(anonymous) 0xd04e56…0e122e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$513
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
3,933
Trades
8,716
lifetime
Volume
$19.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$81
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-04
last 11-12 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
88% 52% -$355
Crypto
4% 48% -$80
Politics
4% 45% -$44
Sports
3% 49% -$37
Tech
1% 44% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? Yes +6 $2 81¢ $5 +$3 11-10 12:43
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Aurora +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 11-12 15:30
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? Yes +5 $1 94¢ $4 +$3 09-25 15:01
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming (BO1) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A Nemiga Gaming — +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 11-12 15:32
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +8 $4 52¢ $4 $0 11-10 23:47
Will PPI YoY be 6.4% in October? Yes +16 $2 24¢ $4 +$2 11-11 13:09
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +9 $2 36¢ $3 +$1 11-06 16:14
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +5 $2 66¢ $3 +$1 11-03 13:02
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? Yes +6 $3 50¢ $3 $0 10-31 13:41
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? Yes +13 $4 21¢ $3 -$1 11-09 12:17
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027? No +8 $1 34¢ $3 +$2 11-10 14:17
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +6 $3 48¢ $3 $0 10-31 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on November 12? Yes +3 $1 99¢ $3 +$1 11-11 09:04
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +11 $2 23¢ $3 +$1 11-06 09:14
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000? Yes +3 $1 79¢ $3 +$1 10-20 19:10
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026? Yes +8 $1 30¢ $2 +$1 10-02 07:58
Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +12 $2 19¢ $2 +$0 11-09 02:16
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +7 $1 31¢ $2 +$1 11-11 07:50
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? Yes +7 $2 31¢ $2 +$0 11-07 01:01
Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October? Yes +12 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 11-07 07:40
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? No +3 $1 74¢ $2 +$1 11-07 20:04
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +5 $1 39¢ $2 +$1 09-23 17:18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 12? Yes +3 $1 67¢ $2 +$1 11-10 21:04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-07 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 10-27 19:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 79¢ $2 +$0 11-01 14:24
Spread: Rams (-9.5) Rams +4 $2 50¢ $2 $0 11-10 09:29
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? Yes +4 $1 50¢ $2 +$1 10-21 03:31
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$1 09-30 21:07
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%? Yes +4 $1 50¢ $2 +$1 11-06 14:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +6 $1 32¢ $2 +$1 11-09 21:44