Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
16
lifetime
Volume
$86
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$33
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-06 01:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
83%
Politics
17%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -8 $-7 88¢ $-7 +$0 06-18 11:10
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -6 $-6 90¢ $-5 +$0 07-06 01:32
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 06-16 20:55
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -5 $-5 95¢ $-5 +$0 06-12 10:21
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 07-03 22:17
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -5 $-3 73¢ $-4 $-1 06-22 13:01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -19 $-2 $-2 +$1 06-07 15:51
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-14 12:50