Apprehensive-Reversal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

2,385

Trades

5,199

lifetime

Volume

$136.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-17 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Sports

47% 52% -$5,674

Other

38% 52% -$1,109

Crypto

14% 41% -$359

Politics

1% 33% +$11

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	13	$4.4K	2,200	2,200	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$9	05-17 04:11
wta siegemu anisimo 2026 06 10	44	$3.8K	2,133	2,133	+0	Amanda Anisimova	+$68	06-10 13:26
nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	1	$3.4K	4,723	0	+4,723	Spurs	-$3,374	01-01 02:14
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	10	$3.1K	1,609	1,609	+0	Spurs	+$22	05-16 04:05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	11	$2.9K	1,754	1,754	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$53	05-16 18:54
mlb sf chc 2026 06 05	2	$2.6K	1,317	1,317	+0	San Francisco Giants	+$0	06-05 21:33
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?	2	$2.6K	1,313	1,313	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 03:51
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05?	5	$2.6K	1,316	1,316	+0	Yes	+$12	06-05 19:54
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 7pt5	2	$2.3K	1,282	1,282	+0	Knicks	+$291	06-04 03:16
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	3	$2.2K	1,104	1,104	+0	Cavaliers	+$28	04-30 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2.0K	1,056	1,056	+0	Down	+$45	04-29 17:00
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05?	4	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	Yes	+$2	06-05 17:42
Will PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara win on 2026-05-17?	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$4	05-17 16:53
nhl car las 2026 06 06	2	$2.0K	1,112	1,112	+0	Golden Knights	-$212	06-07 02:39
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?	2	$1.9K	969	969	+0	Yes	+$9	05-31 16:53
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	19	$1.9K	970	970	+0	Baltimore Orioles	-$17	05-31 18:52
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?	2	$1.9K	961	961	+0	Yes	+$3	05-31 16:01
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$1.7K	994	988	+6	Spurs	-$77	05-13 00:59
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	10	$1.6K	827	827	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$2	05-17 20:21
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	8	$1.6K	824	824	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$24	05-17 19:08
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5	2	$1.6K	966	966	+0	Over	+$319	05-31 15:45
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	3	$1.6K	801	801	+0	Yes	+$35	05-17 18:26
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Zhang	2	$1.5K	794	794	+0	Aleksandar Kovacevic	+$55	05-16 16:12
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-17?	43	$1.5K	766	766	+0	Yes	+$24	05-17 17:56
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	6	$1.5K	759	759	+0	Philadelphia Phillies	+$18	05-16 22:34
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	5	$1.5K	797	792	+5	Pistons	+$85	05-16 01:42
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	4	$1.5K	753	753	+0	San Diego Padres	+$8	05-17 02:10
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	8	$1.5K	747	747	+0	New York Mets	+$14	05-17 02:28
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16?	3	$1.5K	755	755	+0	Yes	+$34	05-16 15:20
mlb kc stl 2026 05 16 spread away 2pt5	6	$1.5K	740	740	+0	St. Louis Cardinals	+$14	05-16 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 21:01:26	Hurricanes vs. Jets: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xba024e…
10-16 00:17:55	nhl buf tor 2026 10 15	Maple Leafs	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xf609df…
10-15 23:47:16	nhl buf tor 2026 10 15	Maple Leafs	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x70df7a…
10-15 23:05:52	nhl buf tor 2026 10 15	Maple Leafs	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0xb10a2f…
10-15 20:52:26	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x60a351…
10-15 03:18:58	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0x0b870e…
10-15 03:05:08	nhl dal col 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x743d6c…
10-15 01:34:46	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xef98ee…
10-15 01:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2d61c…
10-15 01:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x77a6e6…
10-15 01:23:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb6c314…
10-15 01:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x47f0d8…
10-15 01:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa95bac…
10-15 01:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x87b587…
10-15 01:23:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaf4603…
10-15 01:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x121100…
10-15 01:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd6e127…
10-15 01:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x908eee…
10-15 01:23:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7528a8…
10-15 01:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x159c0f…
10-15 01:21:50	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4afe04…
10-15 00:53:26	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Canadiens	SELL	8	33¢	$2	0x30fc08…
10-15 00:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa450dd…
10-15 00:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9eb0a9…
10-15 00:48:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb29aba…
10-15 00:48:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf28f6a…
10-15 00:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x47158a…
10-15 00:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x17842c…
10-15 00:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd42baa…
10-15 00:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13cbc6…
10-15 00:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3f9b2…
10-15 00:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc7a81c…
10-15 00:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2a606…
10-15 00:26:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbe961d…
10-15 00:26:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfb0e6d…
10-15 00:26:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd125e7…
10-15 00:26:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2e475d…
10-15 00:26:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18342a…
10-15 00:26:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ea5e2…
10-15 00:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x801301…
10-15 00:26:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x24d649…
10-15 00:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3f612…
10-15 00:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e0347…
10-15 00:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x501148…
10-15 00:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x94efa8…
10-15 00:20:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b7e8e…
10-15 00:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaeb8c0…
10-15 00:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x722aba…
10-15 00:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5de1d4…
10-15 00:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3a609e…
10-15 00:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x231694…
10-15 00:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7df87…
10-15 00:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1547f9…
10-15 00:19:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x03d9a7…
10-15 00:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3c0989…
10-15 00:19:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9ba475…
10-15 00:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb01dec…
10-15 00:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x002551…
10-15 00:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff3209…
10-15 00:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x11b011…
10-15 00:11:58	nhl dal col 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbd050d…
10-15 00:11:34	nhl mon wsh 2026 10 14	Canadiens	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbad409…
10-14 23:50:58	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1ccb26…
10-14 23:50:42	mlb mil lad 2026 10 14	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	244	39¢	$95	0x071e66…
10-14 22:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x464ef7…
10-14 22:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9e75ca…
10-14 22:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x701a82…
10-14 22:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x3a887c…
10-14 22:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x82a413…
10-14 01:27:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb69768…
10-14 01:27:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6d2910…
10-14 01:27:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4cf1e7…
10-14 01:27:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7a805b…
10-14 01:27:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe1bc69…
10-14 01:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6c3af4…
10-14 01:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x37560d…
10-14 01:27:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x987d2e…
10-14 01:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6891aa…
10-14 01:27:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x40a644…
10-14 01:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x7cef9c…
10-14 01:27:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x26dc1e…
10-13 20:36:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	602	100¢	$601	0xc3f429…
10-13 20:32:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	575	100¢	$574	0x6dac45…
10-13 20:31:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xeea6c3…
10-13 19:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x218c59…
10-13 19:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6c1f89…
10-13 17:53:15	Will Poland win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x837f70…
10-13 17:50:52	Will Poland win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0xd0430e…
10-12 17:24:29	Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x5a624e…
10-12 17:24:14	Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa1ba89…
10-12 17:24:08	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$2	0xceb701…
10-12 00:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9c3b52…
10-12 00:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x583507…
10-12 00:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa17865…
10-12 00:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x626788…
10-12 00:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7eb259…
10-12 00:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8bc964…
10-11 23:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa4ea0e…
10-11 23:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c8083…
10-11 23:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe1c0a3…