Gentle-Mailbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$202

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

520

Trades

8,717

lifetime

Volume

$1.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$168

Open exposure

$70

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-10 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% -$33,370

Sports

21% 32% -$2,821

Crypto

3% 46% -$5,198

Politics

0% 20% -$288

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes		+323	$122	16¢	$53	-$68	08-01 15:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes		+305	$151	6¢	$17	-$134	08-29 00:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	197	$138.3K	217,513	200,684	+16,829	No	-$8,902	07-19 22:01
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	78	$77.5K	57,049	50,033	+7,017	Yes	-$2,158	06-24 23:16
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	224	$62.9K	42,209	41,414	+795	Argentina	+$30	07-12 01:36
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	265	$62.7K	88,269	87,815	+454	England	-$770	07-11 17:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	440	$49.8K	79,861	67,711	+12,150	Yes	-$727	07-15 20:49
ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	72	$47.7K	54,951	54,048	+903	Paddy Pimblett	-$470	07-11 23:41
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	30	$43.9K	30,976	29,636	+1,341	Max Holloway	+$65	07-12 01:35
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	121	$38.0K	41,880	41,340	+540	Argentina	-$2,439	07-15 21:01
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	66	$34.3K	34,498	34,498	+0	No	+$621	07-01 17:43
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	80	$29.1K	30,582	8,550	+22,033	No	-$10,388	07-03 23:21
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$26.6K	27,516	5,066	+22,451	Yes	+$413	06-23 03:01
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	33	$23.3K	17,183	13,055	+4,129	Yes	+$850	06-30 22:55
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	22	$19.1K	11,801	9,227	+2,574	Yes	+$649	06-27 22:35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	70	$17.1K	47,669	14,220	+33,449	No	-$2,165	07-12 03:42
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	13	$16.9K	18,366	5	+18,361	Yes	+$1,471	06-22 21:25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	131	$16.6K	23,445	6,302	+17,143	Yes	+$7,554	07-19 22:05
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	61	$16.3K	12,202	10,371	+1,832	Yes	-$273	07-11 23:52
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	106	$16.2K	18,052	15,974	+2,078	Spain	+$733	07-19 22:10
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	152	$15.9K	22,712	19,636	+3,076	No	-$8	07-15 20:46
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	173	$14.9K	21,485	17,680	+3,805	No	-$1,229	07-11 23:22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	17	$12.2K	15,674	678	+14,996	Yes	+$3,850	07-02 20:42
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	32	$11.6K	20,938	22	+20,916	Switzerland	-$11,561	07-07 21:56
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	342	$11.2K	6,943	6,939	+4	Argentina	-$489	07-07 17:47
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1,280	$10.9K	17,802	2,385	+15,417	Belgium	-$8,400	07-07 00:02
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	43	$10.7K	10,528	6,691	+3,837	Yes	+$1,345	06-27 01:41
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	9	$10.0K	6,836	5,139	+1,697	Yes	-$1,424	06-25 07:03
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	68	$9.9K	13,352	8,639	+4,713	No	-$1,558	07-11 23:39
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	146	$9.6K	15,757	11,665	+4,092	No	-$2,333	07-14 20:20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	98	$9.2K	10,740	10,114	+625	No	-$1,731	07-18 21:56
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	2	$8.9K	5,417	5,417	+0	Yes	+$60	10-13 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 03:14:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd325a0…
10-31 02:52:06	Kraken vs. Flames	Kraken	BUY	1,992	0¢	$2	0x45c3ac…
10-28 08:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,383	14¢	$199	0x70dd18…
10-28 08:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xe5b046…
10-28 08:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x44e504…
10-28 08:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	941	15¢	$141	0xe09cea…
10-28 08:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	724	31¢	$222	0x01c5d4…
10-28 08:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	280	34¢	$96	0x7bdce2…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xf2fe7b…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	31¢	$16	0xdc114a…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb10ee2…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	963	30¢	$289	0xaf0430…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	368	31¢	$114	0x75d4f3…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x2be53d…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x275180…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x113872…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x0c940f…
10-28 08:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x077d9d…
10-28 08:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x7fdbe8…
10-28 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	355	32¢	$114	0x1d60dd…
10-28 08:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	674	36¢	$245	0x2b0b6c…
10-28 08:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	967	37¢	$353	0xca3efc…
10-28 08:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	483	38¢	$184	0x6f776e…
10-28 08:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,268	35¢	$450	0xe9bd5f…
10-28 08:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	95	36¢	$34	0x8b8e66…
10-28 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	795	29¢	$230	0x66ccb7…
10-28 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x21ed78…
10-28 08:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,782	27¢	$488	0x00d63e…
10-28 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	776	29¢	$224	0x876beb…
10-28 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x77b296…
10-28 08:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,495	5¢	$79	0xae950d…
10-28 08:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,502	7¢	$111	0xc51998…
10-28 08:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	8¢	$94	0x5faca2…
10-28 08:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0xf673a0…
10-28 08:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,812	14¢	$257	0x86c5a5…
10-28 08:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	129	15¢	$19	0x14c3a8…
10-28 08:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0xdbc0ad…
10-28 08:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x1c6493…
10-28 08:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,408	25¢	$358	0x0c49bd…
10-28 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xf2490c…
10-28 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xdc3ede…
10-28 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xbb02a3…
10-28 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x499cca…
10-28 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x4509b1…
10-28 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x409ccd…
10-28 08:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,302	25¢	$320	0xe0cc69…
10-28 08:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,535	38¢	$590	0xe38b1a…
10-28 08:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,521	37¢	$560	0xab8d3b…
10-28 08:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdf7cfc…
10-28 08:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,185	53¢	$625	0x8a525c…
10-28 08:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	604	64¢	$384	0xf7d661…
10-28 08:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	831	63¢	$526	0x389e86…
10-28 08:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	922	61¢	$565	0xf1d803…
10-28 08:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,490	67¢	$1,001	0xfea717…
10-28 08:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xd6ac84…
10-28 08:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	849	69¢	$583	0xbab0f8…
10-28 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xebdd39…
10-28 08:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x67e6be…
10-28 06:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,422	1¢	$14	0x84cdd9…
10-27 19:07:53	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	4,539	4¢	$182	0x7d6b2f…
10-27 18:22:32	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4,539	6¢	$272	0x5a564b…
10-27 15:01:38	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	4,539	6¢	$272	0x6ca509…
10-27 06:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	307	4¢	$12	0x8bd7f0…
10-18 14:43:18	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6,849	71¢	$4,863	0x3915f4…
10-17 20:44:08	Will Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,050	73¢	$2,951	0xfb16f1…
10-17 20:43:33	Will Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5,039	72¢	$3,626	0x5cef4e…
10-17 20:27:03	Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,933	73¢	$3,596	0x21c495…
10-17 18:14:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2,620	81¢	$2,122	0x5ff1a6…
10-17 18:02:06	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	6,088	70¢	$4,290	0xab9cf8…
10-17 17:34:47	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3,415	87¢	$2,971	0x505a33…
10-17 16:02:38	Will Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6,069	74¢	$4,491	0xb4d80d…
10-17 15:46:38	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3,330	89¢	$2,964	0x1c274a…
10-17 15:36:47	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	3,340	89¢	$2,973	0xd31c9f…
10-17 15:22:02	Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,442	1¢	$16	0xa1aac6…
10-17 15:18:51	Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	450	79¢	$355	0x4a855d…
10-17 15:18:51	Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,411	79¢	$1,903	0x083987…
10-17 15:14:38	Will Hamburger SV vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,383	70¢	$3,068	0x0eed7f…
10-17 15:04:36	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4,167	79¢	$3,276	0xe54665…
10-17 14:46:38	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4,033	74¢	$2,985	0x149624…
10-17 14:45:26	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4,602	71¢	$3,253	0x976270…
10-17 13:46:47	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,842	76¢	$2,920	0x2d27a1…
10-17 13:45:17	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,666	74¢	$3,433	0xe4b99d…
10-17 13:23:05	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0xbd3d72…
10-17 13:02:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	4,427	74¢	$3,276	0xdb6586…
10-16 20:52:12	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,865	81¢	$3,119	0x48f45f…
10-16 20:49:17	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	386	10¢	$40	0xd0c9a5…
10-16 20:46:23	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,267	72¢	$3,072	0x432e60…
10-16 20:43:26	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	SELL	3,192	19¢	$603	0x724e94…
10-16 20:32:06	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	5,747	77¢	$4,425	0xd6f4c6…
10-16 20:10:06	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	4,015	81¢	$3,252	0x0e6f24…
10-15 20:51:05	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,466	2¢	$26	0xdb6737…
10-15 20:50:32	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3,016	6¢	$183	0x752c20…
10-15 20:50:05	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x3c07b4…
10-15 20:47:57	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,786	83¢	$3,138	0xe49fd7…
10-15 20:45:12	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,646	79¢	$2,882	0x5d6618…
10-15 20:41:45	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	4,451	79¢	$3,501	0xf56a37…
10-15 20:41:06	Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5,000	71¢	$3,572	0x6345ef…
10-15 18:39:44	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	517	97¢	$501	0x8cf2e3…
10-15 18:37:38	Will SC União Torreense vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	883	2¢	$21	0x505cdb…
10-15 18:36:50	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	602	2¢	$10	0xcbf3f0…