Improbable-Homogenate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

380

Trades

400

lifetime

Volume

$7.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-31 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 265 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 72% +$16

Other

32% 0% -$2,350

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 mglz pain 2026 03 06 total games 2pt5	1	$2.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	Under	-$2,350	03-06 13:50
bitcoin above 72k on february 13	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	02-13 12:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-31 10:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 28?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-28 07:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-26 09:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 25?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-25 09:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-24 09:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-23 10:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 22?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-22 10:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-21 13:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-20 09:25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 19?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-19 07:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 18?	2	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-18 09:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 17?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-17 10:10
ethereum above 2600 on october 15 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-15 08:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 14?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-14 09:30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-13 02:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	1	$24	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	10-12 12:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	10-11 14:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-10 14:06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 9?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-09 13:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	10-08 12:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-07 10:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	10-06 10:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-05 13:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 4?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-04 12:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-03 11:40
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 2?	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	10-02 11:32
ethereum above 2900 on october 1 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	10-01 07:54
ethereum above 2500 on september 30 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	09-30 09:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 10:12:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3a0559…
10-29 02:51:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf18c30…
10-29 02:51:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2d6d92…
10-28 07:36:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5240b5…
10-27 05:37:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa2ac60…
10-27 05:37:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e44a8…
10-26 09:08:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x43a745…
10-25 09:47:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x379d45…
10-24 09:36:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 24?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa242f7…
10-23 10:02:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf8d7ab…
10-22 10:04:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa461c7…
10-21 13:01:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 21?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x263e74…
10-20 09:25:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd9c984…
10-19 07:20:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 19?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xec70a0…
10-18 09:06:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x221225…
10-18 09:06:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeb695d…
10-17 10:10:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4c2fb4…
10-15 08:20:22	ethereum above 2600 on october 15 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x588b62…
10-14 09:30:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4d36b5…
10-13 02:58:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b0c1f…
10-12 12:46:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x958b4c…
10-11 14:18:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x11f7f5…
10-10 14:06:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7a9c11…
10-09 13:34:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 9?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x100c3a…
10-08 12:37:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1446ee…
10-07 10:10:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3eabdd…
10-06 10:02:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x802383…
10-05 13:13:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfc4c77…
10-04 12:58:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2e68d3…
10-03 11:40:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe361f2…
10-02 11:32:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xde4c45…
10-01 07:54:33	ethereum above 2900 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x27adbd…
09-30 09:38:47	ethereum above 2500 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb14db8…
09-29 10:05:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x72745b…
09-28 12:13:32	ethereum above 2500 on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcc92ae…
09-27 09:27:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb53aff…
09-26 09:10:15	ethereum above 2800 on september 26 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3402e4…
09-25 08:47:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x60ed5d…
09-24 11:30:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe19273…
09-23 12:44:52	ethereum above 2500 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8a7758…
09-22 09:38:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9cbae6…
09-21 10:08:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x73181f…
09-20 12:58:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 20?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaef31f…
09-18 16:34:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0xe5eb14…
09-18 11:13:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7c8e3a…
09-17 10:12:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 17?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x31a505…
09-16 13:06:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 16?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xee14ef…
09-15 11:33:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5e17ed…
09-14 12:59:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2dcf21…
09-13 12:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3c89c5…
09-12 13:26:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x722377…
09-10 14:12:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8c6a9b…
09-09 13:57:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaa8e87…
09-07 14:34:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbc6468…
09-06 08:56:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1a7250…
09-05 07:18:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0ff49c…
09-04 10:20:33	ethereum above 2800 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0c8eb2…
09-03 09:32:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6da9d1…
09-02 09:57:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 2?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x73cc3b…
09-01 10:39:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3f2154…
08-31 12:42:01	bitcoin above 74k on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe657ad…
08-30 08:14:34	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc22c99…
08-29 08:23:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x195255…
08-28 09:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x341e94…
08-27 00:23:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 27?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xdf6b61…
08-26 08:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x53f8fa…
08-25 09:02:40	ethereum above 2700 on august 25 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x32e50f…
08-24 07:20:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x88bb86…
08-23 08:39:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 23?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x871416…
08-22 08:21:51	ethereum above 2100 on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7af92b…
08-21 13:03:43	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfd3db1…
08-20 12:56:24	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x001381…
08-19 11:17:36	ethereum above 1800 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6ff313…
08-18 10:59:42	ethereum above 2000 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc2b9c1…
08-17 10:33:34	ethereum above 2000 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6f42ca…
08-16 10:24:19	ethereum above 1800 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7ddd95…
08-15 10:40:57	ethereum above 1700 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd7e9b9…
08-12 14:31:46	bitcoin above 62k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1f7517…
08-11 14:06:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x202aa0…
08-10 10:45:06	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd009f3…
08-09 12:13:03	ethereum above 2000 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8e9c46…
08-08 13:35:12	ethereum above 2000 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe1cc31…
08-07 09:02:24	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x04d318…
08-06 11:06:14	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd62fde…
08-05 08:51:26	ethereum above 1700 on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe37567…
08-04 10:16:56	ethereum above 1700 on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1adca5…
08-03 10:42:26	will bitcoin dip to 59k on august 3	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x553d9c…
08-02 09:07:35	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7d1728…
08-01 05:58:50	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xa6e53a…
07-31 10:10:26	ethereum above 2000 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5148cd…
07-30 07:14:56	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xaf6fca…
07-29 06:02:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x4af960…
07-28 10:09:46	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9e7787…
07-27 07:23:19	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5f864d…
07-26 10:38:03	ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb2ab1c…
07-25 09:18:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbf3b81…
07-24 10:05:28	ethereum above 2000 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf0dd41…
07-23 10:34:15	ethereum above 1800 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xdb2b6c…
07-22 06:51:15	ethereum above 1800 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8a4f79…
07-21 08:57:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0945ca…