Firm-Borrowing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.66K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

435

Trades

848

lifetime

Volume

$55.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 08-09 13:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 43% -$454

Other

30% 26% +$289

Politics

13% 29% -$666

Sports

6% 22% -$828

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	3	$1.6K	1,609	1,609	+0	Yes	+$1,284	07-15 20:55
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$989	600	600	+0	Yes	+$189	03-22 08:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$958	576	576	+0	No	+$158	04-25 18:54
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$700	1,343	0	+1,343	No	-$700	05-03 17:21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$667	517	517	+0	Yes	+$367	05-03 18:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	7	$665	605	430	+175	Up	+$140	07-30 22:44
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?	3	$659	476	476	+0	Yes	+$259	07-23 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:40 UTC	6	$624	897	498	+399	Down	-$26	07-27 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	7	$612	496	496	+0	Up	+$112	07-30 23:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 17:25 UTC	5	$579	686	534	+152	Down	-$21	07-29 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 05:30 UTC	7	$568	579	579	+0	Down	+$168	07-27 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 17:45 UTC	5	$529	555	452	+104	Up	+$133	07-29 17:47
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	2	$525	328	328	+0	Yes	+$125	05-10 09:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$520	5,103	5,103	+0	No	-$480	04-01 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:05 UTC	4	$506	450	450	+0	Up	+$106	07-29 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	8	$496	597	492	+104	Up	-$54	07-30 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:25 UTC	5	$483	566	451	+115	Up	+$148	07-29 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:30 UTC	3	$478	509	509	+0	Down	+$78	07-29 15:34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	2	$469	319	319	+0	Yes	+$169	05-03 21:10
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$457	357	357	+0	Timberwolves	+$257	05-01 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	7	$456	466	245	+221	Up	+$76	07-29 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:45 UTC	7	$448	313	313	+0	Up	+$48	07-29 15:50
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	5	$446	1,797	1,581	+216	No	-$14	07-12 21:22
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-23?	2	$444	345	345	+0	Yes	+$244	07-23 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	7	$440	411	241	+169	Up	+$159	07-30 22:24
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$415	3,158	1,500	+1,658	No	-$85	04-14 08:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$407	235	235	+0	Yes	+$7	03-31 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:15 UTC	5	$404	464	296	+168	Down	-$46	07-30 22:18
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	2	$383	333	333	+0	Yes	+$283	05-04 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:00 UTC	3	$376	507	244	+263	Down	-$24	07-29 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 13:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1a70f5…
08-06 16:13:44	Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-06?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x8d29a6…
08-05 19:29:05	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x7902f2…
08-04 19:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3903a6…
08-04 19:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x137b7b…
08-04 19:46:08	Will AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	144	12¢	$17	0x7395b2…
08-02 19:28:33	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	28¢	$59	0x18b846…
08-01 20:48:54	us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	Yes	SELL	271	20¢	$54	0xefabcf…
08-01 20:44:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0ccb70…
07-31 10:12:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x278635…
07-31 04:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x73cc72…
07-31 04:27:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:25 UTC	Down	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xbd55d2…
07-31 04:25:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcda07a…
07-31 04:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8a456f…
07-30 23:50:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xbac2b3…
07-30 23:45:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	320	31¢	$100	0xee5f3f…
07-30 23:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x9b311a…
07-30 23:40:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xdfb705…
07-30 23:39:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	104	1¢	$1	0x7268a5…
07-30 23:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x139418…
07-30 23:37:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0x1cf06b…
07-30 23:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbe4b60…
07-30 23:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	273	59¢	$161	0x501a9c…
07-30 23:36:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x6acb65…
07-30 23:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	128	20¢	$25	0x9f47c0…
07-30 23:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	79	62¢	$49	0xa00db2…
07-30 23:30:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x270922…
07-30 23:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	243	73¢	$178	0x8949af…
07-30 23:26:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x6c2723…
07-30 23:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5d132f…
07-30 23:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	51	22¢	$11	0xf2ff15…
07-30 23:22:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xb4f7ad…
07-30 23:22:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	129	49¢	$63	0x5f87c7…
07-30 23:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x6641ad…
07-30 23:20:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x04bba4…
07-30 23:20:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	312	47¢	$147	0xf8f2a5…
07-30 23:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x1e051c…
07-30 23:15:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xbf0c09…
07-30 23:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xc23261…
07-30 23:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	226	45¢	$101	0xf39a35…
07-30 23:10:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0x370790…
07-30 23:06:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xab493e…
07-30 23:06:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	208	64¢	$134	0x265e87…
07-30 23:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xbb9ab5…
07-30 23:03:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	155	87¢	$135	0x0abff5…
07-30 23:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x266e40…
07-30 23:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	179	80¢	$143	0x1ccda6…
07-30 23:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x392d93…
07-30 23:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	162	52¢	$84	0x666405…
07-30 23:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xe3007c…
07-30 23:00:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xdc0bce…
07-30 22:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xb977fe…
07-30 22:56:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x8bd959…
07-30 22:56:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	74	44¢	$32	0x6aa628…
07-30 22:55:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x7b0191…
07-30 22:55:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	52	66¢	$34	0x229632…
07-30 22:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x21b778…
07-30 22:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x5a5bc6…
07-30 22:46:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb7e328…
07-30 22:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xabf3c8…
07-30 22:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xea2591…
07-30 22:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x70104c…
07-30 22:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa797ad…
07-30 22:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	153	67¢	$102	0x731cb9…
07-30 22:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0x8473b0…
07-30 22:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	278	77¢	$213	0x9be28c…
07-30 22:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x2aa415…
07-30 22:35:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x9d7b52…
07-30 22:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x031eae…
07-30 22:30:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x29a57e…
07-30 22:25:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x110844…
07-30 22:24:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x437043…
07-30 22:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x183aa2…
07-30 22:24:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x675f13…
07-30 22:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xd9cce5…
07-30 22:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x2a97e2…
07-30 22:23:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	Up	SELL	241	89¢	$215	0x746f41…
07-30 22:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	241	41¢	$100	0xe5d06c…
07-30 22:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0x74d348…
07-30 22:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	109	41¢	$45	0x1a949f…
07-30 22:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x0fbe8b…
07-30 22:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:15 UTC	Up	SELL	188	72¢	$134	0x2324dd…
07-30 22:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xf97905…
07-30 22:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xdbf038…
07-30 22:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x13c405…
07-30 22:06:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	244	10¢	$25	0xc2b35f…
07-30 18:35:53	Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x86d6a3…
07-30 18:08:18	Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0x9db292…
07-30 08:34:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	263	44¢	$115	0x69c1c0…
07-30 08:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xffd817…
07-30 08:26:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	151	17¢	$25	0xe8f1b9…
07-29 20:27:14	Will CD Riestra win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	700	10¢	$70	0xb8ca38…
07-29 20:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xb32d5a…
07-29 20:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x25c43d…
07-29 19:30:15	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	208	36¢	$75	0x24d767…
07-29 19:27:15	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	189	40¢	$75	0xecbb11…
07-29 19:07:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	241	10¢	$25	0xe8992b…
07-29 19:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xc9053d…
07-29 19:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xbc7934…
07-29 19:01:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	244	72¢	$176	0x6010c8…