Simplistic-Victory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,440

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% $-6

Crypto

10% 56% +$4

Politics

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 120 139	10	$316	160	160	+0	open	—	04-13 23:28
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	6	$301	156	156	+0	open	—	04-03 00:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	7	$300	151	151	+0	open	—	03-30 19:12
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	7	$285	164	163	+1	open	—	04-18 16:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	6	$257	171	113	+58	open	—	04-27 22:36
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 40 64	12	$219	132	131	+1	open	—	04-17 22:41
will house tour get 15 million or more views in the first week	4	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	04-13 14:09
white house of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 160 179	5	$206	108	104	+4	open	—	04-02 18:25
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	3	$204	102	102	+0	open	—	04-01 16:31
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	4	$201	102	101	+0	open	—	04-16 19:02
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	05-15 04:37
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 20:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	04-08 17:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$200	102	101	+0	open	—	04-12 11:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	03-31 18:40
abnb up or down on april 8 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 19:30
white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 120 139	3	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	04-15 18:00
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 340 359	6	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	04-17 13:25
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	5	$191	102	102	+0	open	—	04-01 20:56
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	3	$185	96	96	+0	open	—	04-07 16:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	4	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 08:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	04-01 06:45
nyc mayor of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 20 39	5	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	04-07 08:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$150	100	50	+50	open	—	05-15 18:28
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	6	$143	84	84	+1	open	—	04-11 15:16
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$139	93	93	+0	open	—	03-17 22:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	17	$133	395	252	+143	open	—	05-26 19:54
nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 20 39	8	$130	68	68	+0	open	—	04-14 19:13
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	03-17 21:12
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	2	$129	68	68	+0	open	—	04-13 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:13:34	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6d7f6a…
06-09 17:42:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x8d72db…
06-09 17:42:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x3e65e6…
06-09 17:14:43	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xd6bc6f…
06-09 16:56:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x4801c4…
06-09 14:12:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa17c14…
06-09 14:04:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xf844eb…
06-09 13:54:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf798d3…
06-09 13:28:45	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x42eefa…
06-09 09:54:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x48f3a7…
06-07 19:21:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x86e526…
06-07 19:19:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x9db1aa…
06-07 19:12:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x0f19a9…
06-07 19:11:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xe667df…
06-07 19:09:16	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x384ea1…
06-07 19:08:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcc1719…
06-07 19:07:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x09179f…
06-07 19:03:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5a913f…
06-07 19:02:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0xbadfac…
06-07 19:02:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x13c386…
06-07 19:02:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xe88d35…
06-07 19:01:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x790d11…
06-07 19:01:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x88d621…
06-07 19:01:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb88eca…
06-07 13:00:31	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x716f3d…
06-06 12:47:12	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x922e4b…
06-06 12:45:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x18b451…
06-06 12:45:15	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29110a…
06-06 12:13:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xddc1df…
06-06 12:13:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x965b4d…
06-05 16:10:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe61090…
06-05 12:50:40	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xd2ded5…
06-04 16:57:06	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xa06dd8…
06-04 16:55:15	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x95f76f…
06-04 16:54:55	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x970eb9…
06-04 16:35:19	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8d2fc0…
06-04 16:34:57	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x34927d…
06-04 15:17:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x36b553…
06-04 06:05:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xeb05c9…
06-04 06:05:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x998120…
06-03 17:01:21	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x6a0ebd…
06-03 16:02:01	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0xfdd1d5…
06-03 14:17:31	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xfa2f00…
06-03 14:15:44	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9769aa…
06-03 14:06:38	Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic	Nika Radisic	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd47bb9…
06-03 14:02:19	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb45687…
06-03 13:33:35	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x545f26…
06-03 12:59:33	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x2de14d…
06-02 19:35:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbef01a…
06-02 19:34:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x47cc64…
06-02 19:25:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe0c829…
06-02 19:23:36	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xbe5067…
06-02 19:23:27	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x479e2a…
06-02 16:08:41	Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc995c2…
06-02 16:08:30	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x429d4f…
06-01 20:27:07	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3235ac…
06-01 20:25:34	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf70d43…
06-01 20:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x4319a7…
06-01 20:19:28	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1d7303…
06-01 20:08:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x9ebd71…
06-01 20:07:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4f2dbc…
06-01 20:06:57	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x42f1f3…
06-01 20:05:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x521be7…
06-01 20:05:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x85b955…
06-01 20:04:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb392e4…
06-01 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x98581e…
06-01 17:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x009555…
06-01 17:05:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xbd658b…
06-01 15:51:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8dc5aa…
06-01 15:50:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x11c2cd…
06-01 15:29:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa4b7d0…
06-01 15:28:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x232c2a…
06-01 15:28:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xa51782…
06-01 15:27:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5548c7…
06-01 15:27:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd35dbb…
06-01 15:22:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xff0e0a…
06-01 13:44:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1070ee…
06-01 13:42:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x365e06…
06-01 12:52:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x5ace11…
06-01 12:31:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x6a0846…
06-01 12:31:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x28ebd2…
06-01 12:26:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x3325bc…
06-01 12:26:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x967d52…
06-01 12:25:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0xa6ae3f…
06-01 12:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x08f73e…
06-01 12:04:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa4edaf…
05-31 19:51:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf19794…
05-31 19:51:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x39dc89…
05-30 17:31:37	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3fe89c…
05-30 12:42:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xda6808…
05-30 11:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5a6f92…
05-30 11:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf81177…
05-30 11:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x32278d…
05-30 11:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb9dbbc…
05-30 11:29:46	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x80baa4…
05-30 11:24:43	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x009036…
05-30 11:24:28	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc62ccd…
05-30 05:02:28	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x0bfa9d…
05-29 19:07:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x659500…
05-29 18:26:27	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x7ee951…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	212	$883.6K	4,391	06-09 18:48
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	194	$628.2K	46,933	06-10 02:02
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	165	$1.30M	6,642	06-05 15:18
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	154	$3.66M	31,692	06-05 15:31
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	154	$1.05M	18,796	06-09 15:27
Classic-Potato 0x972b…78ba	151	$405.1K	21,055	05-29 16:55
Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e	146	$210.9K	1,691	06-02 21:02
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	145	$5.82M	26,815	06-05 15:31