Forceful-Loafer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

1,670

Trades

10,819

lifetime

Volume

$565.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 286 days

Categories

Other

82% 71% +$3,719

Politics

16% 91% -$1,015

Crypto

2% 42% -$35

Sports

0% 0% -$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	83	$12.8K	6,512	6,665	-154	No	+$6	02-13 13:21
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	42	$11.4K	6,068	6,068	+0	No	+$30	03-15 03:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$10.1K	8,000	8,000	+0	Yes	-$1,130	03-23 11:24
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	58	$9.7K	5,114	4,778	+336	No	+$16	02-24 10:40
us forces enter iran by march 7	43	$7.5K	3,825	3,825	+0	No	+$7	03-08 03:23
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	36	$5.4K	2,775	2,775	+0	No	+$12	01-17 04:04
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 6pt5	2	$4.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	Arizona Wildcats	+$0	03-28 02:45
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	18	$4.3K	2,331	1,998	+333	No	+$10	01-18 02:35
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	12	$3.7K	1,885	1,885	+0	No	+$6	02-09 04:31
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	20	$3.7K	1,880	1,880	+0	No	+$5	03-16 09:24
highest temperature in seoul on february 21 2026 10c	11	$3.1K	1,558	1,558	+0	No	+$36	02-21 01:56
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	11	$3.1K	1,552	1,552	+0	No	+$2	02-24 15:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$3.0K	1,498	1,498	+0	No	+$1	02-28 03:20
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	9	$2.6K	1,332	1,332	+0	No	+$2	02-02 13:46
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	10	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	No	+$1	02-22 12:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 8c	5	$2.3K	1,168	1,168	+0	No	+$17	03-26 01:58
highest temperature in seoul on february 27 2026 8c	8	$2.3K	1,146	1,146	+0	No	+$8	02-27 02:04
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$2.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$4	03-25 18:18
highest temperature in seoul on february 28 2026 8c	49	$2.2K	1,146	1,057	+89	No	+$15	02-28 02:35
highest temperature in seoul on february 19 2026 1c	7	$2.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	+$5	02-19 00:46
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	12	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	No	+$2	02-04 02:58
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	9	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	No	+$2	02-01 09:03
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	27	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	Yes	+$3	03-17 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?	44	$2.0K	1,107	1,107	+0	Yes	+$36	08-25 11:44
highest temperature in seoul on february 16 2026 2c	7	$1.9K	961	961	+0	No	+$10	02-16 04:00
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 5corbelow	39	$1.8K	916	916	+0	No	+$2	02-25 16:44
highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 6c	12	$1.8K	888	888	+0	No	+$1	01-30 03:14
highest temperature in seoul on february 19 2026 2c	3	$1.8K	888	888	+0	No	+$5	02-19 01:34
highest temperature in seoul on february 20 2026 7c	8	$1.8K	888	888	+0	No	+$13	02-20 03:00
highest temperature in seoul on january 31 neg 4corbelow	4	$1.7K	1,069	681	+388	No	+$2	01-31 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0xf4b4fe…
10-28 07:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	134	90¢	$120	0x5dae53…
10-28 07:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0x64fb02…
10-28 07:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x85ef88…
10-28 07:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0e7aba…
10-28 05:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x2c789c…
10-28 05:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x7a8a12…
10-28 05:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x5a9569…
10-28 05:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf2821a…
10-28 04:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0x0a1c0d…
10-28 04:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x444070…
10-28 04:43:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	39	71¢	$28	0x09f8cb…
10-28 04:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xde2af2…
10-28 04:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xe25e48…
10-28 04:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0xb90428…
10-28 04:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	106	88¢	$94	0xc33892…
10-28 04:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x03c904…
10-28 04:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x832291…
10-28 04:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0xa9520f…
10-27 23:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x473dda…
10-27 23:30:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6efd70…
10-27 23:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	135	95¢	$128	0xe80f1f…
10-27 14:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	166	68¢	$113	0xc8b8c9…
10-27 10:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xcb16e0…
10-27 09:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x27c605…
10-27 09:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x8b6e5d…
10-27 09:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xdf4bb8…
10-27 09:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0x72845c…
10-27 08:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x75633e…
10-27 08:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x7d9280…
10-27 08:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x9e49f6…
10-27 07:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0x14f83b…
10-27 07:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	168	92¢	$154	0x6ef4b4…
10-27 07:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	41	85¢	$35	0x371e11…
10-27 07:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	30	81¢	$25	0x9fb375…
10-27 07:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	30	81¢	$25	0x511c48…
10-27 06:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	177	93¢	$165	0x71b9d1…
10-27 06:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	63	67¢	$42	0x18e15e…
10-27 06:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x59dc99…
10-27 04:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xe8da20…
10-27 04:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x44c3f3…
10-27 04:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x53215c…
10-27 04:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5a9d63…
10-27 04:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xcccc7f…
10-27 04:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x5bd7fb…
10-27 04:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xb846b5…
10-27 02:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0xb1f398…
10-26 14:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	97	35¢	$34	0x1eac1b…
10-26 14:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa18e2f…
10-26 14:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	65	41¢	$27	0x718e74…
10-26 14:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xc2c799…
10-26 12:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$90	0x225c4e…
10-26 11:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	169	44¢	$74	0x4f46ff…
10-26 11:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x31491b…
10-26 11:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x175f98…
10-26 11:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xda5e35…
10-26 11:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xc7fc0d…
10-26 11:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	37	89¢	$32	0xcfd9af…
10-26 11:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x771ab1…
10-26 10:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x61c9bf…
10-26 10:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf7dd27…
10-26 10:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x8a1574…
10-26 09:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 27?	No	BUY	91	95¢	$86	0x49e9e0…
10-26 08:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x36a6f9…
10-26 08:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xd98262…
10-26 05:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	157	94¢	$147	0x665941…
10-26 04:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xf431ed…
10-26 04:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	116	75¢	$86	0xd15cc4…
10-26 04:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xf7e7b6…
10-26 04:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x10337c…
10-26 04:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x96ef53…
10-26 04:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	SELL	29	73¢	$21	0x680cc2…
10-25 13:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	187	75¢	$140	0x3af035…
10-25 11:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x03fc10…
10-25 10:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x65e79e…
10-25 08:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0x944b6a…
10-25 08:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x30e8ef…
10-25 08:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0xb4ba90…
10-25 07:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x988ece…
10-25 07:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xeab23b…
10-25 07:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x6c9726…
10-25 07:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	244	98¢	$239	0x482b05…
10-25 07:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x8eea18…
10-25 06:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x1ee3b8…
10-25 06:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	123	89¢	$109	0xff65ba…
10-25 06:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2dee2d…
10-25 03:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	120	61¢	$73	0x00825e…
10-24 10:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x98ad78…
10-24 10:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x60dd9b…
10-24 10:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x93b66a…
10-24 10:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe1e0c7…
10-24 10:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3dfc17…
10-24 10:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6d7044…
10-24 10:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcc5c75…
10-24 10:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x92782c…
10-24 10:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0fe3b9…
10-24 10:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1f9a7d…
10-24 10:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf8739d…
10-24 10:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xccea22…
10-24 10:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 24?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe89bd7…