Personal-Lava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,217

lifetime

Volume

$43.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-02 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$2

Crypto

36% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	36	$8.2K	6,794	6,894	-100	open	—	05-20 08:14
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	33	$5.9K	5,411	5,085	+326	open	—	05-30 16:16
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	5	$3.8K	2,102	2,502	-400	open	—	05-14 18:37
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	15	$3.1K	1,644	2,052	-408	open	—	05-14 03:44
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	10	$2.3K	1,850	695	+1,156	open	—	07-01 19:53
gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	3	$1.4K	1,474	0	+1,474	open	—	07-02 17:59
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	7	$1.0K	4,387	38	+4,350	open	—	05-14 08:40
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	1	$500	522	0	+522	open	—	06-24 03:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$472	294	294	+0	open	—	06-29 12:45
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	3	$329	350	0	+350	open	—	06-30 12:50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$279	200	100	+100	open	—	05-04 03:00
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	6	$195	300	300	+0	open	—	07-01 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	05-11 02:01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	05-12 19:11
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-07 01:38
xrp up or down march 31 2026 8pm et	38	$75	149	15	+134	open	—	04-01 00:54
xrp up or down march 30 2026 2pm et	9	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	03-30 18:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 15:26
xrp up or down march 30 2026 3pm et	6	$32	25	25	+0	open	—	03-30 19:22
xrp up or down march 30 2026 10pm et	10	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	03-31 02:03
bitcoin up or down february 24 8pm et	6	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-25 01:16
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 13:37
xrp up or down march 30 2026 8pm et	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-31 00:43
btc updown 15m 1771150500	18	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	02-15 10:25
btc updown 15m 1771149600	18	$20	39	17	+22	open	—	02-15 10:08
xrp up or down march 30 2026 5pm et	4	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 21:07
btc updown 15m 1771134300	17	$19	24	18	+5	open	—	02-15 05:49
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	1	$19	27	0	+27	open	—	05-09 09:11
bitcoin up or down february 15 7pm et	4	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	02-16 00:34
btc updown 15m 1771130700	14	$16	15	8	+7	open	—	02-15 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 17:59:23	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x2f399d…
07-02 17:58:55	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	479	93¢	$444	0x6d40ba…
07-02 14:36:13	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	895	93¢	$831	0x6552a8…
07-01 19:53:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	242	90¢	$219	0x8126c3…
07-01 19:47:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	SELL	695	95¢	$659	0x90b2f7…
07-01 19:33:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x27be85…
07-01 16:26:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x5f92a1…
07-01 07:39:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	101	93¢	$94	0xde487f…
07-01 07:18:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0edf9a…
07-01 07:03:14	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x8ae62e…
07-01 07:03:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xd62d73…
07-01 06:48:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xcb3875…
07-01 06:02:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	296	91¢	$269	0x88ff91…
06-30 20:43:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xfb058c…
06-30 20:32:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4dd603…
06-30 20:27:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x558e45…
06-30 20:22:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	67	93¢	$63	0x76509f…
06-30 18:45:22	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x53db56…
06-30 18:44:56	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb3fe05…
06-30 18:44:40	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4f68ac…
06-30 16:25:44	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	966	91¢	$883	0xe914fd…
06-30 12:50:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	249	94¢	$235	0x61e095…
06-30 06:00:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x0c8876…
06-30 05:56:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x306837…
06-30 05:52:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xca4264…
06-29 12:45:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	294	99¢	$292	0xeb9a47…
06-24 03:50:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0xde3702…
06-18 18:42:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x44da55…
06-16 22:26:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xbf3339…
05-30 23:55:32	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7bbf5f…
05-30 21:38:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x809c97…
05-30 16:16:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa007a1…
05-30 14:23:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xdf7ea6…
05-30 11:23:14	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3e6e4f…
05-30 10:14:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7a41be…
05-30 09:22:12	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0x66cfaf…
05-30 03:54:32	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x59fd8c…
05-30 02:49:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0fc1e6…
05-30 01:33:17	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,930	100¢	$1,920	0x8523b0…
05-29 23:51:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,252	100¢	$2,241	0x165ec8…
05-24 04:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x1c06d5…
05-23 04:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49de3a…
05-23 04:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe05950…
05-21 19:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x91c04b…
05-20 08:14:45	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	798	100¢	$794	0xc9a704…
05-20 06:13:31	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	618	99¢	$615	0x2f2c73…
05-20 05:36:25	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf19988…
05-20 05:30:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0xc7a38d…
05-20 05:18:21	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x68545c…
05-20 05:05:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb29972…
05-20 04:11:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xae26c6…
05-19 23:38:16	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f7999…
05-19 22:35:39	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xec75fc…
05-19 22:19:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x39830e…
05-19 22:17:59	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0xe37396…
05-19 20:55:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	472	100¢	$470	0x9b18c1…
05-19 19:24:38	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,198	100¢	$1,192	0x7690bb…
05-19 19:16:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0xa30cd0…
05-19 19:14:57	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	602	99¢	$599	0x03e406…
05-19 18:10:23	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,714	100¢	$1,705	0x573657…
05-19 17:45:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x8caedd…
05-19 17:37:03	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	126	95¢	$120	0x634165…
05-19 17:37:01	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x586569…
05-19 17:36:54	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	331	95¢	$314	0x7e7305…
05-15 15:42:54	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x942257…
05-15 15:21:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$4	0x657fea…
05-15 15:15:47	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xc8df94…
05-15 15:09:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xb53788…
05-15 15:08:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x206ee3…
05-15 14:53:37	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x0d77a0…
05-15 14:53:30	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,955	23¢	$450	0x668b1b…
05-15 12:45:34	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0x857ddf…
05-15 09:55:23	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	460	29¢	$133	0x09f860…
05-15 07:23:38	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x3c9783…
05-15 07:22:05	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xebfd02…
05-15 07:21:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xcc926b…
05-15 07:20:32	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4ac703…
05-14 18:37:41	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2,502	100¢	$2,499	0xfb5d9d…
05-14 13:37:14	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x6e776c…
05-14 12:48:06	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	374	20¢	$75	0x4b3ff8…
05-14 08:46:04	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	95	26¢	$25	0x24e2f3…
05-14 08:40:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	51¢	$17	0x7f0aa0…
05-14 07:44:18	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0xacf146…
05-14 06:43:46	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xcd1c07…
05-14 06:32:20	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x314bde…
05-14 06:32:17	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0xd09a55…
05-14 06:32:05	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xbac31f…
05-14 06:31:31	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x67dd0b…
05-14 06:28:57	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdbccd5…
05-14 06:04:31	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f0c67…
05-14 06:04:01	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xb0f8dc…
05-14 06:03:54	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7bd623…
05-14 06:03:49	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x3602bf…
05-14 06:03:33	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x15d6ee…
05-14 06:03:05	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc626e1…
05-14 06:03:02	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf69b65…
05-14 06:03:02	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7aa694…
05-14 06:03:00	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x90202d…
05-14 06:03:00	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,561	12¢	$180	0x594e18…
05-14 06:03:00	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x4876ea…