Curly-Private — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$450

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

6,499

Trades

23,332

lifetime

Volume

$171.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-30 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 95 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$456

Other

0% 50% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 476 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:10 UTC	3	$951	557	551	+6	Down	+$156	03-19 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:20 UTC	5	$927	537	532	+5	Up	+$132	03-19 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 11:10 UTC	6	$798	525	519	+6	Down	+$144	03-19 11:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:55 UTC	8	$795	960	921	+38	Up	-$59	04-18 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:50 UTC	5	$736	428	427	+1	Down	-$84	04-16 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:10 UTC	7	$676	943	898	+46	Down	+$56	04-18 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:30 UTC	3	$652	353	352	+1	Down	+$53	03-19 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 22:20 UTC	50	$645	473	460	+13	Down	+$45	04-16 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:05 UTC	2	$638	476	456	+20	Down	+$257	04-18 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:55 UTC	3	$635	768	735	+34	Down	+$69	04-18 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:35 UTC	2	$630	705	676	+29	Up	+$60	04-18 02:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 09:55 UTC	4	$624	328	327	+1	Up	+$24	03-19 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:20 UTC	4	$617	797	790	+8	Up	+$181	03-10 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	8	$603	445	445	+0	Down	+$150	09-04 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	6	$588	365	365	+0	Up	+$28	09-04 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 23:15 UTC	5	$563	459	454	+5	Down	+$308	03-10 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:05 UTC	6	$550	704	664	+40	Up	+$35	04-18 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:30 UTC	4	$544	921	873	+48	Down	+$92	04-18 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:05 UTC	4	$517	798	762	+36	Up	-$83	04-18 02:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:25 UTC	6	$503	601	574	+27	Down	+$63	04-18 04:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:50 UTC	20	$500	523	500	+23	Down	+$100	04-18 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:00 UTC	6	$497	762	723	+39	Up	+$96	04-18 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 04:00 UTC	6	$497	600	571	+28	Up	+$115	04-18 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:50 UTC	7	$494	672	639	+33	Down	+$87	04-18 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:50 UTC	2	$491	789	747	+42	Up	+$91	04-18 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:55 UTC	6	$489	598	571	+26	Up	+$55	04-18 01:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 01:35 UTC	5	$472	539	516	+23	Down	+$60	04-18 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:40 UTC	5	$451	632	602	+30	Up	+$31	04-18 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:25 UTC	4	$445	653	621	+32	Down	+$20	04-18 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	6	$439	293	293	+0	Up	+$91	09-04 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x0dab30…
10-30 10:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaf6897…
10-30 10:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaa234b…
10-30 10:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xb771e2…
10-30 10:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x1a39eb…
10-30 10:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xe0b05e…
10-30 10:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xd68491…
10-30 10:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xcdda31…
10-30 10:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x128780…
10-30 10:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x5f747e…
10-30 10:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x59be63…
10-30 10:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x29f277…
10-30 10:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd796b7…
10-30 10:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x0f2546…
10-30 10:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x8cdcb7…
10-30 10:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x64fd58…
10-30 09:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xe84412…
10-30 09:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7824d5…
10-30 09:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe885fe…
10-30 09:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x30c99e…
10-30 09:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x881d0c…
10-30 09:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xe53122…
10-30 09:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xdfe8a0…
10-30 09:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0x60da47…
10-30 09:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xb2054a…
10-30 09:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x1d2d04…
10-30 09:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0x72c497…
10-30 09:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xd64d0e…
10-30 09:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x983ae1…
10-30 09:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4caa33…
10-30 09:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbafe24…
10-30 09:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xe80b7b…
10-30 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x5012d1…
10-30 09:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xc5a5db…
10-30 09:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x8b514c…
10-30 09:02:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x28f320…
10-30 09:01:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa0c930…
10-30 09:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xa54532…
10-30 09:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0c5333…
10-30 09:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0xd56989…
10-30 09:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x1b23b6…
10-30 08:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x729672…
10-30 08:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x50bbbe…
10-30 08:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdac032…
10-30 08:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x088e9f…
10-30 08:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4eb4b8…
10-30 08:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x639c15…
10-30 08:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xe01f95…
10-30 08:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x422608…
10-30 08:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x89bc4e…
10-30 08:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0xafc1d0…
10-30 08:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x22ec66…
10-30 08:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x7f5fe4…
10-30 08:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x5cef8a…
10-30 08:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xc4a698…
10-30 08:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xcc065a…
10-30 08:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x7e9a4d…
10-30 08:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x42bde5…
10-30 08:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x287161…
10-30 08:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x90e2ee…
10-30 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x2105fa…
10-28 14:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x6f58d1…
10-28 14:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4630ec…
10-28 14:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa56316…
10-28 14:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x496f6e…
10-28 14:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0xd65f8c…
10-28 14:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	26¢	$4	0x1b0be0…
10-28 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xb98d79…
10-28 14:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x94f819…
10-28 14:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x103293…
10-28 14:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x73f5c9…
10-28 14:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xddfed9…
10-28 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xcc0c1c…
10-28 14:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x907b31…
10-28 14:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xa23371…
10-28 14:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xb3baa1…
10-28 14:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc2c9ee…
10-28 14:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x22e721…
10-28 14:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xb6c3b6…
10-28 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x5cec2a…
10-28 14:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xc68786…
10-28 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x6b8dff…
10-28 14:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x94b485…
10-28 14:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa33bc5…
10-28 14:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xf27dad…
10-28 14:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x707321…
10-28 14:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xb8fafb…
10-28 14:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xdf5009…
10-28 14:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd64b77…
10-28 13:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcd455c…
10-28 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0x448456…
10-28 13:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x4be396…
10-28 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf9dafa…
10-28 13:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xd90c3a…
10-28 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x2792be…
10-28 13:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xab9939…
10-28 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x3247b1…
10-28 13:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xe5a551…
10-28 13:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xe29c11…
10-28 13:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5196f2…