Ill-Fated-Monasticism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

351

Trades

634

lifetime

Volume

$771

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-20 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 86% $0

Other

27% 89% -$1

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic	3	$22	11	11	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$0	04-18 13:43
atp fils nakashi 2026 04 16	2	$20	10	10	+0	Arthur Fils	+$0	04-16 19:20
atp cobolli comesan 2026 04 06	3	$12	6	6	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$0	04-06 19:49
wta fernand kuderme 2026 04 01	3	$12	6	6	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$0	04-01 20:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:30 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	01-28 10:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 17:00 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	01-22 17:14
bitcoin up or down february 28 4pm et	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	02-28 22:18
bitcoin up or down february 28 5pm et	3	$9	10	5	+5	Up	+$0	02-28 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 08:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 07:45 UTC	3	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	03-19 07:58
atp machac sinner 2026 04 09	4	$8	4	4	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$0	04-09 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 13:15 UTC	4	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	03-14 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 10:00 UTC	6	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	01-26 10:07
atp alcaraz etcheve 2026 04 09	4	$6	3	3	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$0	04-09 16:11
wta keys vekic 2026 04 01	6	$6	3	3	+0	Madison Keys	+$0	04-01 21:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	04-24 15:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 22:15 UTC	2	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	03-28 22:27
atp bennan hanfman 2026 04 01	6	$6	18	15	+2	Yannick Hanfmann	$0	04-01 17:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 17:30 UTC	5	$5	4	2	+1	Up	+$0	03-12 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:00 UTC	5	$5	4	3	+1	Up	-$1	01-28 10:14
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 4am et	5	$5	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	03-23 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 08:15 UTC	3	$5	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	02-09 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 12:45 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	03-13 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 09:00 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-15 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 11:30 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	04-15 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-31 19:59
bitcoin up or down january 23 5am et	3	$5	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	01-23 10:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 18:45 UTC	5	$5	5	4	+1	Down	$0	01-24 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 10:55 UTC	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	02-28 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	06-01 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 17:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4d0eff…
10-20 17:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4893d5…
10-20 17:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xda07a5…
10-20 17:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x697986…
06-29 17:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0b4090…
06-29 17:32:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7a7e20…
06-11 12:24:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84d658…
06-10 13:30:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x543bc6…
06-10 13:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb1950d…
06-08 17:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa0fbea…
06-08 17:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f5ae5…
06-08 17:11:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x639cc2…
06-07 15:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdd754e…
06-06 14:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x271344…
06-06 14:34:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc4b7d6…
06-01 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb3f567…
06-01 18:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x52bf2a…
06-01 18:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcee189…
06-01 18:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x75bb92…
05-31 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xde6086…
05-31 19:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4071f4…
05-31 19:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd87226…
05-31 19:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf95d45…
05-31 19:55:50	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5758cb…
05-15 08:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78ec3d…
05-14 08:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x8e6c1c…
05-14 08:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4938dc…
05-14 08:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xafd01a…
05-14 08:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x72f7dd…
05-14 08:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2389df…
05-13 22:40:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5b3140…
05-11 18:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc8f8f1…
05-09 21:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9deaa4…
05-09 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1989c1…
05-09 06:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xc1f9d2…
05-09 06:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x22db9e…
05-09 06:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x47e5c1…
05-09 06:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x65b75c…
05-07 22:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xef721a…
05-07 22:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0001f5…
05-06 19:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38ea91…
05-06 18:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa8fd0e…
05-05 14:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0e0a5c…
05-05 14:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd9a01f…
05-04 16:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf83bef…
05-04 12:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfe9bbe…
05-02 13:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc5701a…
05-02 13:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x86e72b…
05-01 12:00:48	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xaf0741…
04-27 18:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa5e848…
04-27 18:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc0f6f4…
04-27 18:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x463348…
04-26 11:38:22	Madrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8c97b4…
04-26 09:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58598d…
04-26 09:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x95ac48…
04-26 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc62017…
04-25 20:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc07110…
04-25 15:24:52	Madrid Open: Mariano Navone vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb2411b…
04-25 08:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf480a7…
04-24 17:23:32	Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x666cd9…
04-24 17:23:22	Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcb4e71…
04-24 17:23:14	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	Jannik Sinner	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2dbd72…
04-24 15:47:26	Madrid Open: Leolia Jeanjean vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3cbd25…
04-24 15:46:48	Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x28db73…
04-24 15:45:58	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Benjamin Bonzi	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x37555d…
04-24 15:17:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ff3a6…
04-24 07:19:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xba2078…
04-23 21:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x062b5d…
04-23 09:59:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8746dc…
04-21 17:28:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x02bc55…
04-21 17:24:02	Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rocha	Adolfo Vallejo	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc27cc3…
04-21 16:05:42	Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5ea7e2…
04-21 15:30:52	Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53b792…
04-21 15:29:48	Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rocha	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21804d…
04-21 08:25:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x023a20…
04-21 08:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe931d0…
04-21 08:22:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x880f57…
04-21 08:21:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b2972…
04-21 08:21:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x43cc9b…
04-20 08:44:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc48621…
04-19 12:03:10	Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova	Elena Rybakina	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd862ec…
04-19 11:23:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x210721…
04-19 11:21:26	Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchova	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7a5ad6…
04-19 08:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6a1107…
04-18 16:15:52	Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva	Elena Rybakina	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5d15d2…
04-18 15:56:12	Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbae6b5…
04-18 13:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xab5c38…
04-18 13:43:22	Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic	Andrey Rublev	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x22ad1e…
04-18 13:41:30	Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc77f29…
04-18 13:38:12	Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovic	Andrey Rublev	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b2874…
04-17 14:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xaf453b…
04-17 14:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdeec83…
04-17 14:05:52	atp zverev cerundo 2026 04 17	Alexander Zverev	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4e2c6f…
04-17 14:05:24	wta noskova svitoli 2026 04 17	Elina Svitolina	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6618be…
04-17 11:48:56	wta noskova svitoli 2026 04 17	Elina Svitolina	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x546937…
04-17 11:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3d867e…
04-17 11:27:30	atp zverev cerundo 2026 04 17	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x965ead…
04-16 19:49:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6269c…
04-16 19:47:48	wta fernand sonmez 2026 04 16	Zeynep Sonmez	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xc9561f…
04-16 19:33:58	wta fernand sonmez 2026 04 16	Zeynep Sonmez	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb983f3…