Blue-Nose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

589

Trades

2,137

lifetime

Volume

$27.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-20 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 76% -$1,116

Other

2% 27% -$43

Politics

1% 14% -$118

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 21:05 UTC	17	$616	610	598	+12	Down	+$18	04-20 21:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:15 UTC	9	$612	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$612	04-16 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:25 UTC	48	$612	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	+$588	04-15 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:20 UTC	50	$612	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$612	04-15 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:05 UTC	8	$611	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$589	04-16 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:10 UTC	27	$609	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$591	04-16 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 12:05 UTC	41	$573	410	400	+10	Up	+$165	04-20 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:30 UTC	20	$529	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$471	04-16 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:35 UTC	1	$522	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$522	04-16 10:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:15 UTC	18	$459	900	0	+900	Down	-$459	04-15 23:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	47	$447	400	400	+0	Up	+$32	05-07 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:50 UTC	32	$416	800	0	+800	Down	+$384	04-21 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:20 UTC	6	$410	820	0	+820	Down	+$410	04-14 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:00 UTC	8	$400	800	0	+800	Up	-$400	04-16 15:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 08:55 UTC	25	$398	365	365	+0	Up	-$2	07-25 08:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	8	$375	250	250	+0	Up	+$120	05-02 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:10 UTC	14	$331	650	0	+650	Down	-$331	04-16 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	13	$308	300	298	+2	Up	+$4	04-27 13:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 09:10 UTC	45	$300	273	273	+0	Up	+$0	07-25 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	24	$289	210	204	+6	Down	+$85	04-27 19:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 22:50 UTC	11	$284	200	198	+2	Up	+$86	04-13 22:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:45 UTC	8	$280	200	200	+0	Up	+$80	07-20 23:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$269	191	191	+0	Up	+$69	05-15 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:20 UTC	11	$253	200	193	+7	Down	+$62	04-19 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:05 UTC	10	$237	200	200	+0	Down	+$37	04-14 23:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 03:45 UTC	20	$236	430	0	+430	Down	-$236	07-23 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 15:30 UTC	2	$233	200	193	+7	Up	+$33	04-17 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:00 UTC	2	$230	450	0	+450	Down	-$230	04-16 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:05 UTC	1	$230	450	0	+450	Down	-$230	04-16 10:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 04:10 UTC	23	$220	200	200	+0	Up	+$4	07-23 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 09:36:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x8f6082…
08-20 09:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xd8326a…
08-20 09:36:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x0b4f62…
08-20 09:35:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	39¢	$15	0x5e01af…
08-20 09:34:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0x0cf6a2…
08-20 09:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x05aa4e…
08-20 09:20:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7da421…
08-20 09:09:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaf7cd1…
08-20 08:58:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x22cf3d…
08-15 09:48:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe4a6dc…
08-15 09:37:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe27ed9…
08-15 09:29:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xb1262a…
08-15 09:29:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xee5679…
08-15 09:29:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x8e7e04…
08-15 09:29:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xc1bf1d…
08-15 09:29:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xadeb28…
08-15 09:29:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x547e7e…
08-15 09:29:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x35d3c9…
08-15 09:29:04	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x1a2755…
08-15 09:28:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x83b509…
08-15 09:24:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x68679e…
08-15 08:45:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xef32c3…
08-15 08:45:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x6e05aa…
08-15 08:45:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x82f7d7…
08-15 08:45:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x2e78f8…
08-15 08:45:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1843a3…
08-15 08:45:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xcd7877…
08-15 08:45:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb42206…
08-15 08:45:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x5f3267…
08-15 08:45:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x6bae5a…
08-15 08:45:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x418130…
08-15 08:45:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x0d89da…
08-15 08:43:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x93fe7f…
08-15 08:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7ecdeb…
08-15 08:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x166ac7…
08-15 08:34:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1ebbfe…
08-15 08:34:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x180c93…
08-15 08:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1a3df0…
08-15 08:34:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x297291…
08-14 06:50:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:50 UTC	Up	SELL	25	81¢	$21	0x217870…
08-14 06:46:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xbe2a81…
08-14 06:23:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x92ebbc…
08-14 06:20:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x7ddd4e…
08-14 06:18:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xf20fc1…
08-14 06:16:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x16ef2c…
08-14 06:14:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x19e73e…
08-14 06:09:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcc41f2…
08-14 06:07:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0x7cfcd8…
08-14 06:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0xb2ea65…
08-13 05:24:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2707fe…
08-13 05:16:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfef31b…
08-12 17:48:45	val th1 navi1 2026 08 12	Team Heretics	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x998ddd…
08-12 17:45:31	val th1 navi1 2026 08 12	Natus Vincere	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2aeaf1…
08-12 17:33:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc2f4fa…
08-12 17:18:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xda2ed1…
08-12 17:18:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc28000…
08-12 17:18:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x474433…
08-12 17:18:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0x0aadb8…
08-12 17:14:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x69e40a…
08-12 17:14:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x49d36b…
08-12 17:13:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3def6b…
08-12 17:12:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc925e5…
08-12 12:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x993e06…
08-12 12:09:04	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 115 mph 20260727152106463	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8be4b2…
08-12 12:08:57	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 110 mph 20260727152106462	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xce3b42…
08-12 12:00:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$10	0xa35f0c…
08-12 12:00:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xb7f853…
08-12 11:58:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfbdab5…
08-12 11:58:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x10970d…
08-12 11:47:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9713d7…
08-12 11:44:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x7ddeaa…
08-12 11:44:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x86f42b…
08-12 11:43:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbbd989…
08-12 11:38:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xd67505…
08-12 11:38:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0x1df0ef…
08-12 11:38:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe47861…
08-12 11:38:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x83496e…
08-12 11:38:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x479049…
08-12 11:31:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x9822d5…
08-12 11:30:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0x63ef01…
08-12 11:27:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x1d93ba…
08-12 11:26:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0x906148…
08-12 11:24:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7983c7…
08-12 11:23:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x71b7b5…
08-12 11:17:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xde410a…
08-12 11:17:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xfc8c0c…
08-12 11:14:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8d8373…
08-12 11:11:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x31129d…
08-12 11:11:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xcc8ac1…
08-12 11:09:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xcffd37…
08-12 11:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x405767…
08-12 11:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xff0816…
08-12 11:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x394747…
08-12 11:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x6cbe97…
08-12 11:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6e910a…
08-12 11:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x61ef3e…
08-12 11:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0d3f5d…
08-12 11:07:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5e129d…
08-12 11:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf0c2ee…
08-11 13:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x15ee48…