Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$330

Hit rate

31.7%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$1.12K

3 positions

First seen

2026-11-02

last 11-10 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

57% 30% -$1,853

Crypto

23% 35% -$630

Other

21% 67% +$883

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	+1,404	$1,198	71¢	$999	-$199	11-10 12:54
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+400	$197	29¢	$114	-$83	11-03 14:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	+255	$51	1¢	$3	-$48	11-03 06:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	21	$2.1K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$2,100	11-03 01:32
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$1.5K	5,800	0	+5,800	No	-$1,508	11-03 14:04
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	4	$1.2K	1,404	0	+1,404	open	—	11-10 12:54
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	3	$597	1,400	0	+1,400	Yes	+$803	11-03 18:35
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	3	$536	800	0	+800	Yes	+$264	11-03 23:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	15	$449	2,377	0	+2,377	open	—	11-03 21:26
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	5	$415	600	0	+600	Yes	-$415	11-03 15:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	1	$396	1,800	0	+1,800	No	+$1,404	11-02 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$325	966	0	+966	Down	-$83	11-03 18:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$300	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$300	11-03 10:54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$250	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$250	11-03 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	6	$250	228	130	+98	Down	+$10	11-03 18:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	2	$234	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$1,366	11-02 22:11
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	1	$204	400	0	+400	No	-$204	11-03 19:15
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	6	$204	300	0	+300	No	-$204	11-02 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$200	472	0	+472	Down	-$29	11-03 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$200	454	0	+454	Down	+$22	11-03 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$200	1,646	0	+1,646	Down	-$200	11-07 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$200	460	0	+460	Down	+$4	11-03 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$200	528	0	+528	Up	+$80	11-03 20:31
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	5	$197	482	0	+482	Yes	+$284	11-03 11:03
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	2	$197	400	0	+400	open	—	11-03 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$155	969	0	+969	Down	-$30	11-03 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$150	334	0	+334	Down	+$11	11-03 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$130	486	0	+486	Down	-$124	11-03 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$125	389	0	+389	Up	-$125	11-03 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$125	457	0	+457	Up	-$125	11-07 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$125	494	0	+494	Down	-$125	11-07 20:08
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	1	$110	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$110	11-02 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$105	319	0	+319	Up	+$214	11-03 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 12:54:28	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	BUY	93	89¢	$83	0xf5834d…
11-10 12:54:07	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xab4808…
11-10 12:53:25	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	BUY	1,230	85¢	$1,045	0xb93a31…
11-10 12:52:00	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?	Yes	BUY	32	83¢	$26	0x81593b…
11-07 20:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,383	7¢	$100	0x65ccb8…
11-07 20:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x1ff58b…
11-07 20:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xbdf00c…
11-07 20:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x3ae6d4…
11-07 20:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x0ba304…
11-07 20:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x01ff05…
11-03 23:28:33	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	654	67¢	$438	0x22187f…
11-03 23:27:00	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd4101a…
11-03 23:23:19	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	67¢	$96	0x80f408…
11-03 21:26:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xf9b63b…
11-03 20:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x271025…
11-03 20:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd197c0…
11-03 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x76d61a…
11-03 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x504c99…
11-03 20:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0x876836…
11-03 20:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	280	36¢	$100	0xe866b5…
11-03 20:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0xbe8b4a…
11-03 20:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	301	33¢	$100	0x203e3b…
11-03 20:28:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0x54df29…
11-03 19:15:19	Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	400	51¢	$204	0xfc4557…
11-03 19:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x51b585…
11-03 19:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	161	16¢	$25	0x6d2718…
11-03 19:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf9e7d3…
11-03 19:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	319	31¢	$100	0x044f9c…
11-03 19:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x86d3a5…
11-03 18:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x544903…
11-03 18:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x811c18…
11-03 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x0e65cc…
11-03 18:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x5938a5…
11-03 18:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xf9ad42…
11-03 18:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x99978f…
11-03 18:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x1baef2…
11-03 18:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x3cb767…
11-03 18:35:00	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x5d01f2…
11-03 18:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x479a95…
11-03 18:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x5dba68…
11-03 18:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2f9ffc…
11-03 18:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	276	9¢	$25	0x070d4e…
11-03 18:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x56f626…
11-03 18:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x566686…
11-03 18:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xfc1e4c…
11-03 18:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa5cc7f…
11-03 18:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xd2b306…
11-03 18:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x675720…
11-03 18:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x7b8c67…
11-03 18:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x33e585…
11-03 18:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0f7670…
11-03 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe1247e…
11-03 18:00:54	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	700	43¢	$301	0x1b730e…
11-03 18:00:27	Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	500	42¢	$210	0x69922d…
11-03 15:38:19	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	508	69¢	$351	0x30bf55…
11-03 15:29:01	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x2c5875…
11-03 15:28:10	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xadb655…
11-03 15:28:10	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x11ce67…
11-03 14:22:13	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	104	49¢	$51	0x78faca…
11-03 14:04:22	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,800	26¢	$1,508	0x12ff74…
11-03 14:01:24	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	63	69¢	$44	0x8226d2…
11-03 13:45:10	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	296	49¢	$146	0xa4062e…
11-03 11:03:36	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xa2b913…
11-03 10:56:12	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0x597a83…
11-03 10:54:39	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	5,000	6¢	$300	0x4fde04…
11-03 10:41:10	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x321ada…
11-03 10:16:10	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x237813…
11-03 10:13:34	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	328	41¢	$134	0xecfb59…
11-03 10:12:40	Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	110	41¢	$45	0x0cf8aa…
11-03 09:34:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x39b5ec…
11-03 09:14:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$4	0xf69ee1…
11-03 06:28:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	122	20¢	$24	0xbd89e4…
11-03 04:41:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2bb7e6…
11-03 03:46:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x59113a…
11-03 01:32:09	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	911	21¢	$191	0xe573e2…
11-03 01:31:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,322	21¢	$278	0x6e2e64…
11-03 01:24:24	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xa01a73…
11-03 01:23:15	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	21¢	$24	0xdb6bed…
11-03 01:16:30	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	21¢	$74	0xbe6268…
11-03 01:13:13	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	21¢	$84	0x2f0764…
11-03 01:12:57	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	21¢	$53	0x68d555…
11-03 01:01:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x733cbd…
11-03 01:00:40	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	21¢	$52	0xbb635c…
11-03 00:57:03	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd9d2a7…
11-03 00:53:33	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2fab7c…
11-03 00:50:37	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	21¢	$48	0x8c036f…
11-03 00:44:06	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,750	21¢	$578	0xf76fdf…
11-03 00:42:45	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xda4899…
11-03 00:42:22	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x5f5e93…
11-03 00:14:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xafc791…
11-02 23:56:55	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xfe3542…
11-02 23:44:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xd85362…
11-02 23:44:00	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	601	21¢	$126	0xf16f65…
11-02 23:37:13	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x535b58…
11-02 23:35:51	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	21¢	$21	0xae3a4d…
11-02 23:28:43	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,249	21¢	$262	0xef0229…
11-02 23:27:18	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,102	21¢	$231	0xb162c2…
11-02 22:45:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	92	19¢	$17	0x3ff1bf…
11-02 22:41:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	821	19¢	$156	0xe9e98d…
11-02 22:19:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0xdd660a…