Forceful-Loafer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

Trades

4,020

lifetime

Volume

$335.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-19 13:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Politics

27% — —

Crypto

3% 20% $-31

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	83	$12.8K	6,512	6,665	-154	open	—	02-13 13:21
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	42	$11.4K	6,068	6,068	+0	open	—	03-15 03:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$10.1K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	03-23 11:24
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	58	$9.7K	5,114	4,778	+336	open	—	02-24 10:40
us forces enter iran by march 7	43	$7.5K	3,825	3,825	+0	open	—	03-08 03:23
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	36	$5.4K	2,775	2,775	+0	open	—	01-17 04:04
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28 spread home 6pt5	2	$4.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-28 02:45
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	18	$4.3K	2,331	1,998	+333	open	—	01-18 02:35
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	12	$3.7K	1,885	1,885	+0	open	—	02-09 04:31
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	20	$3.7K	1,880	1,880	+0	open	—	03-16 09:24
highest temperature in seoul on february 21 2026 10c	11	$3.1K	1,558	1,558	+0	open	—	02-21 01:56
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	11	$3.1K	1,552	1,552	+0	open	—	02-24 15:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$3.0K	1,498	1,498	+0	open	—	02-28 03:20
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	9	$2.6K	1,332	1,332	+0	open	—	02-02 13:46
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	10	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	open	—	02-22 12:10
highest temperature in seoul on march 26 2026 8c	5	$2.3K	1,168	1,168	+0	open	—	03-26 01:58
highest temperature in seoul on february 27 2026 8c	8	$2.3K	1,146	1,146	+0	open	—	02-27 02:04
will trump visit china by march 31	6	$2.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	03-25 18:18
highest temperature in seoul on february 28 2026 8c	49	$2.2K	1,146	1,057	+89	open	—	02-28 02:35
highest temperature in seoul on february 19 2026 1c	7	$2.1K	1,065	1,065	+0	open	—	02-19 00:46
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	12	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	02-04 02:58
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	9	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	02-01 09:03
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	27	$2.1K	1,054	1,054	+0	open	—	03-17 09:37
highest temperature in seoul on february 16 2026 2c	7	$1.9K	961	961	+0	open	—	02-16 04:00
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 5corbelow	39	$1.8K	916	916	+0	open	—	02-25 16:44
highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 6c	12	$1.8K	888	888	+0	open	—	01-30 03:14
highest temperature in seoul on february 19 2026 2c	3	$1.8K	888	888	+0	open	—	02-19 01:34
highest temperature in seoul on february 20 2026 7c	8	$1.8K	888	888	+0	open	—	02-20 03:00
highest temperature in seoul on january 31 neg 4corbelow	4	$1.7K	1,069	681	+388	open	—	01-31 01:27
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 580 599	6	$1.7K	844	888	-44	open	—	01-23 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x08af18…
05-19 13:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xdaabd9…
05-18 14:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9a87d9…
05-18 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf92860…
05-18 13:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xde8c22…
05-18 13:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5891c2…
05-16 03:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x8b521b…
05-16 03:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x7fc4a3…
05-15 14:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc884cd…
05-12 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0x669b46…
05-12 11:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x3c0351…
05-12 11:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x945f03…
05-12 11:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe4cb7c…
05-11 13:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x73a0ee…
05-11 13:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xefd762…
05-11 13:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x95655e…
05-11 13:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x26c794…
05-11 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe0d774…
05-10 09:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xf302b3…
05-10 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x88f3f1…
05-10 09:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa6d579…
05-10 09:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf76e0b…
05-10 08:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x43c2cd…
05-10 02:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x54b9ca…
05-10 02:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbe21f3…
05-10 02:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1fff25…
05-08 14:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xd7662c…
05-08 14:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x68851c…
05-08 13:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xd56b0a…
05-08 13:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x94350b…
05-08 13:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x87b89c…
05-08 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9ba036…
05-08 12:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf18948…
05-08 12:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xfff0cd…
05-08 11:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x962332…
05-08 11:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x678dce…
05-08 11:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x59920b…
05-08 09:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x80efbe…
04-28 08:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x5dae4e…
04-28 08:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x792314…
04-28 08:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x247682…
04-28 07:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x930700…
04-28 07:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x4b561b…
04-28 07:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x800bd9…
04-28 07:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x64e024…
04-28 06:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xccd777…
04-28 02:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xce343c…
04-28 02:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x9d770a…
04-28 02:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x55813b…
04-27 23:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0x4e3e9f…
04-27 23:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	47	20¢	$9	0x32f137…
04-27 23:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0xfeda87…
04-27 22:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xb5016d…
04-27 22:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9a0591…
04-27 22:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xdb86e4…
04-27 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdab373…
04-27 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbc7f12…
04-27 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5cf84a…
04-27 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x12adf6…
04-27 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x1217a4…
04-27 20:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x0ac08a…
04-27 15:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x139c5a…
04-27 15:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0a0050…
04-27 15:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe077bf…
04-26 23:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xec86b1…
04-26 21:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xd0a8cb…
04-26 21:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x47b238…
04-26 21:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$7	0x7295b8…
04-26 11:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x589a98…
04-26 03:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xc437be…
04-26 00:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x0b1c33…
04-26 00:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	29	81¢	$23	0x3a84fc…
04-26 00:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf460a0…
04-26 00:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7bf592…
04-26 00:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x2a98d5…
04-26 00:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x941791…
04-26 00:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xc41d69…
04-26 00:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	86	83¢	$72	0x018903…
04-25 07:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 25?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x9755bf…
04-25 04:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0x922224…
04-25 02:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on April 25?	No	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xe9ce7e…
04-25 01:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 25?	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0x7ae2f8…
04-25 00:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	93	95¢	$89	0x966e63…
04-25 00:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xe9cb53…
04-25 00:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0x517cfa…
04-25 00:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x57c48a…
04-25 00:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on April 25?	No	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0x114525…
04-24 13:58:44	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	107	95¢	$102	0xc4247b…
04-24 13:57:40	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x9155c8…
04-24 13:06:50	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x2bd234…
04-24 13:06:32	lowest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 13c	No	BUY	134	88¢	$118	0xd38855…
04-24 04:57:04	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	45	85¢	$39	0x0bc718…
04-24 03:23:02	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 28c	Yes	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0x831944…
04-24 03:07:34	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x4383b8…
04-24 01:12:52	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x596af2…
04-23 23:46:12	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x4ff447…
04-23 23:28:30	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x003e05…
04-23 23:18:54	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 25c	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3f54f3…
04-23 14:12:40	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4e6f8e…
04-23 14:11:00	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	9	16¢	$2	0x3bc118…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	503	$611	1,716	05-18 14:39
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	423	$169.3K	22,012	04-09 19:43
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	417	$61.5K	7,741	04-20 00:11
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	414	$17.8K	14,792	04-27 15:36
(anonymous) 0xfbb7…6f27	359	$1.78K	2,173	04-21 08:05
Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054	338	$39.2K	10,296	04-27 15:57
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	316	$48.3K	7,584	04-27 07:32
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	304	$115.4K	17,261	04-28 09:53