Silly-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$233

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-07 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% -$4

Other

0% 89% $0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		-6	-$6	98¢	$-6	$0	11-07 11:04
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No		-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	11-07 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	1	$1.1K	1,145	+1,145	No	+$3	03-05 04:21
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,142	+1,142	No	+$3	03-04 03:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,138	+1,138	No	+$3	03-03 02:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,135	+1,135	No	+$2	03-02 03:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,132	+1,132	No	+$3	03-01 04:10
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,129	+1,129	No	+$3	02-28 03:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,126	+1,126	No	+$5	02-27 03:44
ethereum above 1500 on february 25	1	$1.1K	1,118	+1,118	Yes	+$3	02-25 03:04
bitcoin above 58k on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,115	+1,115	Yes	+$6	02-24 06:48
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	1	$1.1K	1,109	+1,109	No	+$3	02-23 05:10
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	1	$1.1K	1,105	+1,105	No	+$3	02-22 03:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,104	+1,104	No	+$3	02-21 02:40
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,100	+1,100	No	+$3	02-20 03:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,096	+1,096	No	+$4	02-19 03:03
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,093	+1,093	Yes	+$4	02-18 05:14
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,084	+1,084	No	+$7	02-16 07:23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	05-19 06:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	05-04 02:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	05-12 09:11
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	07-07 10:48
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	06-12 04:01
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$21	21	+21	Yes	+$0	08-11 05:15
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	07-13 08:25
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	07-30 03:11
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$16	16	+16	Yes	+$0	08-06 03:40
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	1	$13	13	+13	Yes	+$0	07-24 07:43
bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	08-20 03:27
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	07-01 08:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$12	1,082	+1,082	No	-$12	02-04 01:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	1	$12	12	+12	Yes	+$0	09-09 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:05:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x523af5…
11-07 11:04:57	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xae1432…
09-09 03:25:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9a8ea9…
08-20 03:27:15	bitcoin above 60k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6c22b9…
08-11 05:15:24	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc18369…
08-06 03:40:08	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3a6af6…
07-30 03:11:48	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x59dad8…
07-24 07:43:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6699df…
07-13 08:25:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1456d8…
07-07 10:48:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xae13c4…
07-01 08:37:47	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2d676f…
06-25 05:33:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9c39fd…
06-20 07:50:16	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f62ee…
06-12 04:01:24	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x66df26…
05-26 12:29:08	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xd0825a…
05-26 12:29:08	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x2ccf13…
05-26 12:29:06	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x5db7f2…
05-26 12:22:20	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x98ab89…
05-26 12:21:57	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc73dd6…
05-26 12:21:56	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x29dd27…
05-26 12:21:56	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1c93a8…
05-26 12:21:49	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xafe35b…
05-26 12:21:45	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x9e0aef…
05-26 12:21:45	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3adabc…
05-26 12:21:43	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xbf722a…
05-26 12:21:42	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfb900d…
05-26 12:21:42	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xca1545…
05-26 12:21:31	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x160e67…
05-26 12:21:29	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xb2e319…
05-26 12:21:29	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x679d33…
05-26 12:21:28	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x38cddf…
05-26 12:14:26	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xa673b6…
05-26 12:14:26	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2f4b0c…
05-19 06:25:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf5f24c…
05-12 09:11:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8ee7fb…
05-04 02:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4f4107…
04-17 02:13:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xfa82d5…
03-29 02:44:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1,117	0¢	$2	0xc3efa1…
03-25 05:38:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$2	0xe00aa9…
03-25 05:38:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xf49fe4…
03-25 05:38:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x9debd8…
03-23 03:37:33	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1,097	0¢	$2	0x4fc5a4…
03-21 04:14:25	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,083	0¢	$2	0x5579ab…
03-19 06:45:15	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 19	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$2	0x8c327a…
03-18 01:50:03	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$2	0x021cc9…
03-16 08:01:35	xrp above 1pt9 on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,113	0¢	$3	0x6dfd7d…
03-14 04:26:39	ethereum above 2300 on march 14	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$3	0x28f73b…
03-13 01:51:05	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$3	0x60544e…
03-08 04:19:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$3	0x63d04a…
03-05 04:21:37	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	No	BUY	1,145	100¢	$1,141	0x2f8c75…
03-04 03:41:43	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 4	No	BUY	1,142	100¢	$1,138	0xe44b49…
03-03 02:48:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,138	100¢	$1,134	0xa2be8d…
03-02 03:18:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,135	100¢	$1,133	0xc0fab3…
03-01 04:10:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 1	No	BUY	1,132	100¢	$1,129	0xa40284…
02-28 03:16:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	1,129	100¢	$1,126	0x96124f…
02-27 03:44:00	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	No	BUY	1,126	100¢	$1,121	0xce86ac…
02-25 03:04:54	ethereum above 1500 on february 25	Yes	BUY	1,118	100¢	$1,114	0x63ae72…
02-24 06:48:14	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,115	100¢	$1,109	0x990716…
02-23 05:10:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,106	0x72fb86…
02-22 03:50:10	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt10 on february 22	No	BUY	1,105	100¢	$1,102	0xff6fc2…
02-21 02:40:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,100	0xb2b61d…
02-20 03:18:26	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on february 20	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,097	0x2082c4…
02-19 03:03:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 19	No	BUY	1,096	100¢	$1,092	0xe65d25…
02-18 05:14:40	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,093	100¢	$1,088	0x70dcaa…
02-16 07:23:05	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on february 16	No	BUY	1,084	99¢	$1,077	0x2773b5…
02-14 11:14:35	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,138	0¢	$5	0x8098b0…
02-10 02:12:37	xrp above 1pt9 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,116	1¢	$7	0xc39a93…
02-08 03:02:53	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x9cb48f…
02-08 02:04:51	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	Yes	BUY	1,106	1¢	$9	0xa13b22…
02-06 03:05:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,087	1¢	$7	0x86c92a…
02-04 01:31:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	Yes	BUY	1,082	1¢	$12	0xc8af75…
02-02 09:18:22	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x909e3a…
01-31 06:07:24	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c15c2…
01-30 07:27:22	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8c6ff…
01-29 05:25:40	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x38518a…
01-27 02:53:55	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$1	0xf16cbd…
01-27 02:53:21	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x91d180…
01-26 08:08:51	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x353ff9…