(anonymous) 0xd04e56…0e122e Create alert
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$434
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
4,034
Trades
8,892
lifetime
Volume
$20.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$88
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-04
last 11-14 09:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
87% 52% -$332
Crypto
5% 46% -$36
Politics
4% 45% -$33
Sports
3% 49% -$37
Tech
1% 44% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? Yes +12 $6 72¢ $9 +$3 11-13 22:57
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? Yes +12 $4 62¢ $7 +$3 11-13 23:47
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? Yes +5 $1 94¢ $4 +$3 09-25 15:01
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in October? Yes +11 $4 36¢ $4 +$0 11-13 15:41
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027? No +8 $1 50¢ $4 +$3 11-10 14:17
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? Yes +13 $4 29¢ $4 $0 11-09 12:17
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +9 $2 40¢ $4 +$2 11-06 16:14
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +5 $2 79¢ $4 +$2 11-03 13:02
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +8 $4 46¢ $3 $0 11-10 23:47
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? Yes +6 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 10-31 13:41
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026? Yes +8 $1 40¢ $3 +$2 10-02 07:58
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +6 $3 45¢ $3 $0 10-31 13:06
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000? Yes +3 $1 79¢ $3 +$1 10-20 19:10
Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +12 $2 22¢ $3 +$1 11-09 02:16
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +11 $2 20¢ $2 +$1 11-06 09:14
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +5 $1 42¢ $2 +$1 09-23 17:18
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +7 $1 31¢ $2 +$1 11-11 07:50
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? Yes +7 $2 31¢ $2 +$0 11-07 01:01
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? No +3 $1 76¢ $2 +$1 11-07 20:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 79¢ $2 +$0 11-01 14:24
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 09-30 21:07
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +5 $1 39¢ $2 +$1 10-27 19:51
Spread: Rams (-9.5) Rams +4 $2 50¢ $2 $0 11-10 09:29
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? Yes +4 $1 50¢ $2 +$1 10-21 03:31
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +21 $2 9¢ $2 +$0 11-10 13:31
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +8 $2 22¢ $2 $0 11-13 21:26
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +3 $2 67¢ $2 $0 10-27 12:23
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +20 $2 8¢ $2 $0 11-10 01:11
Will Spain win 2026-27 Nations League Group A3? Yes +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$0 09-17 15:42
Will ERC win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$0 11-07 11:00