Definite-Barometer-Yurt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

518

Trades

9,689

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-01 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-149

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 1965 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	8	$176	102	102	+0	open	—	04-29 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	39	$87	144	38	+106	open	—	05-01 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$75	58	58	+0	open	—	04-30 07:34
btc updown 15m 1776565800	14	$68	56	33	+23	open	—	04-19 02:42
eth updown 15m 1776546900	13	$63	145	0	+145	open	—	04-18 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$59	59	5	+54	open	—	05-18 16:28
btc updown 15m 1776536100	33	$57	278	260	+18	open	—	04-18 18:22
btc updown 15m 1776404700	11	$54	43	28	+15	open	—	04-17 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	21	$52	66	30	+36	open	—	05-01 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	23	$48	61	30	+31	open	—	05-01 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	17	$44	66	20	+46	open	—	05-01 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	21	$42	56	25	+31	open	—	05-01 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	7	$42	44	39	+5	Up	$-3	05-10 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	18	$41	61	30	+31	open	—	05-01 17:50
btc updown 15m 1776447900	11	$40	60	18	+42	open	—	04-17 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	16	$39	61	10	+51	open	—	05-01 18:49
btc updown 15m 1776568500	8	$36	79	0	+79	open	—	04-19 03:23
btc updown 15m 1776524400	8	$36	43	41	+2	open	—	04-18 15:12
btc updown 5m 1776532200	5	$35	47	0	+47	open	—	04-18 17:14
btc updown 15m 1776557700	5	$34	70	0	+70	open	—	04-19 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	17	$34	36	25	+10	open	—	05-01 17:34
btc updown 15m 1776566700	17	$32	141	0	+141	open	—	04-19 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	14	$32	66	5	+61	open	—	05-01 16:12
btc updown 15m 1776510000	7	$32	70	0	+70	open	—	04-18 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	18	$31	51	15	+35	open	—	05-01 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	12	$31	51	10	+41	open	—	05-01 18:22
btc updown 5m 1776525300	6	$30	45	0	+45	open	—	04-18 15:19
btc updown 15m 1776529800	10	$29	57	10	+47	open	—	04-18 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	11	$27	41	15	+25	open	—	05-01 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 03:53:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	25¢	$8	0x7e5bfe…
05-26 17:48:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0xde3988…
05-26 06:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x8c032c…
05-23 05:06:08	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbd8c77…
05-23 04:33:42	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfd6254…
05-22 16:48:37	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x460733…
05-22 16:30:58	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7c6113…
05-22 16:30:50	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2ce79e…
05-22 16:09:43	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x48f68e…
05-22 15:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc8dc57…
05-22 15:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfa5fa7…
05-22 15:05:57	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xfca053…
05-22 15:05:57	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x398258…
05-22 14:56:55	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x106c14…
05-22 14:56:39	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1f7fc2…
05-22 14:35:41	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdcf49e…
05-22 14:26:29	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6376d5…
05-22 14:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xa743a2…
05-22 14:12:24	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x745b82…
05-22 14:12:22	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x66151c…
05-22 13:57:28	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe602f6…
05-22 13:53:56	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8c5efb…
05-22 13:47:42	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x7748f1…
05-22 13:40:24	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x34038b…
05-22 11:52:35	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x89ad20…
05-22 07:20:25	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x8782c1…
05-22 07:10:37	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x994424…
05-22 05:30:30	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x950904…
05-22 05:10:26	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf97224…
05-22 01:46:17	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf706e8…
05-22 01:45:25	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x2b0201…
05-21 23:35:48	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2c8d40…
05-21 23:06:45	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x596a86…
05-21 22:06:47	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf435f0…
05-21 21:38:07	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4581e0…
05-21 19:35:49	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb90b19…
05-21 19:10:53	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x702f13…
05-21 19:10:33	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcbe07f…
05-21 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x02af1b…
05-21 19:05:36	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc358ac…
05-21 19:05:29	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbfd325…
05-21 19:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x932d13…
05-21 19:01:08	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1b20fb…
05-21 19:00:45	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0xc3bae3…
05-21 17:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf3b2d0…
05-21 16:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4ed364…
05-21 16:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0x0c0c38…
05-21 16:55:41	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xad592a…
05-21 16:55:41	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x741d89…
05-21 16:52:18	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6fd192…
05-21 16:30:42	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xab9a96…
05-21 16:30:40	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x228e59…
05-21 15:12:18	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0101ff…
05-21 14:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1242ed…
05-21 14:36:02	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xcfe364…
05-21 14:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5882ac…
05-21 14:30:26	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5b13fc…
05-21 14:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x993343…
05-21 14:26:00	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x69e427…
05-21 14:26:00	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x31aa3e…
05-21 13:55:28	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x1c74f9…
05-21 13:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc39853…
05-21 13:50:50	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0a5fdc…
05-21 13:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7df1cf…
05-21 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xee65eb…
05-21 12:36:38	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x30053d…
05-21 12:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x68efec…
05-21 11:17:41	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9e3c84…
05-21 10:35:25	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8b9b4d…
05-21 10:35:25	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2506f1…
05-21 10:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc92675…
05-21 06:30:55	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc4668c…
05-21 04:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6f4aad…
05-21 02:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6b90cf…
05-21 02:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8e12b8…
05-21 01:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x713b31…
05-21 01:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xef2aa8…
05-21 00:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x118ef9…
05-21 00:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x98d790…
05-20 22:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa07a51…
05-20 22:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbc5d1b…
05-20 22:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc08b9…
05-20 22:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xaf9ef6…
05-20 21:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x11e942…
05-20 21:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8b50f7…
05-20 21:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x750d10…
05-20 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x10edd3…
05-20 20:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x145cb6…
05-20 20:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2fdbc9…
05-20 20:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9ff87b…
05-20 20:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x929cf8…
05-20 20:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2834f9…
05-20 19:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5c3684…
05-20 19:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xac4da6…
05-20 19:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9e1fad…
05-20 17:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71a75e…
05-20 17:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3d9278…
05-20 17:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x78e5b6…
05-20 17:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x192ac0…
05-20 17:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5e2084…