Dark-Viability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$7.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-07 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Politics

34% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	6	$1.8K	138,793	105,460	+33,333	open	—	02-03 02:08
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 28 567	10	$953	43,992	11	+43,981	open	—	01-31 07:39
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	2	$768	408	408	+0	open	—	01-24 21:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$300	11,375	0	+11,375	open	—	01-28 20:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$298	617	123	+494	open	—	01-18 13:39
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	4	$296	634	634	+0	open	—	02-01 08:39
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	1	$250	268	0	+268	open	—	01-18 12:05
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$250	275	0	+275	open	—	01-18 12:04
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 31 125	4	$213	129	129	+0	open	—	02-03 02:08
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 30 296	3	$204	130	119	+11	open	—	01-29 10:21
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 29 442	3	$203	130	119	+10	open	—	01-29 10:20
will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	3	$169	137	137	+0	open	—	02-22 02:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$147	169	169	+0	open	—	01-27 23:45
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$139	244	244	+0	open	—	01-27 23:45
will russia strike kyiv on february 8 2026	3	$107	1,760	0	+1,760	open	—	02-08 17:52
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	01-27 02:07
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 27 376	1	$100	774	0	+774	open	—	01-27 00:50
will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	3	$63	86	33	+53	open	—	02-13 20:59
will russia strike kyiv on february 7 2026	3	$60	80	14	+67	open	—	02-07 23:13
will russia strike kyiv on february 14 2026	4	$53	75	40	+34	open	—	02-13 20:41
will russia strike kyiv on february 6 2026	1	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	02-05 11:12
will russia strike kyiv on february 5 2026	5	$46	8,901	4,450	+4,450	open	—	02-07 23:12
will russia strike kyiv on february 25 2026	4	$35	175	175	+0	open	—	02-26 19:02
will russia strike kyiv on february 12 2026	1	$31	39	0	+39	open	—	02-10 08:37
will russia strike kyiv on february 11 2026	1	$31	38	0	+38	open	—	02-10 07:31
will russia strike kyiv on february 10 2026	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	02-09 07:38
will russia strike kyiv on february 17 2026	1	$27	35	0	+35	open	—	02-15 12:53
will russia strike kyiv on february 19 2026	1	$27	34	0	+34	open	—	02-18 16:14
will russia strike kyiv on february 16 2026	1	$27	34	0	+34	open	—	02-14 02:36
will russia strike kyiv on february 28 2026	2	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	02-27 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 22:45:05	btc updown 5m 1783464300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x610d5c…
07-07 22:22:11	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xd211cf…
07-07 22:22:11	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x32eb41…
07-07 22:20:11	btc updown 5m 1783462800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x169d9e…
07-07 21:40:59	btc updown 5m 1783460400	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x677ab6…
07-07 21:40:08	btc updown 5m 1783460400	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa656f8…
07-07 20:57:20	btc updown 5m 1783457700	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xda8122…
07-07 20:55:05	btc updown 5m 1783457700	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf4fce4…
07-05 08:41:31	btc updown 5m 1783240800	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x075343…
07-05 08:41:28	btc updown 5m 1783240800	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x23b5ca…
07-05 08:40:26	btc updown 5m 1783240800	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x830647…
07-05 08:40:26	btc updown 5m 1783240800	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x68394a…
07-05 08:36:14	btc updown 5m 1783240500	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7d1df8…
07-05 08:35:05	btc updown 5m 1783240500	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x65f7f9…
07-05 08:22:28	btc updown 5m 1783239600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfd3438…
07-05 08:20:22	btc updown 5m 1783239600	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf6fbb7…
07-05 08:20:22	btc updown 5m 1783239600	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x992d91…
07-05 08:02:29	btc updown 5m 1783238700	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x429062…
07-02 13:25:49	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8e0455…
07-02 13:24:46	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1406ce…
07-02 13:21:26	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb4df31…
07-02 13:21:04	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe95aae…
07-02 13:09:32	btc updown 5m 1782997500	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x773249…
07-02 13:01:49	btc updown 5m 1782997200	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeba87f…
07-02 12:54:56	btc updown 5m 1782996900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc55e64…
07-02 12:40:05	btc updown 5m 1782996000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x82e084…
07-02 12:36:55	btc updown 5m 1782995700	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe51eb3…
07-02 12:30:32	btc updown 5m 1782995400	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x722c92…
07-02 12:25:23	btc updown 5m 1782995100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x460ea9…
07-02 12:25:04	btc updown 5m 1782995100	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3b88da…
07-02 12:20:26	btc updown 5m 1782994800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6cc5a7…
07-02 12:20:07	btc updown 5m 1782994800	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x579839…
07-02 12:15:56	btc updown 5m 1782994500	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7809ac…
07-02 12:15:14	btc updown 5m 1782994500	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xacb209…
07-02 12:05:10	btc updown 5m 1782993900	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x56d97b…
07-02 12:00:04	btc updown 5m 1782993600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf55cfe…
06-27 11:50:08	btc updown 5m 1782561000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa064fe…
06-27 11:40:14	btc updown 5m 1782560400	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb3f6a1…
06-27 11:38:52	btc updown 5m 1782560400	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xca5178…
06-27 11:27:04	btc updown 5m 1782559800	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x87bbd7…
06-27 11:10:35	btc updown 5m 1782558600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7c1485…
06-27 11:10:25	btc updown 5m 1782558600	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x6003f4…
06-27 11:10:23	btc updown 5m 1782558600	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x04c56a…
06-27 11:02:19	btc updown 5m 1782558000	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x59950c…
06-27 11:01:13	btc updown 5m 1782558000	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x915309…
06-21 20:35:05	btc updown 5m 1782074100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd35f1d…
06-21 20:35:05	btc updown 5m 1782074100	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x868e23…
06-21 20:34:58	btc updown 5m 1782074100	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbe1d5d…
06-13 09:39:46	btc updown 5m 1781343300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5b977b…
06-13 09:32:33	btc updown 5m 1781343300	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x102ec9…
06-13 09:20:36	btc updown 5m 1781342400	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa01d35…
06-13 09:20:06	btc updown 5m 1781342400	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9d2a42…
06-13 09:08:04	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x95b781…
06-13 09:08:04	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x388873…
06-13 09:05:45	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe79d8f…
06-13 09:05:45	btc updown 5m 1781341500	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x598410…
06-12 16:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781283300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x31fb61…
06-12 16:55:19	btc updown 5m 1781283300	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xef2847…
06-11 22:26:39	btc updown 5m 1781216700	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x71bfda…
06-11 22:25:03	btc updown 5m 1781216700	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf5de31…
06-11 22:15:19	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3083ff…
06-11 22:14:51	btc updown 5m 1781216100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1f15ce…
06-11 22:03:19	btc updown 5m 1781215200	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x08d4f3…
06-11 22:02:19	btc updown 5m 1781215200	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x876893…
06-11 21:52:07	btc updown 5m 1781214600	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc07e10…
06-11 21:50:01	btc updown 5m 1781214600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe6622f…
06-09 23:34:22	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2de34a…
06-09 23:34:06	btc updown 5m 1781047800	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x966c32…
06-09 23:29:25	btc updown 5m 1781047500	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4ebe0c…
06-09 23:28:30	btc updown 5m 1781047500	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdd612c…
06-09 23:05:06	btc updown 5m 1781046300	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x53626c…
06-09 23:04:28	btc updown 5m 1781046300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0bf0f4…
06-09 21:25:07	btc updown 5m 1781040300	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5236c2…
06-09 21:25:01	btc updown 5m 1781040300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd8a26f…
06-09 19:45:36	btc updown 5m 1781034300	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x68d83c…
06-09 19:35:21	btc updown 5m 1781033700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd5552c…
06-09 19:35:04	btc updown 5m 1781033700	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x263355…
06-09 16:50:57	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2a1c7b…
06-09 11:55:19	btc updown 5m 1781006100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xea0fbc…
06-09 11:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781005500	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2f0d9f…
06-09 11:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781005500	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x04e9ce…
06-09 11:45:18	btc updown 5m 1781005500	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x66f09c…
06-09 11:30:07	btc updown 5m 1781004600	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x78d488…
06-09 11:29:57	btc updown 5m 1781004600	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x924442…
06-09 11:26:10	btc updown 5m 1781004300	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xebc9ac…
06-09 11:24:06	btc updown 5m 1781004300	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdcd5e5…
06-09 11:24:06	btc updown 5m 1781004300	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x72566b…
06-09 11:24:06	btc updown 5m 1781004300	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x119d00…
06-09 11:12:21	btc updown 5m 1781003700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf0b723…
06-09 11:05:25	btc updown 5m 1781003100	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x78d6da…
06-09 11:04:03	btc updown 5m 1781003100	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc1f012…
06-09 10:25:15	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1c1300…
06-09 10:25:04	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd0ab2b…
06-09 10:25:04	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x41923c…
06-05 15:15:15	btc updown 5m 1780672500	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x44055a…
05-30 15:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x605928…
05-30 15:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb3ae3e…
05-30 15:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbb715d…
05-30 15:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x490022…
05-30 15:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa97190…