Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$197

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

56.5%

Resolved

169

Trades

815

lifetime

Volume

$5.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-31

last 08-22 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

71% 47% -$358

Tech

20% 67% +$218

Politics

7% 50% +$49

Sports

1% 0% -$83

Crypto

1% 0% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+554	$32	1¢	$6	-$26	06-07 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 56pt5b 20260717035215862	8	$634	610	498	+112	No	+$26	07-27 00:18
will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	9	$319	303	230	+74	No	+$53	07-25 00:16
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	24	$131	346	0	+346	Yes	+$205	07-09 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 9?	41	$126	229	0	+229	Yes	-$126	07-09 05:00
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?	10	$125	115	63	+52	No	+$43	07-24 23:25
another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	10	$122	175	86	+89	No	+$60	07-27 13:02
next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695 854	4	$113	140	140	+0	Yes	+$13	08-21 20:09
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	7	$108	225	0	+225	No	+$117	07-01 11:54
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?	9	$102	134	37	+97	No	+$40	07-22 09:36
will graham platner drop out by july 7	29	$99	198	0	+198	No	+$99	07-07 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 8?	20	$98	195	0	+195	No	+$98	07-08 04:17
stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 16 2026 3pt23	3	$94	233	0	+233	Yes	-$87	07-15 22:56
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	5	$93	114	114	+0	resolved	-$7	08-22 21:54
Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	7	$89	160	0	+160	Yes	-$64	07-04 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?	15	$84	152	0	+152	No	+$69	07-07 04:00
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?	8	$83	106	31	+75	Yes	-$44	07-24 23:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	12	$79	143	0	+143	Yes	-$74	07-07 19:28
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	6	$77	147	0	+147	Yes	-$77	06-25 13:58
will graham platner drop out by july 9	4	$72	155	0	+155	Yes	-$16	07-08 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?	12	$70	134	0	+134	Yes	-$70	07-15 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 19?	15	$69	121	0	+121	No	+$52	07-18 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 20?	9	$67	153	0	+153	No	+$86	07-19 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	16	$67	129	0	+129	Yes	-$67	07-23 11:02
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	4	$62	100	0	+100	Yes	-$62	07-22 02:32
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?	4	$61	123	0	+123	No	+$62	07-19 03:10
tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	5	$57	110	0	+110	Yes	-$57	07-04 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 9?	19	$57	116	0	+116	No	+$59	07-09 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?	13	$55	103	0	+103	Yes	-$50	07-07 11:05
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 4%+?	4	$53	94	0	+94	Yes	-$53	07-15 09:21
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 15 2026	1	$50	78	0	+78	Yes	+$27	07-11 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 21:54:07	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	SELL	51	38¢	$19	0xae94b5…
08-22 21:53:37	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	SELL	62	38¢	$24	0x92872c…
08-21 20:09:52	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	28	78¢	$22	0x3d088b…
08-21 20:09:51	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695 854	Yes	SELL	41	60¢	$25	0xb7b46e…
08-21 20:09:51	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695 854	No	SELL	99	39¢	$39	0x6d6a5f…
08-21 19:49:22	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695 854	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xc92c93…
08-21 18:59:45	next mythos class model released by september 30 2026 695 854	No	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x69aaba…
08-21 18:23:34	next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x6c9ff4…
08-20 18:30:27	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x6b29fd…
08-20 18:30:27	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x13d00b…
08-20 18:28:04	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xa44203…
08-20 05:49:13	next mythos class model released by september 15 2026	No	SELL	52	40¢	$21	0xf03360…
08-20 05:44:54	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0xce0fa5…
08-20 05:39:42	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xbc9f23…
08-20 04:17:49	Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x84963e…
08-20 04:16:25	next mythos class model released by september 15 2026	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x147446…
07-27 20:36:43	pag quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 3pt39	No	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x6af12b…
07-27 13:02:22	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	SELL	84	54¢	$45	0xb96c1a…
07-27 08:50:58	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 27 2026 neg0pt26	No	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x2d76eb…
07-27 06:52:51	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 27 2026 neg0pt26	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xeaf23a…
07-27 00:18:03	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 56pt5b 20260717035215862	No	SELL	458	55¢	$252	0x84cd80…
07-26 15:54:39	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x183b85…
07-26 13:04:49	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0xa08e9f…
07-26 10:51:03	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 27 2026 neg0pt26	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xbb315c…
07-26 10:35:27	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 27 2026 neg0pt26	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xced77d…
07-26 09:00:43	Will Ademola Adeleke win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x469052…
07-25 16:55:18	bbby quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 27 2026 neg0pt26	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe7b931…
07-25 13:41:31	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5f4202…
07-25 11:17:31	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xb6e402…
07-25 11:17:18	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xf009fe…
07-25 10:16:19	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xb0c7bc…
07-25 10:16:12	Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xea0a2a…
07-25 09:46:25	yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xa6bb31…
07-25 07:09:55	will the total us effective tariff rate for q2 be at least 8 20260722202131839	No	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xe0effb…
07-25 07:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x3b4891…
07-25 06:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xf52385…
07-25 03:07:31	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x283add…
07-25 03:03:43	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x94633b…
07-25 02:53:07	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x623709…
07-25 02:53:04	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4b94b4…
07-25 01:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 26?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xae34e1…
07-25 00:16:27	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	227	65¢	$147	0x368007…
07-24 23:38:42	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x31f9bb…
07-24 23:25:33	Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?	No	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0xad7c10…
07-24 23:25:31	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x3ab0d5…
07-24 11:16:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x306318…
07-24 08:25:06	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x16dbef…
07-24 04:38:58	will the next claude opus model be released by july 27 2026	No	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0xe0422f…
07-24 02:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x2352ef…
07-24 02:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xb826c5…
07-23 20:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 24?	No	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x340572…
07-23 20:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd41b17…
07-23 17:33:12	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x7f7ced…
07-23 17:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 24?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x9d38ad…
07-23 14:36:16	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x6433a1…
07-23 12:55:16	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x6323a6…
07-23 12:20:00	Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x678395…
07-23 12:18:21	Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x05453d…
07-23 12:14:40	Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3b6550…
07-23 12:11:18	Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x43563f…
07-23 12:11:04	Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd621cc…
07-23 11:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xd934f1…
07-23 10:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9bd722…
07-23 07:22:12	Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc8918c…
07-23 07:10:36	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdf7250…
07-23 07:09:55	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc0729c…
07-23 07:06:06	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xfd2e6e…
07-23 06:48:27	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x78322c…
07-23 06:47:24	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x989447…
07-23 06:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xe2a097…
07-23 04:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4244b2…
07-23 04:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf5adb3…
07-23 04:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x96b7be…
07-23 03:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x40dd4f…
07-23 02:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x04e889…
07-23 01:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9eee6f…
07-23 01:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x098275…
07-23 01:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x03f704…
07-23 00:26:12	Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x589a0d…
07-22 20:33:46	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 56pt5b 20260717035215862	No	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xe6c161…
07-22 09:36:13	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xd8e374…
07-22 09:36:13	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x0e400f…
07-22 09:36:12	Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?	No	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xbe85b3…
07-22 05:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xcb950f…
07-22 03:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?	No	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x803952…
07-22 03:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa5274b…
07-22 02:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x80a315…
07-22 02:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9f1b5d…
07-22 02:32:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xf19c89…
07-22 02:32:27	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xcc97a2…
07-22 02:32:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xbeb6fd…
07-22 02:32:18	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	31	62¢	$20	0x9999ff…
07-22 02:32:12	Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4b3753…
07-22 02:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xafc1d8…
07-22 01:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2647a6…
07-22 01:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6f0c82…
07-22 01:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x40f4d9…
07-21 23:05:46	Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 30%-34%?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x563414…
07-21 12:48:54	Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 30%-34%?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4d206e…
07-21 09:39:49	Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4e4427…