Simplistic-Victory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,509

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% $-6

Crypto

10% 56% +$4

Politics

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 120 139	10	$316	160	160	+0	open	—	04-13 23:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	6	$301	156	156	+0	open	—	04-03 00:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	7	$300	151	151	+0	open	—	03-30 19:12
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	7	$285	164	163	+1	open	—	04-18 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$257	171	113	+58	open	—	04-27 22:36
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	12	$219	132	131	+1	open	—	04-17 22:41
will house tour get 15 million or more views in the first week	4	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	04-13 14:09
white house of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 160 179	5	$206	108	104	+4	open	—	04-02 18:25
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	3	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	04-01 16:31
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	4	$201	102	101	+0	open	—	04-16 19:02
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	05-15 04:37
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 20:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	04-08 17:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$200	102	101	+0	open	—	04-12 11:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	03-31 18:40
abnb up or down on april 8 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 19:30
white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 120 139	3	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 18:00
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	6	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	04-17 13:25
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	5	$191	102	102	+0	open	—	04-01 20:56
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	3	$185	96	96	+0	open	—	04-07 16:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	4	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 08:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	04-01 06:45
nyc mayor of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 20 39	5	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	04-07 08:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$150	100	50	+50	open	—	05-15 18:28
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	6	$143	84	84	+1	open	—	04-11 15:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$139	93	93	+0	open	—	03-17 22:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	17	$133	395	252	+143	open	—	05-26 19:54
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 20 39	8	$130	68	68	+0	open	—	04-14 19:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	03-17 21:12
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	2	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	04-13 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:18:10	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7d9ace…
07-01 17:16:46	will bitcoin reach 64k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb1c329…
07-01 15:00:31	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa12bb5…
07-01 14:31:52	over 100m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x723b4c…
07-01 10:08:11	over 60m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6c2f28…
07-01 09:54:17	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x19e9f1…
07-01 09:29:13	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x93459e…
07-01 08:10:41	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x60538c…
07-01 08:09:53	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x6a6c86…
07-01 06:23:40	laso finance fdv above 8m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7d3e20…
07-01 06:16:56	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb9d6d0…
07-01 06:16:32	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x5d29de…
07-01 06:13:56	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8a03af…
07-01 06:12:44	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0x5a70fd…
07-01 06:11:49	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x08bad1…
07-01 06:10:49	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale 569 797 552 477 859	Yes	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x15cad1…
07-01 06:08:52	over 45m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x228d22…
07-01 05:45:52	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x07e23c…
06-30 18:27:43	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x95b254…
06-30 17:39:59	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x69a16d…
06-30 17:39:22	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd755de…
06-30 17:37:46	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x925fa7…
06-30 17:36:07	over 3m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x076f1b…
06-29 18:51:37	over 15m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5586d8…
06-28 19:04:34	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xaf83d1…
06-28 19:04:05	laso finance fdv above 1m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5fcdb2…
06-28 19:03:02	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7777ad…
06-28 17:20:58	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x79a79a…
06-28 06:45:46	laso finance fdv above 1m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcfe202…
06-26 13:46:24	laso finance fdv above 1m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xf3a573…
06-23 13:08:55	Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x624aa3…
06-23 06:46:10	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xb5a324…
06-22 12:03:44	Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xd4e526…
06-22 11:46:41	Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x530c7a…
06-22 10:08:53	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xffd7f9…
06-22 06:52:17	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1c3dd4…
06-22 05:24:11	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd72b87…
06-22 05:23:49	Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe3356e…
06-18 05:20:20	will hyperliquid reach 84 in june	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3218c8…
06-15 14:24:46	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x87ce89…
06-15 14:17:34	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1eecbc…
06-15 14:17:22	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x10508a…
06-14 20:34:04	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x8f3cab…
06-14 18:08:18	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x1eb1ff…
06-14 09:49:45	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 14	Australia	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xd6f718…
06-14 07:29:34	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 14	Australia	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x05d99d…
06-14 05:49:48	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 14	Australia	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x46ca97…
06-13 20:08:30	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	No	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x0e232b…
06-13 20:03:45	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 btts	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xfa25fe…
06-13 17:47:24	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbe3e6d…
06-13 16:27:51	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xba98d5…
06-13 13:50:18	crint aus2 zaf3 2026 06 13	South Africa	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x452984…
06-13 13:35:33	crint aus2 zaf3 2026 06 13	Australia	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc25b66…
06-13 11:39:57	crint aus2 zaf3 2026 06 13	South Africa	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xec8d7b…
06-12 19:25:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x3b7559…
06-12 18:43:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd19d83…
06-12 18:23:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfdc9aa…
06-12 18:19:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6a83de…
06-12 15:40:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xce8a04…
06-12 13:47:07	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc70ce6…
06-12 13:25:55	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xadc9db…
06-12 13:13:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x03e495…
06-12 12:07:15	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x422bc2…
06-10 16:29:09	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x652104…
06-10 16:15:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x13a312…
06-10 11:20:49	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3b6793…
06-10 07:09:01	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3ef9f7…
06-09 19:13:34	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6d7f6a…
06-09 17:42:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x8d72db…
06-09 17:42:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3e65e6…
06-09 17:14:43	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd6bc6f…
06-09 16:56:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x4801c4…
06-09 14:12:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa17c14…
06-09 14:04:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xf844eb…
06-09 13:54:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf798d3…
06-09 13:28:45	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x42eefa…
06-09 09:54:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x48f3a7…
06-07 19:21:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x86e526…
06-07 19:19:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x9db1aa…
06-07 19:12:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x0f19a9…
06-07 19:11:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xe667df…
06-07 19:09:16	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x384ea1…
06-07 19:08:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcc1719…
06-07 19:07:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x09179f…
06-07 19:03:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5a913f…
06-07 19:02:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0xbadfac…
06-07 19:02:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x13c386…
06-07 19:02:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xe88d35…
06-07 19:01:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x790d11…
06-07 19:01:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x88d621…
06-07 19:01:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb88eca…
06-07 13:00:31	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x716f3d…
06-06 12:47:12	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x922e4b…
06-06 12:45:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18b451…
06-06 12:45:15	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29110a…
06-06 12:13:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xddc1df…
06-06 12:13:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x965b4d…
06-05 16:10:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe61090…
06-05 12:50:40	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xd2ded5…
06-04 16:57:06	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xa06dd8…