Unaware-Isolation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$673

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

210

Trades

452

lifetime

Volume

$42.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

$194

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-27 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

73% 56% +$237

Politics

19% 92% +$373

Sports

4% 80% +$13

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No		+200	$191	97¢	$194	+$3	10-27 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals johan manzambi gte1	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$8	07-12 00:46
Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	3	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$25	06-19 15:38
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals harry kane gte1	8	$1.6K	1,650	0	+1,650	No	+$96	07-18 22:51
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals nico williams gte1	2	$1.2K	1,256	0	+1,256	No	+$38	07-02 19:32
will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	3	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	Yes	+$49	07-03 19:39
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$11	06-17 19:11
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$11	09-28 18:42
Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	7	$794	833	0	+833	No	+$39	10-03 02:59
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	1	$762	1,117	0	+1,117	Casper Ruud	+$355	05-17 10:26
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	5	$761	801	0	+801	No	+$40	09-30 20:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	1	$691	700	0	+700	Yes	+$9	10-17 10:31
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	1	$677	700	0	+700	No	+$23	09-22 21:22
Will Croatia be the highest-scoring team in Group L during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$635	670	0	+670	No	+$34	06-27 22:26
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	1	$611	650	0	+650	Yes	+$39	08-03 18:52
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte2	1	$578	600	0	+600	No	+$22	06-29 20:20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	1	$566	708	0	+708	Vitality	+$142	05-03 14:40
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	3	$530	545	0	+545	No	+$15	09-30 20:20
Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	8	$506	607	0	+607	Yes	+$101	10-12 20:06
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 09 27	1	$490	1,000	0	+1,000	cancelled	+$10	09-27 15:14
atp alcaraz minaur 2026 09 27 set totals 2pt5	1	$490	1,000	0	+1,000	cancelled	+$10	09-27 15:23
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game2	3	$485	437	437	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$5	03-22 14:20
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 30?	1	$484	500	0	+500	Yes	+$16	09-30 20:15
Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	1	$479	500	0	+500	open	—	10-19 18:18
Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	1	$478	565	0	+565	No	+$87	05-31 11:04
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	5	$450	404	404	+0	No	-$12	09-28 19:45
Valorant: QoR vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	1	$444	609	0	+609	QoR	+$165	05-25 18:15
lol fnc g2 2026 04 05	2	$438	584	0	+584	Fnatic	-$438	04-05 18:35
epl bou mun 2026 03 20 bou	3	$419	236	236	+0	No	+$54	03-20 22:07
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals jude bellingham gte1	7	$412	250	250	+0	Yes	+$32	07-18 20:55
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$404	500	0	+500	No	+$95	06-18 23:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:47:54	Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xd352f7…
10-27 20:46:50	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x0703a6…
10-27 20:44:27	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$76	0x2bc28c…
10-27 20:44:26	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xf0833e…
10-27 20:44:26	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	107	96¢	$102	0x309608…
10-26 21:43:17	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x844db8…
10-26 21:42:11	Will Fabian Ruiz finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x9aa4c6…
10-26 21:41:56	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xa8f658…
10-26 21:34:48	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x69fad2…
10-26 21:22:56	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x9530dc…
10-26 21:21:24	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xc6178f…
10-21 20:21:09	Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x7019ec…
10-21 20:20:59	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0x4f64ba…
10-21 20:20:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$163	0x992d29…
10-21 20:20:32	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xc014ec…
10-21 00:36:14	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x01856b…
10-21 00:35:29	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0xcd3675…
10-21 00:35:29	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0xbbba7c…
10-20 21:51:39	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x4873bd…
10-20 21:27:14	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x2fcbd0…
10-20 21:25:48	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x59a090…
10-20 21:25:47	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	86	95¢	$81	0x3b1853…
10-20 21:25:08	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x2ab01e…
10-20 21:20:48	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1c97ff…
10-20 21:11:39	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x625348…
10-20 21:11:09	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7b847f…
10-20 21:10:48	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xe220f8…
10-20 21:10:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x092d5c…
10-19 20:33:50	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	83	92¢	$76	0xc6fc81…
10-19 20:23:06	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xfef69a…
10-19 19:16:44	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x6674a0…
10-19 18:25:41	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb0c667…
10-19 18:24:39	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0x7927c6…
10-19 18:18:50	Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$479	0x15ab9b…
10-18 05:44:33	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x7de169…
10-17 10:31:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	700	99¢	$691	0xf1690a…
10-12 20:06:29	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0xa8cd02…
10-12 19:03:21	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x880aa5…
10-12 18:45:48	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x75bebc…
10-11 11:40:11	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd0344a…
10-10 21:54:52	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x095226…
10-10 20:34:58	Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x75a84f…
10-10 19:30:58	Gemini Argon released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe53b38…
10-10 19:28:31	Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	82¢	$148	0x5ad935…
10-10 18:47:30	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xdfab1c…
10-09 23:43:46	Will HDZ BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xc51b7c…
10-07 20:28:25	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x965b61…
10-07 20:28:10	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2cb460…
10-07 20:27:05	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	156	82¢	$127	0xa8cd31…
10-06 06:31:40	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x9fa224…
10-05 19:42:55	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xa54d92…
10-04 21:01:46	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x491722…
10-04 21:01:37	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	204	92¢	$186	0x7e3953…
10-04 21:01:25	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xedd79a…
10-04 21:01:25	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x486bdc…
10-04 21:00:58	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xd09e3b…
10-04 21:00:40	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x2fd3c4…
10-04 19:05:47	Will HDZ BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	105	89¢	$94	0x3b7a66…
10-04 19:05:04	Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	157	87¢	$136	0x423512…
10-03 03:18:23	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0x005f48…
10-03 02:59:03	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0x323fec…
10-03 00:16:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x73dc14…
10-02 21:51:41	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x4ec79b…
10-01 19:41:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xdf89b7…
10-01 19:06:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2420bc…
10-01 17:19:14	Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	340	94¢	$319	0x288caa…
09-30 20:42:02	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	98	97¢	$95	0x294d7e…
09-30 20:26:57	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x375f4a…
09-30 20:25:38	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0xa1b477…
09-30 20:20:39	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0xe57cda…
09-30 20:15:03	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x2926ba…
09-30 19:20:30	Will Trump say "Walmart" in September?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x47da17…
09-30 19:15:53	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	183	97¢	$178	0x16fd87…
09-30 18:55:20	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	251	97¢	$243	0x709d46…
09-30 17:02:00	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 in September?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4d2863…
09-30 17:00:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in September?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x9d54c6…
09-29 20:27:15	Will Trump say "Walmart" in September?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x288b39…
09-28 19:46:39	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	130	59¢	$77	0xb359bb…
09-28 19:46:23	Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	130	27¢	$34	0x28884c…
09-28 19:45:56	Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	130	15¢	$20	0x5bcbfb…
09-28 18:42:29	Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0xfb672a…
09-27 15:23:39	atp alcaraz minaur 2026 09 27 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0xb34215…
09-27 15:14:44	atp alcaraz minaur 2026 09 27	Alex de Minaur	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x26a31a…
09-26 09:42:56	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	SELL	103	68¢	$70	0x4e8564…
09-26 09:11:12	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	SELL	135	68¢	$92	0x8bbc00…
09-23 20:59:41	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x4deaed…
09-23 19:33:20	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x94708b…
09-23 19:33:04	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	298	21¢	$63	0x5cd884…
09-23 19:29:46	cs2 paina sement 2026 09 23	paiN Academy	BUY	388	54¢	$210	0x186284…
09-23 19:09:32	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x748e04…
09-23 19:01:37	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	375	93¢	$350	0xcf99b9…
09-22 21:22:00	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	700	97¢	$677	0x6cf71a…
09-22 18:29:42	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$175	0xce92d1…
09-22 18:29:03	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xfc5d56…
09-19 14:42:39	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x0c7b2d…
09-19 12:31:47	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x91eeeb…
09-19 12:30:39	Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0x315014…
09-19 12:28:20	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x8ebb8c…
09-19 12:28:09	Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x946e23…
09-19 12:28:00	Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 3 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xdc12e7…