Infantile-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$441

Unrealized P&L

+$3.54K

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved (90d)

229

Trades (90d)

592

6,765 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$25.8K

$340.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$15.0K

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 11-02 08:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

64% 57% -$716

Sports

31% 51% +$601

Politics

4% 50% +$32

Crypto

0% 55% -$113

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+17,632	$4,413	34¢	$5.9K	+$1,493	11-02 04:18
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+11,550	$2,484	33¢	$3.8K	+$1,357	11-02 08:38
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	+5,687	$2,105	46¢	$2.6K	+$511	11-02 08:39
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+5,636	$2,413	46¢	$2.6K	+$180	11-02 01:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	46	$4.4K	17,632	0	+17,632	open	—	11-02 04:18
lol tes we 2026 06 07	6	$3.4K	1,994	1,994	+0	Top Esports	+$269	06-07 11:47
lol dk hle1 2026 07 27	4	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$72	07-27 07:41
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	85	$2.5K	11,550	0	+11,550	open	—	11-02 08:38
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	52	$2.4K	5,636	0	+5,636	open	—	11-02 01:09
lol nsea t1a 2026 06 17	15	$2.4K	1,967	1,229	+738	T1 Academy	+$56	06-17 13:32
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournament	8	$2.3K	2,638	0	+2,638	No	+$304	07-17 11:31
lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	3	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	Dplus KIA	+$79	06-06 11:26
dota2 aur1 ty 2026 06 04 game1	10	$2.2K	1,450	1,450	-0	Team Yandex	+$333	06-04 10:31
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	13	$2.2K	1,319	1,319	+0	Gen.G	-$77	05-27 11:46
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	47	$2.1K	5,687	0	+5,687	open	—	11-02 08:39
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	8	$2.0K	2,012	2,012	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$709	07-09 10:04
lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game3	6	$2.0K	2,203	150	+2,053	Gen.G	+$33	06-13 09:05
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game1	14	$1.8K	1,291	1,291	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$19	06-06 10:12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	6	$1.8K	1,041	1,041	+0	Dplus KIA	+$256	05-29 10:57
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$258	06-11 21:39
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	7	$1.6K	1,719	789	+930	Knicks	+$125	06-11 03:23
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	6	$1.6K	850	950	-100	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$172	05-26 17:19
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	10	$1.6K	1,750	747	+1,002	Yes	+$82	06-14 03:35
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	18	$1.6K	1,253	1,239	+15	Magic	+$116	04-18 02:37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	12	$1.5K	935	935	+0	Natus Vincere	+$38	05-16 00:45
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	11	$1.5K	976	976	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	-$1	05-12 11:25
lol gen dnf 2026 08 04	2	$1.5K	1,600	0	+1,600	Gen.G	+$118	08-04 10:13
lol al lgd 2026 06 05 game2	16	$1.5K	1,566	771	+795	Anyone's Legend	+$198	06-05 10:44
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	9	$1.5K	1,049	1,049	+0	JD Gaming	+$44	05-29 09:32
lol hle1 ly 2026 07 11	4	$1.4K	759	759	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$98	07-11 12:09
lol t1 gam 2026 07 15	5	$1.4K	1,743	0	+1,743	T1	+$335	07-15 10:56
lol t1a ktc 2026 06 19	18	$1.4K	1,443	929	+514	T1 Academy	+$122	06-19 12:19
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$1.3K	805	805	+0	T1	-$50	05-30 10:53
lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05	4	$1.3K	1,455	0	+1,455	Hanwha Life Esports	+$109	07-05 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 08:39:58	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	148	47¢	$70	0xaf95ce…
11-02 08:38:28	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x995b64…
11-02 08:38:22	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3961a5…
11-02 08:38:16	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x9f301d…
11-02 08:38:13	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x63bba8…
11-02 04:19:10	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xefc703…
11-02 04:18:21	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	66	34¢	$22	0xd9c821…
11-02 01:11:00	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xf46abc…
11-02 01:10:54	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	104	35¢	$36	0x6ea2a4…
11-02 01:10:36	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xf819f0…
11-02 01:10:30	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	66	35¢	$23	0x93f0b8…
11-02 01:10:13	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	199	35¢	$70	0xde99f0…
11-02 01:10:06	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf30bbf…
11-02 01:09:39	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	415	47¢	$195	0xf1c9b8…
11-02 01:09:31	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	1,010	47¢	$475	0x01e567…
11-02 01:09:06	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x0eb0f8…
11-02 01:08:58	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x42fb99…
11-02 01:08:42	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x1dc985…
11-02 01:08:24	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xefdc00…
11-01 10:56:57	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x144279…
11-01 10:56:24	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xbbed92…
11-01 10:56:13	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x426647…
11-01 10:56:07	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xad7dfc…
11-01 10:56:04	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x7278ed…
11-01 10:55:58	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0xff0f06…
11-01 10:55:51	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xf640a5…
11-01 10:55:42	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x92f891…
11-01 10:55:36	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	482	31¢	$150	0x98ce97…
11-01 10:55:24	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	360	31¢	$111	0x0b06b1…
11-01 10:55:16	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xc159ba…
11-01 10:55:07	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0x740889…
11-01 10:54:58	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	863	30¢	$259	0xb3554a…
10-30 21:57:01	Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 21.5	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x937347…
10-30 21:55:45	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0x2f3306…
10-30 21:55:36	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0209f7…
10-30 21:54:55	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xaf8987…
10-30 21:54:48	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x8b3023…
10-30 21:54:27	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8c57a0…
10-30 21:54:13	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc64a15…
10-30 21:53:58	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x560a54…
10-30 21:53:10	nba hou dal 2026 10 30 points alperen sengun 20pt5	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x98386c…
10-30 21:53:03	nba hou dal 2026 10 30 points alperen sengun 20pt5	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6644af…
10-30 21:51:48	Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x50e749…
10-30 21:51:37	Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xcf206f…
10-30 21:49:28	Tre Johnson: Points O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x8b5ae5…
10-30 21:47:36	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc10b58…
10-29 06:07:52	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x2c2861…
10-29 06:07:37	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc03b3e…
10-29 02:31:43	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x95b2a8…
10-29 02:31:08	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	76	49¢	$37	0x695dcf…
10-29 02:30:19	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	80	34¢	$27	0x61863c…
10-29 02:29:55	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0xabdff0…
10-29 02:27:43	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x3d5153…
10-29 02:27:35	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x7f7269…
10-29 02:27:31	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x87824c…
10-29 02:26:59	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xe60cbf…
10-29 02:26:52	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x6c7f04…
10-29 02:26:44	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x76f21a…
10-29 02:26:25	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf19539…
10-29 02:26:07	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xbb5e7a…
10-29 02:25:10	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x355c5f…
10-29 02:25:05	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x37c0ad…
10-29 02:24:56	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xefc40a…
10-28 06:17:47	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	124	33¢	$41	0x367f3b…
10-28 06:16:52	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	179	33¢	$59	0x2c5e94…
10-28 01:16:56	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	84	34¢	$29	0xa85f59…
10-28 01:16:27	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x2eae3e…
10-28 01:15:50	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0xabaec5…
10-28 01:15:24	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x0e915f…
10-28 01:15:06	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x5e685b…
10-28 01:15:02	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x866c74…
10-27 23:01:08	Ostapenkov vs. Maloney: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x22e42d…
10-27 23:00:50	Ostapenkov vs. Maloney: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x6bdb1e…
10-27 09:54:03	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0xdecc41…
10-27 07:25:11	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xca8207…
10-27 07:24:35	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xd83779…
10-27 07:24:17	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	32	36¢	$12	0xec7512…
10-27 07:24:03	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x63b58f…
10-27 07:23:56	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x0fd7f3…
10-27 04:09:47	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0x886971…
10-27 04:08:56	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x61d90b…
10-27 04:08:53	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb8ab3d…
10-27 04:08:44	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3df29f…
10-27 03:58:53	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xce2d3e…
10-27 03:58:42	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x2ce951…
10-27 03:58:27	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x01ee38…
10-27 00:09:56	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x3335ca…
10-27 00:09:05	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x5dd67a…
10-27 00:08:50	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x729ef7…
10-27 00:07:50	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x51fb89…
10-27 00:07:29	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x893693…
10-27 00:06:54	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xb9a270…
10-27 00:06:48	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x953a42…
10-26 07:48:54	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	150	54¢	$81	0x5eafe3…
10-26 07:48:21	Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	123	54¢	$66	0x174077…
10-26 07:47:00	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe7a60c…
10-26 02:18:05	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa168c3…
10-26 02:17:50	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xcceb43…
10-26 02:17:41	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xa33faf…
10-26 02:16:59	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	137	36¢	$49	0x982d87…