Spry-Potential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$200

Hit rate

7.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

$1.01K

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-26 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

75% 20% -$4,069

Other

22% 20% +$65

Sports

3% 0% -$194

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	-14,170	-$796	3¢	$-468	+$328	06-08 22:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+615	$400	72¢	$440	+$40	10-26 18:51
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,564	$300	3¢	$51	-$249	10-19 19:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	-682	-$89	4¢	$-31	+$58	06-05 05:48
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+4,194	$400	1¢	$23	-$377	10-19 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	9	$4.0K	14,351	9,163	+5,188	No	-$825	03-06 21:09
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$2.8K	10,045	5,023	+5,023	No	-$1,635	03-03 18:21
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	6	$1.5K	83,326	0	+83,326	No	-$1,508	06-09 03:02
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$1.3K	6,890	6,890	+0	open	—	10-19 19:52
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$796	0	14,170	-14,170	open	—	06-08 22:46
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	2	$516	416	416	+0	Yes	+$316	03-03 18:23
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	3	$456	6,400	6,400	+0	No	-$184	06-09 03:02
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$400	4,194	0	+4,194	open	—	10-19 19:54
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$400	615	0	+615	open	—	10-26 18:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$352	101,562	101,562	+0	Yes	-$148	03-02 17:05
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	1,564	0	+1,564	open	—	10-19 19:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$247	175	175	+0	Yes	+$47	03-06 21:06
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	1	$101	430	0	+430	No	-$101	03-01 03:11
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$100	526	0	+526	No	-$100	03-10 19:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$89	0	682	-682	open	—	06-05 05:48
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$30	259	0	+259	No	-$30	03-10 19:40
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$20	435	0	+435	No	-$20	03-10 19:41
nba lal gsw 2026 02 28	1	$10	1,250	0	+1,250	Lakers	-$10	03-01 03:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:51:41	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	615	65¢	$400	0xbe08a3…
10-19 19:54:36	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,194	10¢	$400	0x682df1…
10-19 19:52:32	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,564	19¢	$300	0xdf9e02…
10-19 19:52:15	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,890	5¢	$338	0xb9e69a…
09-15 18:38:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,125	8¢	$90	0xc53cea…
09-15 18:37:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x6dd54b…
09-15 18:29:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,515	18¢	$800	0xa632e2…
06-09 03:02:51	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16,416	1¢	$100	0x842d82…
06-09 03:02:31	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	SELL	6,400	2¢	$136	0x15c4c5…
06-09 02:00:07	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6,667	1¢	$40	0xf70e97…
06-08 22:46:55	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	6,000	5¢	$300	0x970274…
06-08 22:46:48	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,085	5¢	$346	0x1ad8db…
06-08 22:46:36	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x2c3ae6…
06-08 01:19:04	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	50,380	0¢	$200	0x7e91f8…
06-05 18:02:25	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,174	5¢	$100	0xdd9aa1…
06-05 05:48:51	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4,000	5¢	$200	0xa14ea9…
06-05 05:48:28	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,085	6¢	$450	0x78f7f3…
06-05 05:48:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	682	13¢	$89	0xb8fe03…
05-14 20:41:47	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,689	24¢	$868	0x85045c…
03-10 19:41:17	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	435	5¢	$20	0xf5a55d…
03-10 19:40:57	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	259	12¢	$30	0x99e8f6…
03-10 19:40:49	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xbffc02…
03-06 21:09:09	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,188	8¢	$100	0x09174b…
03-06 21:06:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	175	84¢	$147	0x2c5ed9…
03-03 18:23:47	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x0ba449…
03-03 18:23:23	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	SELL	416	100¢	$416	0x2a3e8e…
03-03 18:22:01	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	3,333	15¢	$500	0x4983b7…
03-03 18:21:51	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5,023	11¢	$565	0xd3da66…
03-02 17:05:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	101,562	0¢	$102	0x34b510…
03-02 01:46:55	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,809	18¢	$500	0xdd53e7…
03-02 01:46:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,170	17¢	$200	0x594947…
03-02 01:42:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$200	0x2fafd0…
03-02 01:42:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3,263	15¢	$500	0x050e60…
03-01 22:25:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,804	36¢	$1,000	0xab598c…
03-01 22:25:27	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	9,163	17¢	$1,575	0xc3c32d…
03-01 19:44:53	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,147	17¢	$200	0x7f460c…
03-01 14:01:15	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,268	16¢	$200	0xd62abd…
03-01 14:00:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,931	16¢	$300	0xee9845…
03-01 14:00:23	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	3,297	15¢	$500	0x07aee9…
03-01 03:11:33	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	430	23¢	$101	0x422b19…
03-01 03:11:27	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	416	24¢	$100	0x3fcf66…
03-01 03:08:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x966082…
03-01 03:07:25	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1,520	33¢	$500	0xd62242…
03-01 03:05:41	nba lal gsw 2026 02 28	Warriors	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x816d13…
02-28 23:24:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,562	3¢	$50	0x841d82…