Ordinary-Scenario — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

295

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$6

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 05:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:14
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-09 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 7?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-08 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:51
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:38
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:25
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 13:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcc658c…
11-03 17:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd55bf4…
11-02 06:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xe8e1f3…
10-31 15:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xeef6b6…
10-30 14:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a4526…
10-29 17:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cdef5…
10-29 09:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x672fb5…
10-28 08:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd3b55…
10-27 10:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7a71b…
10-26 09:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb662c4…
10-24 11:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6850fc…
10-22 10:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x224102…
10-20 08:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0dfb6…
10-19 09:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd38fce…
10-18 10:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e1c13…
10-17 15:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75ce87…
10-16 10:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd65902…
10-15 14:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57040c…
10-14 10:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc23d00…
10-13 10:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90760a…
10-12 10:51:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x575cef…
10-11 09:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48f253…
10-08 12:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ca043…
10-07 15:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a926d…
10-06 15:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f68d9…
10-05 06:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e34bd…
10-03 09:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb58f6a…
10-02 13:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5d02c…
10-01 09:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d9366…
09-30 14:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x791fa1…
09-30 03:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x162907…
09-28 10:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a2dc9…
09-27 09:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd35564…
09-25 16:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd260c7…
09-24 08:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41b4b8…
09-23 10:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60145d…
09-22 08:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2447a7…
09-21 09:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf0119…
09-20 05:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7896f4…
09-19 09:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41d1cc…
09-18 07:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fc499…
09-17 04:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58bdd8…
09-16 08:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01a7a7…
09-15 10:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41d8d2…
09-14 09:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5b624…
09-13 03:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1cae7…
09-11 09:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd79c67…
09-10 08:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bf445…
09-09 02:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6217e8…
09-08 06:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9358ad…
09-07 08:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb97429…
09-06 11:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe20d04…
09-05 05:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe7109…
09-04 01:03:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x153b81…
09-02 07:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x212389…
08-30 14:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12af75…
08-29 09:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15f91a…
08-28 09:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47832a…
08-27 09:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2aea47…
08-26 08:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa99ab0…
08-25 09:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x129b0b…
08-24 14:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x46e452…
08-23 15:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12bc53…
08-22 09:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40d678…
08-21 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18ecf6…
08-20 09:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd338d2…
08-18 08:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x992e3a…
08-17 08:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdeb7aa…
08-16 14:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc776d…
08-15 16:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5c6b2…
08-14 07:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e6862…
08-13 09:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x041078…
08-12 09:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3070ca…
08-11 07:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f1791…
08-10 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6ce6b…
08-09 06:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x801d0f…
08-08 07:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53f8e…
08-07 08:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd1d09…
08-06 08:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbd8b4…
08-05 08:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfefdcd…
08-04 08:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1562f…
08-03 07:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddf6b8…
08-02 06:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c487a…
08-01 07:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5deba7…
07-31 14:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15ab35…
07-30 07:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb30dd9…
07-29 07:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c6799…
07-28 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x663482…
07-27 09:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fa34c…
07-26 08:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7038f…
07-25 09:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0b49e…
07-24 13:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ac4ad…
07-23 08:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5189c…
07-22 02:12:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7da6f…
07-21 09:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27e08c…
07-21 00:26:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd1def2…
07-20 08:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x080fdb…
07-18 23:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26ca33…
07-18 07:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a05da…
07-17 07:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc08a79…