Sunny-Gaffe — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved (90d)

138

Trades (90d)

1,459

2,909 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$98.9K

$170.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$75

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-30 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 40% -$1,720

Other

7% 43% +$1,391

Sports

0% 33% -$28

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes		+196	$71	38¢	$74	+$3	10-19 16:32
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No		+5	$1	13¢	$1	-$1	10-29 16:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	310	$23.0K	25,049	17,970	+7,079	No	-$566	07-31 01:23
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	150	$17.2K	19,689	16,181	+3,508	No	+$4,117	08-30 20:44
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in september 2026	100	$7.4K	12,085	2,595	+9,490	No	+$6,505	09-30 14:51
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	48	$6.8K	12,548	633	+11,915	No	-$5,658	10-29 02:52
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?	81	$6.6K	9,566	3,849	+5,717	No	+$956	07-30 05:01
Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?	27	$5.4K	5,454	983	+4,471	No	+$968	07-31 07:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	99	$5.4K	7,568	2,875	+4,693	No	+$687	07-31 18:26
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	53	$4.9K	3,707	3,520	+187	No	+$507	08-07 19:48
will xrp dip to 1 in july 2026	40	$4.8K	2,885	2,743	+142	No	+$605	07-31 05:45
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	49	$4.0K	5,472	1,942	+3,530	Yes	-$1,738	08-19 14:48
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	14	$3.7K	2,866	2,240	+626	No	+$158	08-30 05:30
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	34	$3.5K	6,434	375	+6,059	Yes	-$2,452	09-21 08:37
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?	78	$3.4K	6,350	4,102	+2,248	Yes	+$2,169	08-24 15:37
will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	19	$2.8K	4,111	499	+3,612	Yes	-$2,638	08-20 23:32
Will Solana reach $120 in September?	8	$2.7K	3,124	58	+3,066	Yes	-$2,620	09-24 19:50
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	30	$2.6K	7,542	1,093	+6,449	No	-$2,452	08-21 17:00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	49	$2.5K	4,983	1,840	+3,143	Yes	+$165	09-21 08:28
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	41	$2.1K	2,654	1,067	+1,587	Yes	+$808	08-21 06:42
Will Solana reach $120 in August?	8	$2.1K	2,259	0	+2,259	No	+$176	08-29 10:04
will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026	33	$1.9K	3,338	1,615	+1,723	Yes	-$76	08-21 19:12
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	22	$1.8K	4,112	843	+3,269	Yes	-$1,171	08-19 22:22
Will Solana reach $110 in August?	13	$1.7K	3,363	0	+3,363	Yes	-$1,472	08-27 22:07
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	42	$1.7K	4,676	0	+4,676	No	+$1,069	06-30 13:23
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?	11	$1.7K	3,036	0	+3,036	No	+$1,368	10-10 16:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	57	$1.6K	2,742	0	+2,742	No	+$639	05-18 13:43
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	44	$1.6K	3,575	0	+3,575	No	+$628	06-30 04:33
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	20	$1.6K	4,524	142	+4,382	Yes	-$894	08-19 15:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	19	$1.6K	7,545	8	+7,537	No	-$1,566	10-18 23:25
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	21	$1.5K	2,884	0	+2,884	No	+$1,387	10-14 12:20
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	29	$1.5K	3,134	0	+3,134	No	+$867	05-27 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:00:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x44b2b2…
10-30 20:57:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	195	83¢	$163	0xbfd275…
10-30 20:53:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x06df6f…
10-30 20:32:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd80480…
10-30 20:08:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xbcdf7d…
10-30 19:20:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	129	67¢	$87	0xb860da…
10-30 18:48:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x135c33…
10-30 18:44:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	94	76¢	$71	0xd729d6…
10-30 14:38:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	580	6¢	$32	0x05b8d8…
10-30 14:09:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x73c613…
10-30 14:07:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x1cb887…
10-30 14:07:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xcee199…
10-30 13:42:49	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x996331…
10-30 07:48:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x17bde5…
10-30 07:30:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x10b643…
10-30 05:36:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	134	3¢	$4	0xe6a9d7…
10-30 01:17:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0x431e13…
10-30 00:11:06	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x91016c…
10-29 23:53:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	715	5¢	$33	0x9c53db…
10-29 23:46:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x6cb56a…
10-29 23:16:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0xab17be…
10-29 21:39:18	Will Solana dip to $90 in October?	Yes	BUY	66	14¢	$9	0x85b622…
10-29 21:25:21	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?	Yes	BUY	90	27¢	$24	0x628f38…
10-29 21:11:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	181	50¢	$90	0x5f1d16…
10-29 21:08:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xcfdf6c…
10-29 16:52:07	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xca7652…
10-29 16:12:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	261	4¢	$10	0x018564…
10-29 15:29:04	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	269	2¢	$4	0x2223b0…
10-29 14:14:53	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$32	0x864d43…
10-29 13:05:25	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x90fc1b…
10-29 02:52:55	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x95e019…
10-29 02:52:53	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x913785…
10-29 02:52:52	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ea0d6…
10-29 02:52:50	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa8315…
10-29 02:52:49	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdce493…
10-29 01:51:01	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x0a29c0…
10-29 01:50:59	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x63e2e0…
10-29 01:50:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x618b97…
10-29 01:04:46	Will XRP reach $1.60 in October?	Yes	BUY	655	1¢	$9	0xaec22e…
10-28 20:29:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	363	88¢	$319	0x15fecf…
10-24 03:02:39	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x8e59ab…
10-23 22:48:50	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	24¢	$18	0x595443…
10-23 21:11:26	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0ef520…
10-22 15:07:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	106	7¢	$7	0x058f5a…
10-21 17:53:32	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x521c06…
10-20 19:42:41	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	999	31¢	$310	0x20768a…
10-20 16:24:08	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc5ac78…
10-19 22:16:11	Will XRP reach $1.80 in October?	Yes	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xc64453…
10-19 18:10:47	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x187e5f…
10-19 16:32:02	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	98	38¢	$37	0x38f688…
10-19 16:31:56	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	98	35¢	$34	0x5fc499…
10-19 10:33:24	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd35e15…
10-19 07:49:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	49	17¢	$8	0xddc325…
10-19 07:26:56	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	518	39¢	$202	0x6a61e3…
10-19 03:37:33	Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	No	BUY	46	78¢	$36	0xa49386…
10-18 23:43:12	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	79	10¢	$8	0x425b51…
10-18 23:25:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x15dd09…
10-18 21:36:44	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	104	25¢	$26	0xfb78ed…
10-18 21:32:47	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x6abc48…
10-18 20:41:23	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	143	24¢	$34	0xa3c2e3…
10-18 18:16:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	684	15¢	$103	0x1f98c8…
10-18 17:53:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xcde217…
10-18 04:44:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	260	18¢	$47	0x12b4ae…
10-18 02:20:47	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	230	29¢	$67	0x9bed80…
10-18 00:56:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x015373…
10-18 00:36:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	800	17¢	$136	0x29ba9b…
10-17 06:54:51	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x81546e…
10-16 18:45:34	Will Solana dip to $100 in October?	No	BUY	106	25¢	$27	0x892c31…
10-16 17:17:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	165	28¢	$46	0x0b9492…
10-16 15:53:27	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x4a0e48…
10-16 15:50:55	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x7292f6…
10-16 15:11:06	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x43c03b…
10-16 06:41:31	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x1b5154…
10-16 06:13:21	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x641651…
10-16 06:13:00	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb1a6d1…
10-16 06:12:51	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x90519a…
10-16 06:12:28	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x37c415…
10-16 06:12:19	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	62	12¢	$7	0xb9d379…
10-16 06:12:19	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x04e381…
10-16 06:12:10	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5dd990…
10-16 06:12:09	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	9¢	$6	0x4d00fa…
10-16 06:11:57	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7054bb…
10-16 06:11:01	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xc0ba2c…
10-16 06:08:24	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0xc6e471…
10-16 04:21:19	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	599	72¢	$431	0x4de6b7…
10-16 04:01:49	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3d67a1…
10-16 03:41:07	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	472	36¢	$170	0x65e61e…
10-15 16:35:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	166	24¢	$39	0x6c3d4b…
10-15 15:52:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	108	27¢	$29	0xbe08f6…
10-15 15:37:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5388b6…
10-15 15:27:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x18a9c1…
10-15 15:05:44	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	38¢	$379	0x4a715f…
10-15 15:02:38	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	46	14¢	$6	0x12504b…
10-15 14:58:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	321	23¢	$72	0xc986b6…
10-15 14:58:20	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	456	13¢	$62	0xd937a2…
10-15 14:49:23	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	252	13¢	$33	0x58a0e8…
10-15 14:46:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	147	21¢	$31	0x89c3e9…
10-15 14:41:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	642	21¢	$135	0x16f369…
10-15 14:40:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	357	20¢	$73	0xcef7c3…
10-15 14:39:13	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x17f9c6…