(anonymous) 0xd04e56…0e122e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$515
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
3,835
Trades
8,485
lifetime
Volume
$19.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$82
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-04
last 11-10 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
88% 52% -$372
Crypto
4% 49% -$68
Politics
4% 46% -$41
Sports
3% 49% -$37
Tech
1% 44% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 56% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? Yes +6 $1 90¢ $6 +$5 09-26 02:10
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Xipto Esports — +6 $3 90¢ $5 +$2 11-10 14:00
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week? Yes +8 $2 60¢ $5 +$3 11-10 14:10
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000? Yes +5 $1 90¢ $4 +$3 09-25 15:01
Will Trey McBride finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +12 $2 32¢ $4 +$2 11-09 02:16
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +9 $2 38¢ $4 +$2 11-06 16:14
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +8 $1 42¢ $3 +$2 10-25 23:47
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 11-03 13:02
Will Podemos win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +6 $3 52¢ $3 +$0 10-31 13:06
Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? Yes +6 $2 50¢ $3 +$1 11-10 12:43
Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? Yes +6 $3 45¢ $3 $0 10-31 13:41
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +11 $2 23¢ $3 +$1 11-06 09:14
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000? Yes +3 $1 79¢ $3 +$1 10-20 19:10
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? Yes +13 $4 19¢ $2 -$2 11-09 12:17
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026? Yes +8 $1 30¢ $2 +$1 10-02 07:58
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? Yes +7 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 11-07 01:01
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receptions? Yes +20 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 11-10 01:11
Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October? Yes +12 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 11-07 07:40
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%? Yes +4 $1 54¢ $2 +$1 11-06 14:31
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 10-27 12:23
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? No +3 $1 73¢ $2 +$1 11-07 20:04
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +5 $1 39¢ $2 +$1 09-23 17:18
Spread: Rams (-9.5) Rams +4 $2 52¢ $2 +$0 11-10 09:29
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +4 $2 52¢ $2 $0 11-10 14:16
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? Yes +4 $1 50¢ $2 +$1 10-21 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on November 10? Yes +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$1 11-08 19:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 75¢ $2 +$0 11-01 14:24
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 10-22 16:58
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes — +21 $2 8¢ $2 $0 11-10 13:31
Will Jordan Addison have 874.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +29 $1 6¢ $2 +$0 10-25 11:01