Firm-Borrowing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$740

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-08 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 39% $-255

Politics

25% — —

Other

24% 0% $-200

Sports

9% 20% $-284

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+500	$30	4¢	$22	$-8	06-08 11:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$989	600	600	+0	open	—	03-22 08:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$958	576	576	+0	open	—	04-25 18:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$520	5,103	5,103	+0	open	—	04-01 12:38
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$457	357	357	+0	open	—	05-01 05:29
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$415	3,158	1,500	+1,658	open	—	04-14 08:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$407	235	235	+0	open	—	03-31 17:47
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	2	$350	1,674	0	+1,674	open	—	04-13 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$347	522	300	+222	Up	+$47	05-07 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$327	315	315	+0	Down	+$137	05-05 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$300	445	0	+445	open	—	04-28 23:06
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	1	$300	508	0	+508	open	—	03-28 18:38
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$300	626	0	+626	open	—	04-09 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$295	238	238	+0	open	—	05-04 13:57
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	3	$280	247	247	+0	open	—	03-25 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$263	214	214	+0	open	—	05-04 13:50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	2	$247	337	337	+0	open	—	04-08 21:33
uel rom1 bol1 2026 03 19 rom1	3	$240	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	03-19 21:31
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 total 3pt5	2	$239	196	196	+0	open	—	03-18 21:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$225	278	278	+0	open	—	03-23 11:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$221	183	183	+0	open	—	04-07 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$221	292	292	+0	open	—	05-04 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	4	$210	379	130	+248	Down	+$20	05-08 09:38
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	1	$200	455	0	+455	open	—	04-19 16:00
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 halftime result away	2	$200	886	0	+886	open	—	04-15 18:45
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	2	$200	942	0	+942	open	—	04-15 18:45
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	1	$200	268	0	+268	open	—	04-08 21:43
btc updown 5m 1780867800	3	$196	209	209	+0	open	—	06-07 21:34
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$190	333	333	+0	open	—	06-08 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$186	225	225	+0	open	—	05-04 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$185	169	169	+0	open	—	04-30 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:05:49	btc updown 5m 1780952700	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x2c7ef8…
06-08 21:03:27	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Down	BUY	619	4¢	$25	0x0ecd0c…
06-08 12:21:10	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 15 20260607234650334	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x4f6994…
06-08 12:16:31	btc updown 5m 1780920900	Down	BUY	141	18¢	$25	0x954126…
06-08 12:14:33	btc updown 5m 1780920600	Down	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x5f3bf5…
06-08 12:11:42	btc updown 5m 1780920600	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe54fb2…
06-08 12:10:37	btc updown 5m 1780920600	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x804efd…
06-08 12:08:09	btc updown 5m 1780920300	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe1f873…
06-08 11:54:16	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0xda0355…
06-08 11:50:46	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x652b82…
06-08 11:50:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x59de5c…
06-08 08:00:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	333	45¢	$150	0xa648fb…
06-07 21:54:06	btc updown 5m 1780869000	Up	SELL	381	5¢	$19	0x5c7eee…
06-07 21:51:00	btc updown 5m 1780869000	Up	BUY	426	23¢	$97	0x0b3b03…
06-07 21:45:21	btc updown 5m 1780868700	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xd4f901…
06-07 21:45:19	btc updown 5m 1780868700	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x47d0bc…
06-07 21:43:37	btc updown 5m 1780868400	Down	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x71e30c…
06-07 21:40:34	btc updown 5m 1780868400	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x089e98…
06-07 21:34:04	btc updown 5m 1780867800	Down	SELL	209	70¢	$146	0x637621…
06-07 21:30:45	btc updown 5m 1780867800	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xccc7aa…
06-07 21:30:42	btc updown 5m 1780867800	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc0bfcb…
06-07 21:25:33	btc updown 5m 1780867500	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xeb3795…
06-07 21:00:21	btc updown 5m 1780866000	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa7bb4c…
06-07 19:42:40	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x9b3c0c…
06-07 14:37:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x565483…
06-03 21:47:21	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 1h moneyline	Knicks	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x448232…
06-03 21:36:55	btc updown 5m 1780522500	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd2c8cd…
05-19 20:34:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	273	44¢	$120	0x65e46e…
05-15 09:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x06ee42…
05-15 08:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x748926…
05-15 08:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x3fbc4d…
05-15 08:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,017	2¢	$25	0x0382c9…
05-10 23:47:17	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneyline	Timberwolves	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xb0aa6c…
05-10 09:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	125	25¢	$31	0xcbffa1…
05-09 23:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	142	48¢	$68	0xccf4b5…
05-09 23:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	106	55¢	$58	0xdd900d…
05-09 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	171	47¢	$80	0xe81352…
05-09 20:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	295	20¢	$60	0x87217a…
05-09 20:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x38728f…
05-09 20:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x6a9138…
05-09 20:23:34	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x5f3c9c…
05-09 17:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	132	33¢	$43	0x0bd33f…
05-08 11:03:41	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	310	16¢	$50	0xbe8780…
05-08 09:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x2f5167…
05-08 09:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xf85f07…
05-08 09:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x1c9851…
05-08 09:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x8fb369…
05-08 09:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x46b903…
05-08 09:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	130	88¢	$115	0x33708a…
05-08 09:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0xcbcef1…
05-08 09:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x522a22…
05-07 19:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb49f78…
05-07 18:12:02	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x7f2d66…
05-07 17:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x09fa9c…
05-07 17:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	447	13¢	$60	0x51931a…
05-07 17:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	95	73¢	$70	0x410ec0…
05-07 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xb8ad8f…
05-07 17:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x1e4d4d…
05-07 17:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xaa03c5…
05-07 17:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49	74¢	$36	0x284d45…
05-07 17:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x16a882…
05-07 17:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	83	70¢	$58	0xbc1b17…
05-07 17:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0x63d682…
05-07 17:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x21e196…
05-07 17:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	89	86¢	$77	0x516902…
05-07 17:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xc2d365…
05-07 17:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	211	57¢	$120	0x8e6b16…
05-07 17:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	211	38¢	$80	0xbffa97…
05-07 17:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	132	57¢	$75	0x40d1a6…
05-07 16:55:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x50b3b2…
05-07 12:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xb21103…
05-07 12:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	129	42¢	$55	0x467d45…
05-07 11:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xe0f20e…
05-07 11:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x3585ab…
05-07 11:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x33571d…
05-07 11:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	114	46¢	$52	0xdd7e57…
05-07 11:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x642e07…
05-07 11:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x08974a…
05-07 11:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xf6eb29…
05-07 10:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x9b4f11…
05-07 09:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0x1de24b…
05-06 20:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x066834…
05-06 20:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	149	30¢	$45	0x17201a…
05-06 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0x0e3ed2…
05-06 08:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	174	14¢	$25	0xa72543…
05-06 02:37:32	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	94	59¢	$55	0x518d86…
05-05 21:45:08	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xe5bc68…
05-05 21:44:46	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline	Cavaliers	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x3f9869…
05-05 17:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	112	57¢	$63	0xdad9b4…
05-05 17:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	112	38¢	$42	0x7e716c…
05-05 17:47:12	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x993e28…
05-05 17:45:56	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xf00135…
05-05 17:45:44	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	408	12¢	$50	0x847530…
05-05 17:38:56	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xb226ca…
05-05 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	121	50¢	$60	0xbef597…
05-05 14:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0xed09a0…
05-05 14:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfce90d…
05-05 14:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	213	23¢	$50	0xa7d771…
05-05 14:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	805	4¢	$30	0x761403…
05-05 14:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	81	61¢	$49	0xece851…