Curvy-Ice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

6,639

Trades

9,142

lifetime

Volume

$91.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$252

Politics

0% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 7 1pm et	4	$3.6K	2,016	2,016	+0	Down	+$109	01-07 19:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 06:45 UTC	12	$1.1K	1,493	1,469	+24	Down	+$142	03-30 06:56
bitcoin up or down january 7 12pm et	2	$784	517	517	+0	Down	+$184	01-07 17:32
bitcoin up or down january 7 9am et	3	$720	425	425	+0	Down	+$120	01-07 15:01
bitcoin up or down january 7 10am et	2	$710	438	438	+0	Down	+$110	01-07 15:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 09:00 UTC	9	$687	625	616	+10	Up	+$93	03-25 09:10
bitcoin up or down january 7 5am et	2	$510	311	310	+0	Up	+$110	01-07 11:02
bitcoin up or down january 7 6am et	2	$489	290	290	+0	Up	+$89	01-07 11:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 11:15 UTC	2	$384	294	290	+4	Up	+$188	02-16 11:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 08:00 UTC	2	$360	279	275	+4	Up	+$164	02-12 08:14
bitcoin up or down january 7 11am et	2	$350	607	0	+607	Down	-$350	01-07 16:52
bitcoin up or down january 7 8am et	7	$344	753	0	+753	Up	-$344	01-07 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 06:45 UTC	3	$287	259	258	+1	Up	+$226	01-21 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 07:00 UTC	3	$263	233	232	+1	Down	+$201	01-21 07:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 01:15 UTC	5	$250	501	0	+501	Down	-$250	03-25 01:21
bitcoin up or down january 7 2am et	2	$248	149	149	+0	Up	+$48	01-07 07:47
bitcoin up or down january 7 7am et	3	$220	409	0	+409	Down	-$220	01-07 12:42
bitcoin up or down january 8 12am et	3	$203	530	0	+530	Down	-$203	01-08 05:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 12:45 UTC	4	$200	407	0	+407	Up	-$200	03-25 12:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 01:00 UTC	4	$200	419	0	+419	Down	-$200	03-25 01:06
bitcoin up or down january 6 3pm et	3	$196	101	101	+0	Up	+$5	01-06 20:56
bitcoin up or down january 6 1pm et	3	$188	96	96	+0	Up	+$1	01-06 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 15:45 UTC	6	$179	1,445	94	+1,351	Down	-$60	03-31 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 00:15 UTC	6	$168	691	689	+2	Up	+$8	01-11 00:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:15 UTC	4	$161	253	98	+155	Down	-$37	03-30 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 09:30 UTC	4	$160	232	98	+133	Up	-$38	03-30 09:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 20:15 UTC	3	$158	226	96	+130	Up	-$41	03-30 20:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 19:15 UTC	3	$155	216	97	+119	Down	+$72	03-30 19:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 07:30 UTC	3	$154	105	103	+2	Up	+$55	03-26 07:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 05:45 UTC	2	$150	102	100	+2	Down	+$52	03-26 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x524a84…
10-28 12:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0x01feb4…
10-28 12:50:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x456005…
10-28 12:50:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	156	51¢	$80	0xa311dd…
10-28 12:04:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0xe1c290…
10-28 12:04:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7c218b…
10-28 12:04:47	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	152	53¢	$80	0x136766…
10-28 12:04:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x80b7ce…
10-28 12:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x394c42…
10-28 08:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	141	57¢	$80	0xf0acd2…
10-28 08:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	165	49¢	$80	0x0e78b2…
10-28 08:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb3831b…
10-28 08:19:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x42aaca…
10-28 08:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x53ced1…
10-28 08:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0d1d0a…
10-28 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x9bf80d…
10-28 07:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x47908f…
10-27 12:54:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	188	43¢	$80	0x7ca7bc…
10-27 12:54:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	177	45¢	$80	0x0e78d7…
10-27 12:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0x8dcf77…
10-27 12:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x90eca0…
10-27 12:54:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x27e101…
10-27 12:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x24c0cb…
10-27 12:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0xb69007…
10-27 12:34:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x8b2ed3…
10-27 12:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5fa007…
10-27 12:34:41	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0ca20f…
10-27 03:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	170	47¢	$80	0xcf21a7…
10-27 03:14:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	164	49¢	$80	0x39abe2…
10-27 00:39:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	141	57¢	$80	0xa7fe42…
10-27 00:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x25ce49…
10-27 00:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf4c3ff…
10-27 00:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6fec8d…
10-26 08:15:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	121	66¢	$80	0xc2e24f…
10-25 09:15:00	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x63547e…
10-25 09:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	132	61¢	$80	0x758aa2…
10-25 09:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x73871b…
10-25 09:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	142	55¢	$78	0xab646d…
10-25 09:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfeda0b…
10-25 09:14:42	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x379db3…
10-25 09:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8021cb…
10-25 08:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0xd21c5a…
10-25 08:29:47	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x9d7f04…
10-25 08:29:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	96	56¢	$54	0x29de5e…
10-25 08:29:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0x36e3d6…
10-25 08:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb55fb2…
10-25 08:29:41	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6be265…
10-25 08:29:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x185b22…
10-25 06:59:41	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6abc34…
10-25 06:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5fd806…
10-25 06:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	158	51¢	$80	0xa1c104…
10-25 06:49:47	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	173	46¢	$80	0x23e84e…
10-25 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	135	58¢	$78	0xae6a21…
10-25 05:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1b7b3f…
10-25 05:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0x29fbaa…
10-25 05:34:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x410d88…
10-25 00:29:41	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3b0d5e…
10-24 23:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0xa754aa…
10-24 23:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0xb7d139…
10-24 23:49:47	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0xc291c1…
10-24 23:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7b73fb…
10-24 23:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6edb04…
10-24 23:49:41	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x55c460…
10-24 23:39:56	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	191	42¢	$80	0xff07c7…
10-24 23:39:53	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xfea009…
10-24 23:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	142	56¢	$80	0x6bfc75…
10-24 23:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3d538b…
10-24 23:39:51	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xd02fc6…
10-24 23:39:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0x3f23d6…
10-24 23:39:41	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd3c241…
10-24 20:04:48	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	93	59¢	$55	0xda48fb…
10-24 20:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xa9364c…
10-24 20:04:48	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	162	49¢	$80	0x9f78a5…
10-24 20:04:48	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x87675b…
10-24 20:04:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x6a5636…
10-24 20:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb2d1b4…
10-24 20:04:41	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x174e43…
10-24 20:04:41	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x12c2e9…
10-24 19:34:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0xabc824…
10-24 19:34:41	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf8d5fd…
10-24 19:34:27	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x930576…
10-24 19:29:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xdff8dd…
10-24 19:29:45	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6165c0…
10-24 19:29:18	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x970b2f…
10-24 19:24:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0xb66fe5…
10-24 19:24:41	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x573ed4…
10-24 15:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc438cb…
10-24 15:29:42	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x736ede…
10-24 15:29:41	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61803c…
10-24 15:19:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	161	50¢	$80	0x3a1b52…
10-24 15:19:41	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x147655…
10-24 14:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0xb27ded…
10-24 14:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0b753b…
10-24 09:45:08	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	149	54¢	$80	0xd6792e…
10-24 09:44:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	137	59¢	$80	0x61db62…
10-24 09:19:47	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0xdd037f…
10-24 09:19:47	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	153	52¢	$80	0xbca288…
10-24 09:19:41	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbe11cd…
10-24 09:19:41	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d6c49…
10-23 22:54:45	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	146	55¢	$80	0xdf3021…