Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$945

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

8,731

Trades

10,295

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-27 13:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 62% +$950

Tech

1% 0% -$3

Other

1% 75% -$2

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 1274 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		+44	$21	56¢	$25	+$4	09-02 01:31
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+44	$24	44¢	$19	-$5	09-02 07:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on august 27 2026	42	$176	289	47	+242	Up	-$4	08-26 22:35
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	28	$118	227	5	+222	Yes	-$3	09-02 07:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?	25	$110	211	9	+202	Yes	-$1	09-02 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:40 UTC	13	$60	60	30	+30	Up	-$1	08-25 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:45 UTC	17	$60	60	58	+2	Up	-$1	08-25 14:46
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	13	$51	94	6	+88	open	—	09-02 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 11:15 UTC	19	$45	90	0	+90	Up	-$10	08-25 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:45 UTC	18	$37	73	0	+73	Up	-$2	08-24 18:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:10 UTC	16	$35	65	0	+65	Up	$0	08-24 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:20 UTC	18	$34	66	0	+66	Up	-$9	08-25 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:00 UTC	12	$28	61	0	+61	Up	-$8	08-24 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 15:40 UTC	12	$25	51	0	+51	Down	-$4	08-24 15:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:15 UTC	8	$24	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	08-25 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	14	$22	45	0	+45	Down	-$2	08-25 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:00 UTC	11	$21	53	0	+53	Down	-$1	08-25 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:35 UTC	9	$20	40	0	+40	Down	-$1	08-25 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 11:50 UTC	10	$20	45	0	+45	Down	+$5	08-24 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:00 UTC	11	$19	40	0	+40	Down	-$4	08-24 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 12:40 UTC	9	$19	35	0	+35	Down	+$1	08-25 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:20 UTC	8	$18	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	08-24 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 10:55 UTC	8	$18	40	0	+40	Up	+$7	08-24 10:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:20 UTC	9	$18	35	0	+35	Down	-$8	08-24 13:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	6	$18	31	0	+31	Down	-$3	08-24 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:20 UTC	8	$17	40	0	+40	Up	-$7	08-24 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 19:15 UTC	7	$17	35	0	+35	Down	+$3	08-24 19:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:10 UTC	9	$17	42	0	+42	Up	-$2	08-24 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 18:55 UTC	11	$16	40	0	+40	Down	-$1	08-24 18:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:40 UTC	7	$16	36	0	+36	Up	-$1	08-24 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 12:10 UTC	8	$16	35	0	+35	Down	+$4	08-24 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:00 UTC	6	$16	32	0	+32	Down	+$4	08-24 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9431ba…
10-27 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa97ba3…
10-27 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xaa28a2…
10-27 12:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4bfef8…
10-27 12:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc436b2…
10-27 12:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7eeb52…
10-27 12:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb49ffc…
10-27 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd0f31f…
10-27 12:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfbb8f1…
10-27 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb4b635…
10-27 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x75672a…
10-27 11:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9bdb8e…
10-27 11:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0dd223…
10-27 10:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0dcbf3…
10-27 10:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb3b0a5…
10-27 10:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1e9f7b…
10-27 10:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3e1e8d…
10-27 10:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfb497b…
10-27 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb65644…
10-27 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0d538b…
10-27 09:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3a12a8…
10-27 09:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x52ec2d…
10-27 09:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa823b1…
10-27 09:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf21308…
10-27 08:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x958752…
10-27 08:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x44be61…
10-27 08:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xba8851…
10-27 08:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8d1188…
10-27 08:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb1362a…
10-27 07:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaa9789…
10-27 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x96997b…
10-27 07:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3698e2…
10-27 07:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe19c38…
10-27 07:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5be835…
10-27 07:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89d932…
10-27 07:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1264b9…
10-27 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6e7070…
10-27 06:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x662cdc…
10-27 06:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x424fe8…
10-27 06:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcd9593…
10-27 06:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x48db0a…
10-27 06:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6db20e…
10-27 06:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x42fbb8…
10-27 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x767fbd…
10-27 06:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x27d1b6…
10-27 05:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8bcf95…
10-27 05:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5396ba…
10-27 05:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf55f5d…
10-27 05:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x71b01e…
10-27 05:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x871f3b…
10-27 05:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcab173…
10-27 04:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9f2aae…
10-27 04:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b5733…
10-27 04:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5e8ca7…
10-27 04:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdc4679…
10-27 03:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x17dcb6…
10-27 03:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb23c21…
10-27 03:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1147d7…
10-27 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa7ef4e…
10-27 03:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0e6aef…
10-27 02:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4cfeab…
10-27 02:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc41cb8…
10-27 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x27049f…
10-27 02:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x67cb65…
10-27 02:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5bb357…
10-27 02:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x825bd6…
10-27 02:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6adb9b…
10-27 02:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xade2d1…
10-27 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcf32b9…
10-27 01:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x83d4c2…
10-27 01:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe0a910…
10-27 01:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1d1cc0…
10-27 01:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x72d041…
10-27 01:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xee56d9…
10-27 01:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6cf81e…
10-27 01:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5870b9…
10-27 01:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xca5dd9…
10-27 01:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf84e1d…
10-27 00:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfea1cc…
10-27 00:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x54e7c9…
10-27 00:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x300288…
10-27 00:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb63c86…
10-27 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x74b1bf…
10-27 00:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x19c0cb…
10-27 00:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8abed3…
10-26 23:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xedf821…
10-26 23:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5e0875…
10-26 23:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0a5e64…
10-26 23:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb11ad1…
10-26 23:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf679f5…
10-26 22:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb68d6f…
10-26 22:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x43c16c…
10-26 22:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x436081…
10-26 22:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8669cb…
10-26 21:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4fbac3…
10-26 21:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5cf567…
10-26 20:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3ed7c8…
10-26 20:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8266bf…
10-26 20:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd4b020…
10-26 19:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf505f2…