Wonderful-Suggestion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$398

Unrealized P&L

-$45

Hit rate

82.3%

Resolved

127

Trades

368

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$233

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-22 04:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Politics

60% 59% +$383

Crypto

21% 100% +$22

Other

10% 65% -$236

Tech

8% 86% +$226

Sports

1% 100% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+392	$278	60¢	$233	-$45	08-16 18:50
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-21	$0	1¢	$-0	$0	08-13 15:07
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-21	$0	1¢	$-0	$0	08-13 15:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$5.3K	3,296	2,029	+1,267	No	+$22	06-03 21:46
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$2.4K	2,626	300	+2,326	Yes	-$52	06-07 21:02
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$2.2K	1,158	1,158	+0	No	+$49	06-07 21:01
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?	2	$2.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$11	06-03 21:44
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	10	$2.0K	1,054	1,054	+0	Yes	+$61	06-07 21:01
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	No	+$26	06-06 12:14
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	3	$1.0K	523	523	+0	Yes	+$27	08-14 03:36
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	3	$849	514	514	+0	No	+$129	06-23 18:24
starmer out by june 22 2026	6	$800	700	200	+500	Yes	+$24	06-22 08:13
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	4	$706	397	397	+0	No	-$16	08-17 17:48
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	2	$602	333	333	+0	No	+$2	08-22 03:41
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	3	$484	262	262	+0	No	+$39	06-27 01:51
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	2	$405	500	0	+500	No	+$95	06-23 22:04
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	4	$376	465	172	+292	No	-$50	07-06 11:54
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260623205144681 518 212	2	$359	183	183	+0	No	+$1	07-06 10:59
Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	1	$342	439	0	+439	Yes	+$97	08-17 17:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	1	$282	290	0	+290	No	+$7	08-13 20:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$278	392	0	+392	open	—	08-16 18:50
will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	2	$266	137	137	+0	Yes	+$5	06-28 16:20
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	1	$258	378	0	+378	Yes	+$121	06-27 01:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$200	3,014	3,014	+0	No	-$143	06-28 06:34
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	6	$192	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$188	07-06 11:00
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	3	$183	203	0	+203	No	+$20	07-06 11:54
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$175	298	0	+298	Yes	+$123	08-14 03:37
will scotus let trump build the white house ballroom by september 30 20260807171000966	3	$136	143	0	+143	Yes	+$6	08-21 19:21
No one announced as next James Bond?	1	$136	148	0	+148	Yes	+$12	06-28 16:20
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	2	$112	140	0	+140	Yes	+$28	06-23 17:43
iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	2	$104	99	99	+0	Yes	+$89	06-28 06:34
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$84	402	402	+0	No	-$57	06-26 18:00
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$63	65	0	+65	No	+$2	08-14 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 04:38:06	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xe1b65d…
08-22 04:38:04	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x540710…
08-22 03:41:03	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	No	SELL	333	91¢	$302	0x29121e…
08-22 02:04:42	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x38e622…
08-22 01:35:09	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb99e27…
08-22 01:35:07	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x98a649…
08-22 01:35:06	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	No	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xc44253…
08-21 19:21:37	will scotus let trump build the white house ballroom by september 30 20260807171000966	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x926982…
08-21 19:01:06	will scotus let trump build the white house ballroom by september 30 20260807171000966	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x08dea3…
08-21 18:54:24	will scotus let trump build the white house ballroom by september 30 20260807171000966	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x644896…
08-21 18:37:48	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x079a12…
08-17 17:50:43	Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	439	78¢	$342	0x6c3960…
08-17 17:48:51	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	SELL	130	87¢	$113	0xee6445…
08-17 17:48:51	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	SELL	72	87¢	$62	0x9daf60…
08-17 17:48:15	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	SELL	195	87¢	$170	0xce0475…
08-16 18:50:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	388	71¢	$276	0x96f1d5…
08-16 18:36:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xca0394…
08-16 18:06:39	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 15 2026 20260807172323133	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x22f37d…
08-14 17:47:15	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	397	91¢	$361	0xb13d4d…
08-14 03:37:46	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xd774ce…
08-14 03:37:22	Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	298	59¢	$175	0x20f102…
08-14 03:36:46	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x695034…
08-13 20:25:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	290	97¢	$282	0x962b12…
08-13 20:24:52	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	282	99¢	$280	0x51732e…
08-13 15:07:42	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x48b919…
08-13 15:07:21	Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x430b8f…
08-13 15:07:01	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x746e1b…
08-13 15:06:49	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x5a0012…
08-13 15:06:39	Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xe1b668…
08-13 15:06:16	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xca1ae9…
08-13 15:06:00	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x063910…
08-13 15:05:48	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x8aaf15…
08-13 15:05:27	Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x900982…
08-13 15:05:16	Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x300352…
08-13 15:05:03	Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xb37179…
08-13 15:04:51	Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xa99db9…
08-13 15:04:36	Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xe233e5…
08-13 15:04:25	Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x673884…
08-13 15:04:12	Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x6a788a…
07-08 07:58:05	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	523	94¢	$494	0xacb5dc…
07-06 11:54:11	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4579cb…
07-06 11:54:02	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	201	90¢	$180	0x0c303c…
07-06 11:42:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x12a6f3…
07-06 11:00:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0xaf2034…
07-06 10:59:13	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260623205144681 518 212	No	SELL	183	98¢	$180	0x67bf99…
07-05 22:00:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd94841…
07-05 08:15:05	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	291	91¢	$265	0x386d03…
07-05 08:10:22	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	10¢	$17	0x0c4a8f…
07-05 00:29:19	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	54¢	$93	0x01f06a…
07-05 00:27:35	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260623205144681 518 212	No	BUY	183	98¢	$179	0x436dbd…
06-28 16:20:55	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	148	92¢	$136	0x2ca244…
06-28 16:20:32	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	SELL	137	99¢	$135	0x2a63ea…
06-28 06:35:55	will trump post ufc on truth social this week 20260622154014267	Yes	BUY	137	95¢	$130	0x32af0d…
06-28 06:34:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,014	1¢	$29	0x22deeb…
06-28 06:34:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,147	1¢	$6	0x3e5f51…
06-28 06:34:07	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0x11ac8c…
06-27 01:51:26	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	378	68¢	$258	0x7dc4ed…
06-27 01:51:05	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	SELL	262	100¢	$262	0x4f3d1f…
06-26 23:05:28	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb73a99…
06-26 23:03:50	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0x2685fc…
06-26 21:35:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	146	19¢	$28	0x09c206…
06-26 21:29:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe259d6…
06-26 21:29:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	224	6¢	$13	0xbc800d…
06-26 21:29:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x68fc6a…
06-26 21:24:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	13	19¢	$3	0xa92b91…
06-26 21:23:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	277	19¢	$53	0x3552aa…
06-26 21:22:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x65ff69…
06-26 21:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	196	6¢	$11	0x02ee30…
06-26 21:20:31	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	99	8¢	$7	0x92af1f…
06-26 21:20:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,623	6¢	$93	0x9b003b…
06-26 21:19:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	956	6¢	$55	0xcb6b51…
06-26 21:19:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xd02b80…
06-26 21:16:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	559	19¢	$106	0xb07e36…
06-26 18:00:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	402	3¢	$13	0x068963…
06-26 17:18:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc83a0b…
06-26 17:09:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa506d3…
06-26 17:06:26	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,147	1¢	$14	0x71fe92…
06-26 17:06:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	275	18¢	$50	0x24088d…
06-24 04:50:52	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xb1af12…
06-24 03:44:43	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0xe7958d…
06-24 03:31:31	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x832810…
06-24 02:40:29	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x90e9ca…
06-24 02:25:22	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x312a6c…
06-24 00:13:25	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xefb7be…
06-24 00:13:19	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfbd907…
06-24 00:13:19	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xef3399…
06-24 00:13:19	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb1359c…
06-24 00:13:19	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x570f60…
06-24 00:13:19	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x273415…
06-24 00:11:41	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x6372a1…
06-24 00:02:26	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x68ed07…
06-23 23:58:49	Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	47	24¢	$11	0xba0371…
06-23 23:58:47	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xacfe72…
06-23 23:58:31	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xbb11a7…
06-23 23:50:53	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x437a6d…
06-23 23:50:29	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x133ad3…
06-23 23:48:35	Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x50b589…
06-23 23:48:34	Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xf84a0b…
06-23 23:48:34	Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xd656a4…
06-23 23:35:59	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	No	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0xc0fd33…