Miserly-Hub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-24 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 80% $-3

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$129	73	73	+0	open	—	03-03 13:32
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier	2	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	05-21 15:17
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	2	$91	52	52	+0	open	—	05-21 14:45
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$78	65	65	+0	open	—	05-14 12:16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	2	$62	34	34	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$6	05-09 21:13
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik	2	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	05-20 20:08
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	4	$54	34	34	+0	open	—	03-28 06:01
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	2	$53	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 17:12
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	2	$49	31	31	+0	open	—	05-19 17:17
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	03-17 19:12
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	03-21 00:41
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	04-27 21:29
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$39	31	31	+0	open	—	03-31 21:39
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff	1	$39	51	0	+51	open	—	05-24 08:26
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	3	$37	34	34	+0	open	—	05-16 09:12
will sza release a new song in 2025	1	$36	0	36	-36	open	—	01-01 07:44
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$35	42	0	+42	open	—	05-15 14:44
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	2	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	05-21 15:57
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	3	$32	12	27	-14	open	—	05-15 09:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	1	$31	37	0	+37	open	—	03-04 06:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 3	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	03-03 16:58
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 20	2	$30	18	17	+1	open	—	03-18 16:23
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$28	17	17	+0	open	—	03-30 16:55
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	1	$27	40	0	+40	open	—	03-22 19:47
russia strike on kyiv municipality by december 31 684	1	$27	0	27	-27	open	—	01-02 10:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$27	24	16	+8	open	—	04-02 05:21
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$26	34	0	+34	open	—	01-09 09:15
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	01-29 10:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	1	$26	41	0	+41	open	—	03-08 09:49
will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	3	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	03-26 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 08:26:07	Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Alexander Bublik	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0xac05b2…
05-21 21:44:04	Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone	Casper Ruud	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x363568…
05-21 15:57:41	Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tien	Learner Tien	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xea2c87…
05-21 15:57:11	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xa1ed54…
05-21 15:21:57	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x1d6364…
05-21 15:19:26	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x3194f0…
05-21 15:17:17	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier	Tommy Paul	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x01b418…
05-21 14:45:57	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier	Tommy Paul	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xe220da…
05-21 14:45:07	Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x8f4a0e…
05-20 20:09:38	Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	52	74¢	$39	0x828487…
05-20 20:08:37	Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xaa02d1…
05-19 17:18:37	Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0x77a030…
05-19 17:17:48	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	SELL	31	84¢	$26	0xd0aa16…
05-19 06:35:33	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x73641f…
05-18 15:07:19	Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	23	77¢	$17	0x7d458a…
05-17 07:37:07	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	No	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x929951…
05-16 09:12:46	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	34	26¢	$9	0xba3bfa…
05-16 09:10:24	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x6afb71…
05-15 14:44:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x3fd4a6…
05-15 09:00:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x144d8c…
05-15 09:00:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x2524bb…
05-14 20:20:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4a4735…
05-14 13:03:59	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x885b22…
05-14 13:03:19	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xefe169…
05-14 13:02:21	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x9f04ad…
05-14 12:20:23	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4f1b3d…
05-14 12:16:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x6ba6fe…
05-14 06:18:41	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	67¢	$12	0x26c43e…
05-13 21:49:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	31	77¢	$24	0xfada8e…
05-13 14:46:12	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x3cf1ab…
05-13 13:22:56	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x015d8c…
05-12 21:50:51	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe49faf…
05-12 21:23:24	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd68daf…
05-12 21:17:38	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x40b924…
05-12 21:15:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xd6591c…
05-12 16:58:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa1eec9…
05-12 11:36:03	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xbfa91f…
05-10 17:27:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x9e318b…
05-10 10:39:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x54c269…
05-10 10:38:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0xaa05b0…
05-10 08:51:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	Casper Ruud	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf2863d…
05-09 21:14:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x09dab7…
05-09 21:13:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc0fd25…
05-09 18:47:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Buse	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	34	83¢	$28	0xc8be1e…
05-08 20:05:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x720cac…
05-08 17:41:58	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x844823…
05-07 21:56:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x455fd6…
05-06 21:05:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9886de…
05-06 21:04:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x84f023…
05-03 17:12:52	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Jannik Sinner	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0d3c8e…
05-02 20:10:32	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x953de5…
04-29 19:25:48	Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xd77e48…
04-29 19:24:12	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x84d5f8…
04-29 10:19:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x82810d…
04-29 07:13:54	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xe13772…
04-28 16:22:40	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xe90495…
04-28 14:39:20	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb78005…
04-27 21:39:58	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2dba87…
04-27 21:29:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x2a82ed…
04-27 21:29:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x7e687c…
04-27 06:05:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xc5f10c…
04-27 06:05:08	Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0xbd453e…
04-24 16:51:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xe192ad…
04-21 11:16:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xecdd0a…
04-18 19:52:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0xe86bbb…
04-17 15:55:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	78¢	$13	0xd8229d…
04-17 15:55:02	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x32679e…
04-17 06:21:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x66d3a8…
04-17 06:15:00	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xd05022…
04-17 06:13:36	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x70e3fd…
04-12 21:49:41	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xad3a2c…
04-12 21:47:17	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xacea2c…
04-12 21:46:49	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8ab46f…
04-12 16:49:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xcd76ea…
04-11 17:32:41	atp alcaraz sinner 2026 04 12	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x96bdfc…
04-11 17:30:53	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0xc3d751…
04-09 05:53:43	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x83531d…
04-09 05:52:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x0751ae…
04-09 05:51:35	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x9a7f6b…
04-09 05:48:47	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x631dee…
04-09 05:44:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xc75b96…
04-09 05:44:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xff2d2d…
04-09 05:42:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xcbbd3b…
04-08 17:20:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xf12d04…
04-08 16:24:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x0f0fad…
04-08 16:00:53	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xd229a9…
04-06 08:55:03	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x2f9804…
04-03 05:57:29	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe9bb9e…
04-02 15:00:47	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x40d996…
04-02 05:21:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x5868e5…
04-01 17:12:07	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x8059c8…
04-01 05:58:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x27cb04…
03-31 21:40:23	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8ca257…
03-31 21:39:33	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 31	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xf2c7f2…
03-31 21:39:19	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7f2825…
03-30 20:35:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xe8f6fb…
03-30 16:58:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x25cc54…
03-30 16:57:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x9a5e99…
03-30 16:55:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x197dc2…
03-29 20:56:30	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xee6c25…