Warlike-Kneejerk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$288

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

2,001

Trades

4,610

lifetime

Volume

$54.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-05 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 77% -$252

Other

1% 20% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 21:45 UTC	7	$384	469	381	+88	Up	-$36	03-16 21:58
wbc ven dor 2026 03 11	3	$262	158	158	+0	Dominican Rep.	+$53	03-12 03:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 18:40 UTC	10	$242	238	234	+4	Down	+$2	03-17 18:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:30 UTC	11	$230	248	244	+3	Up	+$10	03-17 01:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:30 UTC	7	$205	109	109	+0	Down	+$7	09-16 15:35
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 21:35 UTC	3	$205	284	281	+3	Up	+$52	03-16 21:39
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:20 UTC	4	$190	145	143	+2	Down	+$10	03-17 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$176	93	93	+0	Up	+$6	10-01 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:55 UTC	5	$165	88	88	+0	Down	+$5	09-30 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:20 UTC	2	$164	88	88	+0	Up	+$6	09-16 09:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:40 UTC	5	$163	137	136	+1	Down	-$19	03-17 01:45
Solana Up or Down - September 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$162	86	86	+0	Down	+$4	09-16 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$162	85	85	+0	Up	+$3	09-16 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 09:30 UTC	2	$162	85	85	+0	Up	+$3	09-16 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 10:15 UTC	8	$162	85	85	+0	Up	+$3	09-16 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:15 UTC	2	$162	85	85	+0	Up	+$3	09-16 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:00 UTC	3	$149	81	81	+0	Down	+$5	09-30 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	2	$141	75	75	+0	Down	+$4	09-30 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$140	77	77	+0	Up	+$12	09-15 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:45 UTC	13	$135	71	71	+0	Down	+$3	09-30 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$135	76	76	+0	Up	+$6	09-16 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$134	72	72	+0	Up	+$5	09-15 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$133	73	73	+0	Up	+$5	09-16 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	13	$133	72	72	+0	Up	+$4	09-15 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$133	71	71	+0	Down	+$4	09-15 22:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 19:30 UTC	4	$132	126	125	+1	Down	+$14	03-16 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$132	70	70	+0	Down	+$3	09-15 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$131	69	69	+0	Up	+$3	09-15 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:05 UTC	11	$127	67	67	+0	Down	+$3	09-30 19:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 21:15 UTC	5	$125	152	151	+1	Down	+$5	03-16 21:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 18:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xc28667…
10-05 18:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0xedf580…
10-05 17:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xe95341…
10-05 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x613b0c…
10-05 17:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x75ab1f…
10-05 17:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x365084…
10-05 17:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x91fe18…
10-05 17:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x06f70a…
10-05 17:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x229854…
10-05 17:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xb90a74…
10-05 16:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xb39b29…
10-05 16:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xc2eea7…
10-05 15:58:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6dbf21…
10-05 15:58:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x51c264…
10-05 15:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x64f30b…
10-05 15:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x88b16c…
10-05 15:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x218841…
10-05 15:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x33c827…
10-05 05:33:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xf54661…
10-05 05:32:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x07fdc4…
10-05 05:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x9eb917…
10-05 05:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbbfc68…
10-05 05:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdd713d…
10-05 05:03:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x651f3b…
10-05 05:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf8e0d3…
10-05 04:23:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x964a62…
10-05 04:22:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x92c08f…
10-05 03:58:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3bde3b…
10-05 03:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x969090…
10-05 03:53:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:50 UTC	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x995c2b…
10-05 03:52:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xfeb021…
10-05 03:43:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xdf41df…
10-05 03:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x826c6f…
10-05 03:38:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xffcf25…
10-05 03:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0x9a35cf…
10-05 03:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x91e0cb…
10-05 03:17:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x0aa836…
10-05 03:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x8fd017…
10-05 03:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xcdb2dc…
10-02 17:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x572b50…
10-02 17:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xde83da…
10-02 17:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x6cb8c5…
10-02 17:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x1e1f89…
10-02 17:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xab2f8f…
10-02 17:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xbcd0c1…
10-02 17:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x08b2b4…
10-02 17:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xcc061f…
10-02 17:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0x5f4c81…
10-02 17:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$11	0x7b51d8…
10-02 17:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xe71cf6…
10-02 17:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdde776…
10-02 17:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x806587…
10-02 17:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x961724…
10-02 16:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf7ee04…
10-02 16:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x91cda8…
10-02 16:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x8e2659…
10-02 16:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x862c7d…
10-02 16:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6ce95c…
10-02 16:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x2826f4…
10-02 16:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x9b1166…
10-02 16:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x6a27a6…
10-02 16:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x758ae1…
10-02 16:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x43a432…
10-02 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf4a2e1…
10-02 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x755f67…
10-02 16:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x29ae29…
10-02 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xb55d41…
10-02 16:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xd50da4…
10-02 15:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x42f807…
10-02 15:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1848b2…
10-02 15:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc06720…
10-02 15:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x9b50ea…
10-02 15:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3110c5…
10-02 15:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x12b97f…
10-02 15:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbac55a…
10-02 15:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb4dfa8…
10-02 15:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc97bcf…
10-02 15:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6c7d8c…
10-02 14:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x61146a…
10-02 14:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x261dd1…
10-01 15:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	83	29¢	$24	0x82e405…
10-01 15:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	58¢	$48	0xdd1a26…
10-01 14:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x76375a…
10-01 14:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	90¢	$49	0xc5a8e3…
10-01 14:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0xfaf66b…
10-01 14:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb9fd81…
10-01 14:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x2bbbc1…
10-01 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcfa36b…
10-01 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6714d8…
10-01 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3b5d69…
10-01 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x2452fb…
10-01 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x1730d6…
10-01 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x11015d…
10-01 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x07cf94…
10-01 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0xd0224a…
10-01 14:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x850928…
10-01 14:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xabcaa7…
10-01 14:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x701a43…
10-01 14:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x6a77ad…
10-01 14:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x58e397…