Personal-Lava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,257

lifetime

Volume

$47.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-23 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$2

Crypto

32% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	36	$8.2K	6,794	6,894	-100	open	—	05-20 08:14
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	33	$5.9K	5,411	5,085	+326	open	—	05-30 16:16
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	5	$3.8K	2,102	2,502	-400	open	—	05-14 18:37
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	15	$3.1K	1,644	2,052	-408	open	—	05-14 03:44
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	11	$3.0K	1,850	1,388	+462	open	—	07-10 05:42
gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	5	$2.3K	1,474	905	+569	open	—	07-13 18:30
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	23	$1.6K	1,840	0	+1,840	open	—	07-14 17:26
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	7	$1.0K	4,387	38	+4,350	open	—	05-14 08:40
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	5	$679	350	350	-0	open	—	07-04 03:40
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	1	$500	522	0	+522	open	—	06-24 03:50
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	8	$480	569	0	+569	open	—	07-18 05:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$472	294	294	+0	open	—	06-29 12:45
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	3	$279	200	100	+100	open	—	05-04 03:00
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	1	$251	284	0	+284	open	—	07-14 18:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	6	$195	300	300	+0	open	—	07-01 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	05-11 02:01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	05-12 19:11
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$2	05-07 01:38
xrp up or down march 31 2026 8pm et	38	$75	149	15	+134	open	—	04-01 00:54
xrp up or down march 30 2026 2pm et	9	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	03-30 18:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 15:26
will a new gemini flagship be released by july 31 2026	1	$36	51	0	+51	open	—	07-14 18:35
xrp up or down march 30 2026 3pm et	6	$32	25	25	+0	open	—	03-30 19:22
xrp up or down march 30 2026 10pm et	10	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	03-31 02:03
bitcoin up or down february 24 8pm et	6	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-25 01:16
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 13:37
xrp up or down march 30 2026 8pm et	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-31 00:43
btc updown 15m 1771150500	18	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	02-15 10:25
btc updown 15m 1771149600	18	$20	39	17	+22	open	—	02-15 10:08
xrp up or down march 30 2026 5pm et	4	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-30 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 08:44:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x5dc50d…
07-18 05:15:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6629e5…
07-16 19:27:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4e9fb3…
07-15 09:07:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x462d38…
07-15 08:59:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xbbf004…
07-15 08:53:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x38af4c…
07-15 08:51:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xdf1d67…
07-15 05:59:43	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	278	83¢	$231	0x22c3b7…
07-14 19:30:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x526844…
07-14 18:35:28	will a new gemini flagship be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	51	70¢	$36	0x084110…
07-14 18:34:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 30 2026	No	BUY	284	88¢	$251	0x90d4ee…
07-14 18:34:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	194	87¢	$168	0xe237e0…
07-14 17:26:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0c0e4f…
07-14 17:00:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0xa4e36c…
07-14 16:36:53	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0x7fcf12…
07-14 16:30:47	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	191	88¢	$168	0x854234…
07-14 15:35:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x96ee83…
07-13 18:30:37	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	537	97¢	$522	0xd177f1…
07-13 18:29:02	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	SELL	368	98¢	$361	0x6eccd9…
07-13 09:16:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	123	88¢	$108	0x94839e…
07-13 09:03:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x771d1c…
07-13 08:25:22	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xc3f4d4…
07-13 08:25:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	163	88¢	$143	0xd2cfd1…
07-13 03:25:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xaa8245…
07-13 01:52:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x283e60…
07-11 19:09:52	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	64	88¢	$56	0x368173…
07-11 08:15:35	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	27	88¢	$24	0x0a033b…
07-10 19:33:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xc2417e…
07-10 19:03:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	494	88¢	$435	0x9dc11c…
07-10 17:13:02	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x19ce34…
07-10 17:12:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5cfb40…
07-10 16:12:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x118f0c…
07-10 13:00:46	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xaedac2…
07-10 12:05:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x962ec3…
07-10 12:05:02	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1dac62…
07-10 05:49:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 17 2026	No	BUY	240	93¢	$222	0x4b2be7…
07-10 05:42:32	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	SELL	694	99¢	$688	0x9bccb6…
07-04 03:40:10	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	340	100¢	$340	0xdd275b…
07-03 16:24:53	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4678fb…
07-02 17:59:23	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x2f399d…
07-02 17:58:55	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	479	93¢	$444	0x6d40ba…
07-02 14:36:13	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	895	93¢	$831	0x6552a8…
07-01 19:53:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	242	90¢	$219	0x8126c3…
07-01 19:47:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	SELL	695	95¢	$659	0x90b2f7…
07-01 19:33:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	300	0¢	$1	0x27be85…
07-01 16:26:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x5f92a1…
07-01 07:39:29	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	101	93¢	$94	0xde487f…
07-01 07:18:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x0edf9a…
07-01 07:03:14	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x8ae62e…
07-01 07:03:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xd62d73…
07-01 06:48:20	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xcb3875…
07-01 06:02:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	296	91¢	$269	0x88ff91…
06-30 20:43:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xfb058c…
06-30 20:32:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4dd603…
06-30 20:27:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x558e45…
06-30 20:22:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	67	93¢	$63	0x76509f…
06-30 18:45:22	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x53db56…
06-30 18:44:56	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xb3fe05…
06-30 18:44:40	will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4f68ac…
06-30 16:25:44	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	966	91¢	$883	0xe914fd…
06-30 12:50:17	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	249	94¢	$235	0x61e095…
06-30 06:00:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 10 2026	No	BUY	120	85¢	$102	0x0c8876…
06-30 05:56:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x306837…
06-30 05:52:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xca4264…
06-29 12:45:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	294	99¢	$292	0xeb9a47…
06-24 03:50:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0xde3702…
06-18 18:42:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x44da55…
06-16 22:26:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xbf3339…
05-30 23:55:32	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7bbf5f…
05-30 21:38:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x809c97…
05-30 16:16:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa007a1…
05-30 14:23:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xdf7ea6…
05-30 11:23:14	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3e6e4f…
05-30 10:14:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7a41be…
05-30 09:22:12	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	295	100¢	$295	0x66cfaf…
05-30 03:54:32	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x59fd8c…
05-30 02:49:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0fc1e6…
05-30 01:33:17	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,930	100¢	$1,920	0x8523b0…
05-29 23:51:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,252	100¢	$2,241	0x165ec8…
05-24 04:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x1c06d5…
05-23 04:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49de3a…
05-23 04:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe05950…
05-21 19:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x91c04b…
05-20 08:14:45	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	798	100¢	$794	0xc9a704…
05-20 06:13:31	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	618	99¢	$615	0x2f2c73…
05-20 05:36:25	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf19988…
05-20 05:30:08	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0xc7a38d…
05-20 05:18:21	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x68545c…
05-20 05:05:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb29972…
05-20 04:11:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xae26c6…
05-19 23:38:16	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f7999…
05-19 22:35:39	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xec75fc…
05-19 22:19:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x39830e…
05-19 22:17:59	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	155	99¢	$154	0xe37396…
05-19 20:55:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	472	100¢	$470	0x9b18c1…
05-19 19:24:38	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,198	100¢	$1,192	0x7690bb…
05-19 19:16:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0xa30cd0…
05-19 19:14:57	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	602	99¢	$599	0x03e406…
05-19 18:10:23	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	1,714	100¢	$1,705	0x573657…
05-19 17:45:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0x8caedd…