Hopeful-Railing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

289

Trades

1,839

lifetime

Volume

$6.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-21 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% -$107

Other

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:45 UTC	8	$144	87	78	+9	Down	+$10	03-26 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:10 UTC	5	$105	116	116	+0	Up	+$90	03-27 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:00 UTC	10	$91	66	65	+1	Down	+$28	03-27 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 12:30 UTC	12	$79	62	53	+9	Down	+$16	03-27 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:25 UTC	7	$78	110	21	+89	Up	-$36	03-26 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:05 UTC	17	$73	64	53	+11	Down	+$6	03-27 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	9	$66	128	27	+101	Up	-$14	05-20 21:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:05 UTC	16	$66	59	56	+3	Up	+$18	03-31 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:00 UTC	14	$63	59	43	+17	Down	+$1	03-27 11:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:40 UTC	9	$63	55	46	+10	Up	+$23	03-26 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:15 UTC	13	$60	80	52	+29	Up	+$0	03-27 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:35 UTC	11	$60	52	37	+15	Up	+$10	03-27 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:40 UTC	13	$59	75	41	+35	Down	-$1	03-27 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:40 UTC	12	$59	46	44	+2	Up	+$15	03-28 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	9	$58	45	40	+5	Down	+$10	05-20 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:35 UTC	13	$58	153	53	+100	Up	+$21	03-27 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:15 UTC	7	$58	65	29	+37	Down	+$0	03-26 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 12:20 UTC	13	$56	50	49	+1	Down	+$9	03-27 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 10:55 UTC	11	$53	63	60	+3	Up	+$13	03-28 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:55 UTC	6	$53	136	21	+115	Up	-$11	03-26 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:10 UTC	8	$52	41	40	+1	Down	+$13	03-27 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:50 UTC	5	$52	49	30	+20	Down	+$7	03-26 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$52	58	21	+37	Up	-$9	05-20 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 00:05 UTC	12	$50	51	43	+8	Down	+$5	03-29 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:45 UTC	13	$50	90	28	+61	Down	-$13	03-27 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 13:10 UTC	12	$49	67	49	+18	Down	-$1	03-27 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 08:00 UTC	7	$46	49	39	+9	Up	+$30	03-31 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:55 UTC	7	$46	37	22	+15	Down	-$2	03-26 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:10 UTC	6	$45	57	19	+37	Down	-$7	03-26 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:50 UTC	11	$45	47	37	+10	Up	+$5	03-28 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3364a9…
05-21 15:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1f8fc5…
05-21 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4bdf05…
05-21 15:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x65f28c…
05-21 15:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6e7962…
05-21 15:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x60ee02…
05-21 15:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdd4f50…
05-21 15:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x25c858…
05-21 15:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa67b93…
05-21 13:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xdad011…
05-21 13:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x69851f…
05-21 13:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe91931…
05-21 13:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe64f0c…
05-21 13:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1cbc5d…
05-21 13:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7fae22…
05-21 13:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5ba6c1…
05-21 13:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbf0506…
05-21 13:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e9257…
05-21 13:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3cef77…
05-21 13:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc5e755…
05-21 12:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd07570…
05-21 12:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfda424…
05-21 12:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9b8ed7…
05-21 12:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x365311…
05-21 12:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x564590…
05-21 12:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x375338…
05-21 12:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x25b1f9…
05-21 12:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x08bf0d…
05-21 12:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x72255d…
05-21 12:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xacd81d…
05-21 12:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3ed402…
05-21 12:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x876151…
05-21 12:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7cf2ac…
05-21 12:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4d15b5…
05-21 12:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9bdb90…
05-21 12:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x86b03f…
05-21 12:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x48c4d9…
05-21 12:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x181375…
05-21 12:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3edb96…
05-21 12:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xce0e67…
05-21 12:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbe9fe7…
05-21 12:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0xfa30c9…
05-21 12:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc3c968…
05-21 12:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xea8779…
05-21 12:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x559c25…
05-21 12:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa159aa…
05-21 12:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xea6efa…
05-21 12:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8abc2f…
05-21 12:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd83650…
05-21 12:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc8337d…
05-21 12:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf3dd90…
05-21 12:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xed78de…
05-21 12:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x66ca8a…
05-21 12:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x99dd64…
05-21 12:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5943d2…
05-21 12:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8d5d6d…
05-21 12:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb73436…
05-21 12:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x30673c…
05-20 22:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x07e235…
05-20 22:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x668219…
05-20 22:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaf9703…
05-20 22:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf350dc…
05-20 22:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x77c976…
05-20 22:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf4e422…
05-20 22:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf3d70c…
05-20 22:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	68¢	$15	0xb99d54…
05-20 22:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1ba9e1…
05-20 22:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x18bf6c…
05-20 22:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x04ee7c…
05-20 22:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1195ec…
05-20 22:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x35c2b3…
05-20 22:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x356ed8…
05-20 22:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x738dd3…
05-20 22:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xecf8e6…
05-20 22:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4d9449…
05-20 22:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa37109…
05-20 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x15f622…
05-20 22:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x2af457…
05-20 22:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	14¢	$4	0xb3266a…
05-20 22:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xce2cad…
05-20 22:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7d69fc…
05-20 22:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2cf59e…
05-20 22:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x831ffa…
05-20 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x34159e…
05-20 22:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x388937…
05-20 22:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x82c4d8…
05-20 22:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb2806b…
05-20 22:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe89b34…
05-20 22:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd18885…
05-20 22:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x2acf92…
05-20 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xd812f7…
05-20 21:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb8c483…
05-20 21:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x847ca5…
05-20 21:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x5582de…
05-20 21:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x34fea4…
05-20 21:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x79eb24…
05-20 21:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x889866…
05-20 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xadc460…
05-20 21:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xe5a117…
05-20 21:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x17b823…