Previous-Degradation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-06 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

39% — —

Other

32% 50% +$45

Politics

17% — —

Sports

12% 56% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$186	98	98	+0	open	—	01-15 04:09
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	2	$165	86	86	+0	open	—	01-14 03:27
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	2	$160	93	93	+0	open	—	04-28 19:30
btc updown 5m 1773058200	2	$143	165	163	+3	open	—	03-09 12:13
btc updown 5m 1773057900	3	$133	185	183	+2	open	—	03-09 12:08
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	2	$129	79	79	+0	Club Atlético de Madrid	+$29	05-05 22:25
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$86	61	61	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$36	05-04 17:52
bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	5	$70	140	60	+80	open	—	03-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$67	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$66	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 21:02
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	04-28 19:30
btc updown 5m 1773133500	1	$58	110	0	+110	open	—	03-10 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	05-01 21:45
bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	3	$48	56	56	+1	open	—	03-09 15:16
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	2	$33	22	22	+0	Pistons	+$11	05-06 01:40
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	05-01 18:28
btc updown 5m 1773053100	2	$30	37	37	+0	open	—	03-09 10:47
btc updown 5m 1773068100	1	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	03-09 14:56
btc updown 5m 1773067500	2	$30	108	0	+108	open	—	03-09 14:46
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	01-17 08:09
sea laz sas 2026 03 09 laz	1	$28	47	0	+47	open	—	03-09 16:08
nhl nyr phi 2026 03 09	1	$25	58	0	+58	open	—	03-09 10:35
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$25	15	15	+0	Pistons	+$5	05-06 01:41
FC Barcelona vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 17:07
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$22	17	17	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$12	05-06 01:30
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 21:00
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 20:57
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	2	$18	13	13	+0	New York Yankees	+$8	05-06 02:37
nba nyk sac 2026 01 14	1	$18	52	0	+52	open	—	01-15 04:10
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 15:37:54	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0x496acd…
05-06 03:48:52	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x123143…
05-06 02:47:26	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa3430b…
05-06 02:38:54	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x946ef9…
05-06 02:38:22	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7e1526…
05-06 02:37:54	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x652551…
05-06 01:41:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xc0e30e…
05-06 01:40:58	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8f2d92…
05-06 01:30:46	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x168c0b…
05-06 00:22:12	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x28f384…
05-05 23:24:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7db3dc…
05-05 23:23:46	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xab6361…
05-05 23:23:32	Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcdd77f…
05-05 23:22:58	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x3a718c…
05-05 22:25:48	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x8ad9c1…
05-05 12:18:58	Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x034eff…
05-05 12:17:50	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x8bf5b5…
05-05 02:14:18	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Diego Padres	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xcef443…
05-04 18:19:30	Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0xfd4aaf…
05-04 17:54:10	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x054e6b…
05-04 17:52:26	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Mumbai Indians	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x787079…
05-04 16:10:30	Joao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdfce67…
05-04 16:10:04	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Mumbai Indians	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x3f311b…
05-04 12:06:16	Joao Pedro: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9b9049…
05-03 17:58:16	Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xfe5d77…
05-03 17:07:34	FC Barcelona vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x0f6e1b…
05-03 16:28:30	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x264403…
05-03 15:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb4ba62…
05-03 15:11:22	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x642e13…
05-03 13:54:54	FC Barcelona vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x738457…
05-02 21:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9415f7…
05-02 21:00:28	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb0bfe6…
05-02 19:53:00	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8570ee…
05-01 21:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x6fcbc2…
05-01 21:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x33d289…
05-01 21:43:42	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xae8911…
05-01 21:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x08dc58…
05-01 21:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xb343a9…
05-01 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x63fbda…
05-01 21:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xab474e…
05-01 20:57:56	Spread: Rockets (-3.5)	Lakers	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x458b7a…
05-01 18:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x63e157…
05-01 18:37:48	Brenden Aaronson: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0x4500dc…
05-01 18:31:42	Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)	US Lecce	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8664d9…
05-01 18:28:12	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf28fdc…
05-01 13:48:56	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x81298a…
04-29 09:17:58	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0x9e7366…
04-28 19:30:54	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xd2897e…
04-28 19:30:48	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x19a7c6…
04-28 18:51:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	93	72¢	$67	0xa0f7fb…
04-28 18:41:26	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x138313…
04-28 18:40:24	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0xdcbf83…
03-10 09:08:31	btc updown 5m 1773133500	Up	BUY	110	53¢	$58	0x4883dd…
03-09 16:08:21	sea laz sas 2026 03 09 laz	No	BUY	47	59¢	$28	0x02c448…
03-09 15:16:17	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Up	SELL	53	50¢	$27	0xa7b37e…
03-09 15:12:37	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xe80416…
03-09 15:10:03	bitcoin up or down march 9 11am et	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x477b7b…
03-09 14:56:17	btc updown 5m 1773068100	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x4043db…
03-09 14:54:35	btc updown 5m 1773067800	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x90d336…
03-09 14:50:53	btc updown 5m 1773067800	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0ae4e6…
03-09 14:46:55	btc updown 5m 1773067500	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x320a79…
03-09 14:46:19	btc updown 5m 1773067500	Up	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x29ecfb…
03-09 12:13:31	btc updown 5m 1773058200	Up	SELL	163	43¢	$70	0xc647ea…
03-09 12:10:13	btc updown 5m 1773058200	Up	BUY	165	44¢	$73	0xdb5151…
03-09 12:08:27	btc updown 5m 1773057900	Up	SELL	121	43¢	$52	0xf03ba8…
03-09 12:08:05	btc updown 5m 1773057900	Up	SELL	62	35¢	$22	0x0c9953…
03-09 12:05:23	btc updown 5m 1773057900	Up	BUY	185	32¢	$59	0xb9777b…
03-09 12:04:09	btc updown 5m 1773057600	Down	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x06fe14…
03-09 12:01:15	btc updown 5m 1773057600	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x111340…
03-09 11:59:35	bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x0270c4…
03-09 11:55:15	bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2e74e2…
03-09 11:53:35	bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x60bfcd…
03-09 11:53:17	bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	Up	SELL	46	76¢	$35	0x30d45a…
03-09 10:59:45	bitcoin up or down march 9 7am et	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x46d5f7…
03-09 10:58:37	bitcoin up or down march 9 6am et	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9a3713…
03-09 10:52:57	btc updown 5m 1773053400	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x9d84a6…
03-09 10:47:33	btc updown 5m 1773053100	Up	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0x884ccc…
03-09 10:46:39	btc updown 5m 1773053100	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd14150…
03-09 10:44:55	btc updown 5m 1773052800	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1370e0…
03-09 10:35:43	nhl nyr phi 2026 03 09	Rangers	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xa34c9e…
01-17 08:09:36	epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x27d6d4…
01-15 04:10:52	nba nyk sac 2026 01 14	Knicks	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0x2815ad…
01-15 04:09:44	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x0358ad…
01-14 03:35:04	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	98	90¢	$88	0xd46f63…
01-14 03:27:48	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	SELL	86	100¢	$85	0x10a1e2…
01-13 16:49:21	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x7468be…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	23	$487.1K	2,543	05-06 03:53
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	23	$83.9K	1,053	05-06 04:12
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	21	$247.1K	2,000	05-06 16:29
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	21	$12.4K	489	05-06 00:11
Secret-Cofactor 0x5df5…c44c	21	$3.99K	1,101	05-06 16:37
Supportive-Revelation 0xa07d…a037	20	$1.24K	181	05-06 15:56
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	19	$71.7K	2,017	05-04 16:05
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	19	$20.1K	296	05-06 17:12