Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

108

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$191

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-29

last 11-04 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

73% 65% +$17

Politics

24% 48% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+6	$2	6¢	$0	-$2	08-14 16:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$4	12	+12	Yes	+$4	08-02 00:51
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:10
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-24 03:09
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-23 05:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 02:11
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 21:30
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 07:13
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-22 05:01
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-14 06:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 12:06
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-24 06:54
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-28 00:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 13:49
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-14 23:09
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-06 06:08
will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	08-14 03:07
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-20 22:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-15 09:44
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 12:43
will rklb reach 74 by august 3 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 02:00
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-03 11:56
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-02 21:05
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $186 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-24 23:16
spx opens up or down on august 7 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	-$2	08-07 06:17
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-04 10:01
spx up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	08-13 11:04
spx up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Down	-$2	08-06 14:10
tsla above 345 on august 14 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 19:06
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	8	+8	No	+$6	08-08 02:26
will trump say biden 3 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427273	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-06 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:28:01	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x36ca43…
11-03 18:29:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1cad65…
11-03 10:15:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x44372d…
11-03 02:07:58	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xaf782b…
11-02 18:07:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb67040…
11-02 10:06:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x22a49f…
11-02 02:05:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x53da5f…
11-01 20:04:01	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x408755…
10-30 01:53:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe18069…
10-29 12:17:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3936a…
10-29 03:20:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x45e907…
10-28 16:17:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x80052b…
10-28 07:56:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe947ca…
10-27 11:45:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x39df42…
10-27 03:32:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xec4cef…
10-25 02:20:38	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x87468a…
10-24 16:10:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa8bfe2…
10-23 21:28:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xed25e6…
10-23 21:27:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf62db7…
10-23 11:54:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc3e948…
10-23 03:53:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2e8172…
10-22 19:38:09	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x62d65e…
10-22 11:17:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfa8af1…
10-17 23:56:11	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1f1b10…
10-17 15:43:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbd6477…
10-16 23:01:57	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb5fc03…
10-16 14:40:49	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6febe8…
10-16 06:37:12	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x553a48…
10-15 09:49:22	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25d494…
10-15 01:20:43	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc8cd5b…
10-14 17:20:22	will coin dip to 162 50 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6036f1…
10-14 09:07:16	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x009d66…
10-14 01:05:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x92818a…
10-13 15:38:20	spy closes above 775 on october 13 2026	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc0c61f…
10-11 18:27:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x615250…
10-10 21:48:57	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6cff5a…
10-10 06:24:39	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf17bf3…
10-09 04:39:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x098374…
10-08 20:25:21	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0f8491…
10-08 11:20:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf7399e…
10-08 03:15:08	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa060d6…
10-07 18:22:36	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x180942…
10-07 10:20:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7cfa0e…
10-07 02:19:54	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8d27cc…
10-06 18:19:29	will coin dip to 185 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x717da5…
10-06 10:05:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x66d70c…
10-06 02:00:55	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd55503…
10-05 15:29:55	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa0e11b…
10-05 00:35:43	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x12a823…
10-03 05:05:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc1415c…
10-02 08:06:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbd7406…
10-02 07:33:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5d3126…
10-01 15:01:15	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x006d88…
10-01 13:44:29	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd34946…
10-01 05:41:05	wti closes above 88 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0b6dfe…
09-28 05:08:41	will xagusd dip to 60 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3b5035…
09-27 21:06:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf40a39…
09-27 10:14:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xadeda7…
09-27 01:31:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0fd486…
09-26 07:29:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xae67fc…
09-25 21:05:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfb7532…
09-24 11:12:05	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xad3463…
09-24 03:09:40	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe0b7fd…
09-23 05:41:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x94007e…
09-22 20:43:50	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd7ec78…
09-22 20:43:44	will tsla dip to 375 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1d00b8…
09-22 12:43:19	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x969c62…
09-22 03:15:59	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc8f991…
09-21 15:14:43	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf352f0…
09-21 07:13:45	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x20656a…
09-20 22:44:26	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa7b541…
09-19 07:10:06	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7438ea…
09-15 09:44:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xeddd8a…
09-14 23:09:07	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x78af08…
09-14 15:00:34	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x736901…
09-14 06:53:46	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0c865b…
09-13 22:51:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x747566…
09-07 15:51:15	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x66186a…
09-03 11:56:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x43edac…
09-03 02:11:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd4cd44…
09-02 12:03:34	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x681c04…
09-01 11:23:16	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x95642a…
09-01 03:11:45	will iran target an arab country by september 15 2026 20260831	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7b8f64…
08-30 19:07:45	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe9b88b…
08-29 09:30:22	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x432b98…
08-28 20:24:43	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x67aef2…
08-28 00:05:27	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x677716…
08-24 23:16:25	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $186 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0d9d1b…
08-24 15:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x05b647…
08-24 06:54:39	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xea1b3a…
08-23 22:54:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe1d2e4…
08-22 05:01:49	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcbc7ba…
08-21 17:27:30	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x047aeb…
08-17 00:38:55	will meta dip to 570 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x68d02c…
08-14 16:27:40	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x439c96…
08-14 03:07:48	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x7147eb…
08-13 19:06:31	tsla above 345 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbf95c2…
08-13 11:04:33	spx up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x023be7…
08-13 03:02:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xac1842…
08-12 06:44:40	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xe4db7d…