Fortunate-Ketch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

793

lifetime

Volume

$8.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-18 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-289

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	05-17 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	13	$156	200	100	+100	Down	+$54	05-13 08:46
btc updown 15m 1772156700	9	$101	100	100	-0	open	—	02-27 01:45
btc updown 15m 1772108100	6	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	02-26 12:27
btc updown 5m 1771393500	3	$94	66	65	+1	open	—	02-18 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	6	$89	60	60	+0	Down	+$29	05-04 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$86	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$84	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$83	60	60	+0	Down	+$34	05-05 07:48
eth updown 15m 1771816500	2	$74	50	49	+1	open	—	02-23 03:24
btc updown 5m 1771431000	4	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	02-18 16:15
btc updown 5m 1771430400	6	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	02-18 16:05
btc updown 15m 1772109900	12	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	02-26 12:45
eth updown 15m 1771860600	3	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	19	$52	170	0	+170	open	—	05-17 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	05-17 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-13 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$51	100	0	+100	Down	+$49	05-14 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$51	100	0	+100	Up	+$49	05-13 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	05-17 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	05-17 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-13 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-13 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	3	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-13 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	8	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-13 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	11	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-13 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	7	$51	100	0	+100	Up	$-51	05-14 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$51	100	0	+100	Down	$-51	05-13 10:10
btc updown 15m 1772199900	6	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	02-27 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xab7c7a…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7dd80d…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7bba67…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c87f0…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x65b340…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x3d201a…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x270925…
05-18 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1965a3…
05-17 18:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfe5f32…
05-17 18:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0xf58221…
05-17 18:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xadb40b…
05-17 18:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x17772a…
05-17 18:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x24f573…
05-17 18:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf61286…
05-17 18:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xd97f4c…
05-17 18:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc1da73…
05-17 18:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xbcc76e…
05-17 18:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x90d1ec…
05-17 18:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xaaf487…
05-17 18:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	86	50¢	$43	0xd5c726…
05-17 18:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd93607…
05-17 18:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	81	46¢	$37	0x233362…
05-17 18:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x15eebb…
05-17 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9754d4…
05-17 18:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0xb85980…
05-17 18:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0x72ad15…
05-17 16:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	28¢	$20	0x75721a…
05-17 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbc6b9a…
05-17 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xbbc3f0…
05-17 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x8e051f…
05-17 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x73245f…
05-17 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6bb3da…
05-17 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x61bc30…
05-17 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x360242…
05-17 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xeb4f8d…
05-17 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x98893f…
05-17 16:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe77bdb…
05-17 16:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x0dc874…
05-17 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xba9715…
05-17 16:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x7f248d…
05-17 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbf465b…
05-17 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x999e91…
05-17 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x912e5e…
05-17 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x79d789…
05-17 16:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x49c0bd…
05-17 16:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x281681…
05-17 16:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x73b314…
05-17 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xca7704…
05-17 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xce2588…
05-17 13:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x6a9b0a…
05-17 13:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	51¢	$43	0x9bd814…
05-15 12:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x6932dd…
05-15 12:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x174eb7…
05-15 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xa906e9…
05-15 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x6c6446…
05-14 02:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xe26951…
05-14 02:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x6b18f3…
05-14 02:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x9e2958…
05-14 02:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9c8516…
05-14 02:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1b6c0f…
05-14 02:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb03d0e…
05-14 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9b025e…
05-14 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52665e…
05-14 02:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x255474…
05-14 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xd2f24d…
05-14 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xb9a3ba…
05-14 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x63f4ae…
05-14 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x489fb2…
05-13 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xbf3ead…
05-13 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x9cad64…
05-13 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8f69ff…
05-13 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	51¢	$19	0x7162d3…
05-13 13:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0xa151aa…
05-13 13:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x44fb47…
05-13 13:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0x9ce26a…
05-13 12:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdc6b24…
05-13 12:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x72b8c2…
05-13 12:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4a5950…
05-13 12:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x13341f…
05-13 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xeedaa8…
05-13 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb6f4e1…
05-13 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xa162c9…
05-13 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9bb9ac…
05-13 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x3b041f…
05-13 12:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x13481a…
05-13 12:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x613ada…
05-13 12:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xdb8492…
05-13 12:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xefb367…
05-13 11:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x316e1d…
05-13 10:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0xedee94…
05-13 10:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x68e59b…
05-13 10:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x024f3d…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xed3b85…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeac80b…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0xca7f4f…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb54742…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x8dff01…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x5ec14b…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x1f1fd3…
05-13 10:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x075ec5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	265	$3.70K	613	05-15 12:59
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	254	$52.8K	7,513	05-17 18:59
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	241	$37.1K	3,805	05-18 02:14
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	206	$162.6K	9,915	03-02 14:28
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	205	$1.15K	1,671	03-02 14:28
Inferior-Facelift 0x5374…042e	203	$76.3K	9,238	05-04 21:22
Soft-Primary 0xf007…10b4	201	$29.2K	4,602	05-15 12:58
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	199	$61.0K	15,450	03-02 14:28