+322	open	—	03-09 12:13
ethereum above 1800 on march 6	1	$320	320	0	+320	open	—	03-06 03:19
bitcoin above 62k on march 9	1	$320	320	0	+320	open	—	03-09 12:09
ethereum above 1700 on february 13	1	$310	311	0	+311	open	—	02-13 10:57
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$310	310	0	+310	open	—	03-07 12:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	1	$302	302	0	+302	open	—	03-10 12:31
will ethereum reach 2300 february 16 22	1	$288	289	0	+289	open	—	02-22 09:00
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$284	142	142	+0	open	—	03-29 11:40
will xrp dip to 1 march 2 8	1	$284	284	0	+284	open	—	03-08 06:42
ethereum above 2300 on february 11	1	$280	280	0	+280	open	—	02-11 11:26
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$277	139	139	+0	open	—	03-28 03:14
will mrbeast hit 110 billion views by january 31 658	2	$275	138	138	+0	open	—	02-01 05:50
will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$274	138	138	+0	open	—	03-20 08:15
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$274	137	137	+0	open	—	03-18 12:20
will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$274	138	138	+0	open	—	03-20 08:37
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	02-02 11:21
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$270	136	136	+0	open	—	04-08 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 12:19:03	tsla above 465 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xc19b09…
05-31 08:39:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x1b02c6…
05-31 08:30:16	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf3d96e…
05-29 07:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xa33170…
05-27 07:04:29	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xab051d…
05-26 12:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x1b3757…
05-24 04:05:06	Will XRP dip to $1.00 May 18-24?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0b5405…
05-24 03:51:57	Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream	Atlanta Dream	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5d64f6…
05-21 10:26:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x27ddd8…
05-21 10:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x825cf4…
05-20 08:41:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x937161…
05-20 08:25:29	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x307576…
05-19 12:29:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xca9099…
05-17 11:41:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x97342d…
05-16 10:54:47	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf9c693…
05-15 07:19:21	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $370?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xd320c2…
05-15 07:13:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x3f9db4…
05-14 12:38:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7ae75b…
05-12 10:00:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,430	1¢	$9	0x372a25…
05-11 10:11:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5f2dba…
05-10 06:16:03	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xb51dfa…
05-09 09:08:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x8a380d…
05-07 07:24:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xa7dc7c…
05-04 07:47:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x9d4bd6…
05-01 10:38:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x443195…
04-30 08:52:12	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x4896bc…
04-28 06:03:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	647	0¢	$2	0x933f59…
04-28 06:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0x84709b…
04-28 06:00:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	680	0¢	$1	0x0023ca…
04-27 03:59:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x06cd9a…
04-26 05:39:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xfc00df…
04-26 04:45:04	Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Michelsen	Alex Michelsen	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe54538…
04-25 05:23:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x631d41…
04-25 05:17:30	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xc7b11a…
04-25 04:33:06	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x034206…
04-24 10:57:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xa66ef7…
04-24 10:52:42	Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc73550…
04-24 10:49:08	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xf75c81…
04-24 09:14:56	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x416b39…
04-23 06:38:08	ethereum above 2600 on april 23	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xdf72ac…
04-22 05:57:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	Yes	BUY	815	0¢	$2	0x4354d8…
04-22 05:55:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0xfb43d7…
04-20 03:27:46	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xda7a51…
04-20 03:24:18	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0xa2eb4d…
04-20 03:03:36	Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x87902c…
04-20 03:02:26	Madrid Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Suzan Lamens	Suzan Lamens	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xef9513…
04-20 02:59:42	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x0776c9…
04-20 02:38:02	Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0xb607c7…
04-19 11:40:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc715ca…
04-19 11:18:14	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Magic	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xae6ff1…
04-17 03:24:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x9a9086…
04-15 07:42:56	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	Yes	BUY	860	0¢	$2	0x5649a3…
04-15 07:39:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	643	0¢	$2	0xf867e2…
04-14 11:09:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x496536…
04-14 11:06:59	atp marozsa tsitsip 2026 04 13	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xffb490…
04-13 02:05:55	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0xc89d4a…
04-12 06:20:33	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x7e6a83…
04-12 06:14:17	Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x3ac8b4…
04-12 04:57:27	Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd7bc51…
04-11 09:53:35	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x582936…
04-11 09:42:43	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x03d6ad…
04-11 08:05:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xbed1fd…
04-10 08:05:59	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x848460…
04-09 11:43:05	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	795	0¢	$2	0xd1c253…
04-09 11:40:51	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	710	0¢	$1	0xe006a2…
04-08 07:35:05	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xe4b3ba…
04-08 07:29:43	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$135	0xd575ce…
04-08 06:33:01	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x1ec024…
04-07 09:04:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xe317b8…
04-06 07:08:51	ethereum above 1900 on april 6	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x0c1534…
04-04 07:09:39	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xb076b7…
04-03 06:03:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x07f597…
04-02 05:28:25	ethereum above 1700 on april 2	No	BUY	815	0¢	$2	0xc862f2…
04-02 05:25:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 2	Yes	BUY	665	0¢	$1	0xf7c70f…
04-01 04:04:17	ethereum above 1800 on april 1	No	BUY	823	0¢	$2	0x4960b5…
04-01 04:02:35	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 1	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$2	0x6d1f78…
03-30 07:16:16	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 30	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x77c70d…
03-29 11:46:04	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x7aede5…
03-29 11:40:42	Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0xa98379…
03-29 10:16:22	Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x43a5ba…
03-28 03:43:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 28	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x74b8f0…
03-28 03:16:07	nhl dal pit 2026 03 28	Stars	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xef5fb2…
03-28 03:14:13	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0x379d4f…
03-28 02:53:29	Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x05140c…
03-27 13:06:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0xe1b7d3…
03-25 08:26:15	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x53e41c…
03-22 04:44:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x0895f0…
03-21 12:32:39	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	No	BUY	825	0¢	$2	0x800e3e…
03-21 12:31:09	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	Yes	BUY	660	0¢	$1	0xe67bd4…
03-20 08:46:31	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x29a9f4…
03-20 08:39:13	atp ofner baena 2026 03 19	Roberto Carballes Baena	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc0ce3a…
03-20 08:37:51	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0x40aa6e…
03-20 08:16:01	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xc17a05…
03-20 08:15:13	will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0x8720b9…
03-20 07:54:15	will louisville win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xbee46b…
03-18 12:24:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xceca49…
03-18 12:20:43	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x2cf0de…
03-18 11:56:05	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xa498e8…
03-17 07:11:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 17	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xd62463…
03-17 06:58:07	will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x7c56ab…