Back-Suppression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

Trades

384

lifetime

Volume

$129.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$336

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-15 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

52% 60% +$938

Politics

42% 59% $-4,402

Crypto

4% 50% +$306

Sports

1% 100% +$11

Tech

1% 50% $-267

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	12	$17.2K	9,000	8,950	+50	Yes	+$769	02-28 17:31
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	5	$14.3K	0	14,328	-14,328	Yes	$-14	02-17 14:51
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	No	+$9	03-04 17:48
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$4.9K	0	5,663	-5,663	No	$-736	03-20 18:36
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	11	$4.6K	3,282	1,502	+1,779	No	+$115	03-29 15:56
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	27	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$84	02-18 06:03
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$3.7K	0	3,800	-3,800	No	$-96	02-16 11:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$3.2K	3,500	500	+3,000	Yes	$-2,435	02-18 12:17
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	19	$3.0K	3,031	0	+3,031	Yes	+$17	02-18 07:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$3.0K	3,090	0	+3,090	Yes	$-2,986	02-18 09:59
will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	2	$2.9K	3,364	0	+3,364	No	+$477	02-24 20:38
will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	3	$2.3K	2,343	129	+2,215	No	+$197	03-24 11:32
peter mandelson charged by march 31	3	$2.2K	2,236	0	+2,236	No	+$43	03-27 15:39
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	9	$2.1K	2,287	0	+2,287	No	+$190	02-24 19:27
will the next dutch government be vvd cda ja21 d66	14	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	02-21 19:26
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$2.0K	0	2,000	-2,000	No	$-30	03-17 08:57
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	3	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$34	02-17 21:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$1.9K	0	2,000	-2,000	No	$-64	04-02 20:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$41	04-03 03:25
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	4	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$112	03-02 20:10
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	9	$1.7K	1,200	600	+600	Yes	+$62	02-25 19:06
will trump sue powell by march 31	6	$1.6K	300	1,300	-1,000	No	$-8	03-27 15:41
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	1	$1.5K	0	1,536	-1,536	No	$-6	02-21 19:27
will russia enter rizdvianka by february 28	3	$1.5K	1,580	0	+1,580	No	+$96	02-18 10:09
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	7	$1.4K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$570	02-24 22:11
will trump say peanut during the 2026 state of the union address	7	$1.4K	1,726	0	+1,726	No	+$323	02-25 02:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$1.2K	0	1,200	-1,200	No	$-12	03-25 21:42
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$1.1K	1,136	0	+1,136	Yes	+$36	02-21 19:29
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$4	02-18 09:36
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$995	0	1,000	-1,000	No	$-5	03-25 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 16:13:00	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	133	84¢	$112	0x787bd0…
06-15 16:06:16	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	67	84¢	$56	0x96fdc0…
05-12 23:01:40	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xd4abfb…
05-12 21:58:31	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xaaea7d…
05-12 21:56:13	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25e04e…
05-12 21:23:44	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x7020a7…
04-13 20:17:29	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	161	83¢	$134	0x2dbe33…
04-12 12:46:25	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x4cf0ee…
04-12 11:48:17	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x4fd45d…
04-12 11:33:43	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	240	83¢	$199	0xc99116…
04-12 11:31:45	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x1c1222…
04-12 11:31:41	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xffb5cc…
04-12 10:21:39	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	83¢	$75	0x27177f…
04-12 10:16:53	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x9aa562…
04-12 08:49:57	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	83¢	$61	0x3dcfb7…
04-07 10:45:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0xcef992…
04-07 10:44:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	800	0¢	$2	0x6d10a4…
04-03 07:17:07	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	453	97¢	$438	0x90c4cd…
04-03 03:25:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	98¢	$981	0x75966f…
04-02 20:01:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	566	97¢	$548	0x89b7a9…
04-02 20:01:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1,434	97¢	$1,388	0x0757d0…
04-02 19:59:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x82272b…
04-02 19:22:41	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	374	97¢	$364	0x02070c…
04-02 18:57:07	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x2579d6…
04-02 18:56:15	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x0b9852…
03-30 02:40:52	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x49608c…
03-29 15:56:56	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0x4c2285…
03-28 19:47:38	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x7edbe8…
03-28 14:02:57	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xbe3478…
03-28 08:13:11	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7089c0…
03-28 07:25:51	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a1204…
03-28 06:09:21	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x739bca…
03-28 06:08:49	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x30e53a…
03-28 05:02:01	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x828428…
03-27 15:41:19	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xd1a5c9…
03-27 15:39:27	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	BUY	464	99¢	$458	0x08095d…
03-27 13:24:07	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xee36df…
03-27 05:46:47	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xe82124…
03-27 04:03:35	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x820438…
03-27 03:59:39	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x01f1c8…
03-26 22:04:43	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd59f03…
03-26 19:28:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0x9e79fd…
03-26 19:21:53	iran leadership change by march 31	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x01b27c…
03-26 19:19:17	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	47	90¢	$42	0x283d93…
03-26 19:12:31	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	477	94¢	$448	0xc0c8ee…
03-26 19:11:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xf38cab…
03-26 19:11:51	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	284	97¢	$275	0x43a24e…
03-26 19:11:31	us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	No	BUY	365	99¢	$360	0x7c7371…
03-26 19:11:11	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	262	99¢	$259	0xd9c182…
03-26 18:52:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	400	37¢	$148	0x606a6a…
03-26 18:44:57	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	BUY	1,722	98¢	$1,687	0xc48721…
03-25 23:49:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	442	100¢	$440	0xc6e6be…
03-25 23:16:11	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	500	98¢	$488	0xe30a05…
03-25 23:09:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x79e6f5…
03-25 21:58:49	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd491d7…
03-25 21:52:23	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	353	99¢	$352	0x46e9fa…
03-25 21:42:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	854	99¢	$846	0x26e91a…
03-25 21:38:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	159	99¢	$158	0xb168ae…
03-25 21:33:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	186	99¢	$184	0xf0ba1b…
03-24 11:32:27	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	No	SELL	129	94¢	$121	0xb3e094…
03-24 11:31:37	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	1,002	97¢	$973	0x1cd776…
03-21 17:58:25	peter mandelson charged by march 31	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc4376a…
03-21 10:42:07	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	1,174	95¢	$1,117	0xe77911…
03-20 18:36:51	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	3,000	87¢	$2,610	0x8f5bb2…
03-20 18:35:55	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,663	87¢	$2,317	0x660ade…
03-18 21:54:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0xca6389…
03-18 21:37:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	885	94¢	$832	0x496870…
03-18 21:35:19	italy nordio reform referendum passes	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xef3d3c…
03-18 21:19:55	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x6aeede…
03-18 21:13:37	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	90	93¢	$83	0x967e8c…
03-18 21:03:39	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xbed40d…
03-18 21:03:31	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x9803df…
03-18 20:51:49	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xb23803…
03-18 20:49:53	internet access restored in iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x2a03a7…
03-18 09:37:43	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xce8898…
03-18 09:37:01	will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	No	BUY	2,243	91¢	$2,048	0x7bcb88…
03-18 09:31:37	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	1,860	95¢	$1,765	0xc8b643…
03-17 15:29:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xe51465…
03-17 09:13:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xc7df46…
03-17 09:01:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0x8e82c4…
03-17 08:57:59	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	428	98¢	$421	0x85422e…
03-17 08:57:07	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	1,572	98¢	$1,549	0xf6d622…
03-16 10:18:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	121	71¢	$86	0x058445…
03-16 10:17:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xd55a19…
03-16 10:17:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	574	71¢	$408	0xd284d4…
03-16 10:07:33	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$991	0x4658de…
03-11 00:16:41	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	SELL	996	99¢	$987	0x5802d9…
03-10 23:05:53	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x104a32…
03-09 21:38:19	will trump sue powell by march 31	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xc14744…
03-05 13:31:19	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	Yes	SELL	182	8¢	$15	0x9c2202…
03-04 17:48:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0x920182…
03-04 06:28:21	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xd1abb5…
03-04 06:28:21	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xb2ed62…
03-04 06:28:21	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x4c7a1f…
03-04 06:28:21	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x11490d…
03-04 06:28:21	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x048b56…
03-04 06:28:19	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xa33a07…
03-04 06:28:19	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x3f5f96…
03-04 06:28:19	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x228fd8…
03-02 20:10:19	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	No	BUY	578	94¢	$545	0x7613b9…