(anonymous) 0xd04e56…0e122e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$524
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
3,858
Trades
8,562
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$71
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-04
last 11-11 02:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
88% 52% -$383
Crypto
4% 49% -$65
Politics
4% 46% -$43
Sports
3% 49% -$37
Tech
1% 44% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? Yes +5 $1 94¢ $4 +$3 09-25 15:01
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +8 $4 51¢ $4 $0 11-10 23:47
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? Yes +6 $2 61¢ $3 +$2 11-10 12:43
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 11-03 13:02
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +8 $1 37¢ $3 +$2 10-25 23:47
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +9 $2 32¢ $3 +$1 11-06 16:14
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +6 $3 52¢ $3 +$0 10-31 13:06
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +11 $2 24¢ $3 +$1 11-06 09:14
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? Yes +6 $3 45¢ $3 $0 10-31 13:41
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000? Yes +3 $1 79¢ $3 +$1 10-20 19:10
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? Yes +13 $4 19¢ $3 -$1 11-09 12:17
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026? Yes +8 $1 30¢ $2 +$1 10-02 07:58
Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +12 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 11-09 02:16
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? Yes +7 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 11-07 01:01
Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October? Yes +12 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 11-07 07:40
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? No +3 $1 73¢ $2 +$1 11-07 20:04
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 10-27 12:23
Spread: Rams (-9.5) Rams +4 $2 50¢ $2 $0 11-10 09:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 11-01 14:24
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? Yes +4 $1 50¢ $2 +$1 10-21 03:31
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$1 09-30 21:07
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%? Yes +4 $1 50¢ $2 +$1 11-06 14:31
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 10-22 16:58
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +20 $2 9¢ $2 $0 11-10 01:11
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +5 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 09-23 17:18
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? Yes +4 -$2 46¢ $2 +$4 11-10 23:12
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027? No +8 $1 24¢ $2 +$1 11-10 14:17
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +21 $2 8¢ $2 $0 11-10 13:31
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +18 $2 10¢ $2 $0 11-10 13:31
Will Jordan Addison have 874.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +29 $1 6¢ $2 +$0 10-25 11:01