Tired-Retina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-18 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 17% $-109

Tech

28% — —

Other

26% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+312	$50	0¢	$1	$-49	06-18 17:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$522	444	444	+0	open	—	06-10 17:58
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$500	3,067	0	+3,067	open	—	05-30 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$459	395	395	+0	open	—	05-03 09:59
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	2	$300	5,651	0	+5,651	open	—	05-30 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$285	318	318	+0	Down	+$91	05-10 18:58
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	5	$140	1,322	0	+1,322	open	—	05-31 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$100	322	0	+322	Up	$-100	05-09 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$100	138	0	+138	Down	+$38	05-09 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$70	49	49	+0	open	—	05-03 11:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$50	312	0	+312	open	—	06-18 17:28
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	06-15 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	05-14 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$25	131	0	+131	open	—	05-03 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$25	114	0	+114	Up	$-25	05-08 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$25	145	0	+145	open	—	05-03 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	$-25	05-11 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$25	71	0	+71	Down	$-25	05-04 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$22	204	204	+0	open	—	05-03 10:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	06-14 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$15	27	0	+27	Down	$-15	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$10	179	0	+179	Down	$-10	05-08 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$6	62	0	+62	Down	$-6	05-10 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-08 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$8	05-09 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-11 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-23 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-10 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-14 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	45	0	+45	Up	$-5	05-08 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-10 19:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 17:28:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xb520de…
06-15 17:29:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0xb4c2e5…
06-14 08:17:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xddaeca…
06-10 17:58:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	444	73¢	$322	0x104036…
05-31 17:19:40	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0xf67622…
05-31 17:09:45	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x92d520…
05-31 17:08:09	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0xa85506…
05-31 17:06:27	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x20dd8e…
05-30 10:52:03	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe4d264…
05-30 10:47:09	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,603	6¢	$200	0x1a2ca2…
05-30 10:44:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,049	5¢	$100	0x00fe72…
05-30 10:35:24	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,067	16¢	$500	0x70b60d…
05-30 10:31:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x1afd6c…
05-23 17:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x75aa6e…
05-23 16:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xea5efd…
05-16 09:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x255973…
05-16 08:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb8f92f…
05-14 18:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9dc4a1…
05-14 18:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x15e069…
05-14 18:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xcccee9…
05-11 19:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x804bdc…
05-11 19:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7151bb…
05-11 17:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8186ae…
05-10 19:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	9¢	$6	0x5f3d48…
05-10 19:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfb4e5b…
05-10 18:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	318	59¢	$188	0xda9ea5…
05-10 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	318	31¢	$97	0xb9fbe6…
05-10 18:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x702b2e…
05-09 10:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x94cc4a…
05-09 10:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	322	31¢	$100	0xaf0248…
05-09 09:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xac51c6…
05-09 07:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe136ef…
05-08 19:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc66113…
05-08 19:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x614c1a…
05-08 19:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x737bc8…
05-08 17:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x91f311…
05-08 17:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0x1bf4aa…
05-08 17:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6b9d13…
05-04 21:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x949c52…
05-04 21:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x9df408…
05-03 11:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0xe01524…
05-03 11:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa412b8…
05-03 10:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	204	1¢	$2	0x106a89…
05-03 10:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	204	10¢	$20	0xf0575f…
05-03 10:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	145	17¢	$25	0x16ac29…
05-03 10:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	131	19¢	$25	0xd36848…
05-03 09:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	395	66¢	$259	0x26aefe…
05-03 09:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xb14fa3…
05-03 09:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x3137db…