Radiant-Fang 0xd09696…0cde63 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$770
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
9.4%
Resolved
38
Trades
658
lifetime
Volume
$6.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$810
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 11-11 02:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
58% 12% -$295
Politics
26% 11% -$398
Tech
8% 0% -$77
Crypto
5% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +70 $58 84¢ $59 +$1 11-09 05:35
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? No +60 $54 94¢ $57 +$3 11-06 19:48
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? No +75 $58 74¢ $55 -$3 11-01 10:42
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +44 $33 90¢ $40 +$6 11-08 17:47
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +40 $32 92¢ $37 +$4 11-05 06:39
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +40 $36 90¢ $36 +$0 11-09 19:05
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +40 $32 90¢ $36 +$4 11-08 08:39
Will the ECB increase the deposit facility rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? No +40 $36 86¢ $35 -$1 11-10 22:00
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +40 $30 79¢ $32 +$1 11-05 05:15
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +40 $35 76¢ $31 -$4 11-04 18:40
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2027? No +31 $24 76¢ $24 $0 11-06 08:46
Will the Democrats win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +30 $24 75¢ $22 -$2 11-06 18:43
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +32 $16 70¢ $22 +$6 10-31 23:34
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +27 $22 81¢ $22 $0 10-31 22:25
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +21 $19 96¢ $20 +$1 11-05 07:32
Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026? No +24 $21 82¢ $20 -$1 11-05 04:04
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? Yes +75 $17 26¢ $20 +$3 11-01 10:42
National Guard deployed to election sites by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 11-05 06:00
Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader? Yes +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$1 11-08 16:36
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? No +20 $14 96¢ $19 +$5 11-01 11:47
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 +$1 11-04 04:50
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026? No +20 $18 95¢ $19 +$1 11-05 04:03
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? No +19 $17 100¢ $19 +$1 11-05 07:55
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 +$0 11-07 20:29
Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31? No +20 $15 94¢ $19 +$4 11-05 05:34
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$1 11-09 19:54
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +20 $18 91¢ $18 +$0 11-08 01:40
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Yes +20 $12 91¢ $18 +$6 11-02 16:48
Jensen Huang divorce in 2026? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 11-09 03:22
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +19 $18 93¢ $18 +$0 11-08 13:47