Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

235

Trades

909

lifetime

Volume

$65.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$4.72K

30 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 10-28 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

57% 88% -$406

Politics

39% 79% -$15,966

Sports

3% 50% -$157

Tech

0% 80% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	No	+1,580	$1,154	74¢	$1.2K	+$16	10-28 17:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+851	$848	100¢	$848	$0	10-28 17:24
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+659	$658	100¢	$658	$0	10-27 22:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+600	$504	80¢	$477	-$27	10-28 18:36
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	+303	$303	100¢	$303	+$0	10-27 04:16
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+199	$191	96¢	$192	+$1	10-26 12:14
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+123	$118	94¢	$115	-$3	10-26 08:54
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+110	$109	99¢	$109	$0	10-22 03:11
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+93	$93	100¢	$93	+$0	10-27 22:53
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	+90	$89	99¢	$89	+$1	10-28 15:48
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+80	$78	97¢	$78	+$0	10-26 02:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+77	$75	99¢	$76	+$1	10-27 19:08
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+71	$71	99¢	$70	$0	10-24 00:33
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	No	+83	$69	76¢	$63	-$6	10-23 15:47
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+58	$56	95¢	$55	-$1	10-20 21:07
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?	No	+53	$52	98¢	$52	$0	10-26 22:09
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+45	$44	98¢	$44	-$1	10-22 02:47
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+56	$38	71¢	$40	+$2	10-28 16:58
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+44	$35	86¢	$37	+$2	10-21 03:12
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+29	$27	94¢	$27	$0	10-25 21:08
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	+28	$26	92¢	$26	$0	10-24 01:11
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+25	$25	100¢	$25	+$0	10-27 01:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+18	$18	99¢	$18	$0	10-28 18:02
Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	+18	$18	99¢	$18	$0	10-28 17:24
Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	No	+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	10-15 18:12
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+9	$8	86¢	$8	$0	10-21 02:09
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	+7	$7	100¢	$7	$0	10-26 16:00
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	No	+7	$7	98¢	$7	$0	10-25 01:27
will victor wembanyama win the 2026 27 nba mvp	No	+9	$7	65¢	$6	-$1	10-16 18:28
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	+7	$6	84¢	$6	$0	10-25 01:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	49	$16.6K	24,304	+24,304	Yes	-$16,632	10-28 00:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	37	$15.5K	15,510	+15,510	No	+$40	10-28 17:55
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	19	$4.1K	4,146	+4,146	No	+$32	10-28 12:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$3.2K	3,255	+3,255	No	+$70	10-28 18:00
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	60	$2.7K	3,513	+3,513	No	+$770	10-27 01:53
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	43	$2.4K	2,541	+2,541	No	+$188	10-26 22:49
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	25	$1.8K	1,768	+1,768	No	+$6	10-27 01:53
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	45	$1.4K	4,946	+4,946	Yes	-$1,366	10-26 22:49
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	2	$1.2K	1,580	+1,580	open	—	10-28 17:43
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$989	992	+992	No	+$3	10-27 18:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	6	$848	851	+851	open	—	10-28 17:24
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$658	659	+659	open	—	10-27 22:43
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	3	$657	660	+660	No	+$3	10-28 15:41
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$607	960	+960	No	+$353	10-25 23:44
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	9	$506	813	+813	No	+$306	10-27 20:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	4	$504	600	+600	open	—	10-28 18:36
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$474	477	+477	No	+$4	10-28 00:47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	5	$408	447	+447	No	+$39	10-27 14:44
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$390	391	+391	No	+$0	10-26 18:14
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$321	322	+322	No	+$1	10-26 18:26
Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	26	$303	303	+303	open	—	10-27 04:16
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	8	$290	290	+290	No	+$1	10-28 14:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$271	668	+668	Yes	-$271	10-25 23:06
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	12	$253	256	+256	No	+$3	10-28 07:33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	2	$236	241	+241	No	+$5	10-27 21:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$230	435	+435	No	+$204	10-28 10:10
Will Quillan Salkilld fight Rafael Fiziev next?	1	$194	194	+194	No	+$0	10-27 23:00
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	4	$191	199	+199	open	—	10-26 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	8	$170	174	+174	No	+$3	10-27 06:58
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?	1	$169	173	+173	No	+$4	10-27 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:36:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	69	83¢	$57	0x7aa64b…
10-28 18:23:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	492	84¢	$413	0x09e631…
10-28 18:10:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x41b3d9…
10-28 18:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xf271ed…
10-28 18:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	No	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x7dfeaf…
10-28 18:07:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x4dd1a5…
10-28 18:02:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x43d222…
10-28 18:00:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,636	100¢	$1,632	0xee7158…
10-28 17:56:38	highest temperature in mexico city on october 30 2026 16corbelow	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x711e30…
10-28 17:55:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xf5316d…
10-28 17:55:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	720	100¢	$719	0x86feff…
10-28 17:54:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x710f6e…
10-28 17:52:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x170bf7…
10-28 17:51:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$978	0x8251cd…
10-28 17:51:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	630	100¢	$629	0x3bb507…
10-28 17:51:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$978	0x34bffa…
10-28 17:50:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x762600…
10-28 17:50:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$978	0x65dc74…
10-28 17:49:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$506	0x1c6dcc…
10-28 17:49:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$978	0x9f8c14…
10-28 17:48:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	653	100¢	$652	0x76e7e3…
10-28 17:48:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x34556e…
10-28 17:47:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xfbe921…
10-28 17:43:17	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	610	73¢	$445	0x89d3a9…
10-28 17:43:14	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	970	73¢	$708	0x02805d…
10-28 17:36:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 30% or more?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4ea1c2…
10-28 17:33:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x643fdf…
10-28 17:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc7eb91…
10-28 17:33:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x3fa617…
10-28 17:24:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbf833c…
10-28 17:24:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7be25b…
10-28 17:24:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x14968a…
10-28 17:24:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc63c07…
10-28 17:24:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	313	100¢	$312	0x7c94d1…
10-28 17:24:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	492	100¢	$491	0x306208…
10-28 17:24:16	Will Rabiu Kwankwaso win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc31f88…
10-28 17:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x140ae1…
10-28 17:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x84e9af…
10-28 17:13:58	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x706654…
10-28 17:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa491ab…
10-28 16:58:28	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	56	68¢	$38	0x2499b5…
10-28 16:52:46	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x16a170…
10-28 16:51:58	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9456c7…
10-28 16:39:55	Will Sébastien Lecornu win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3aa65c…
10-28 16:37:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x2de52c…
10-28 16:37:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x93fb31…
10-28 16:36:17	Will Baku Sporting win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xe6d8ad…
10-28 16:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc9e86c…
10-28 16:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed1148…
10-28 16:32:55	Will the US national average gas price be $4.2700+ on October 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8730d9…
10-28 16:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x367b94…
10-28 16:07:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x571136…
10-28 15:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe53b46…
10-28 15:53:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-12 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x884118…
10-28 15:48:40	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0xccca91…
10-28 15:46:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaf804f…
10-28 15:46:04	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x5dd036…
10-28 15:41:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	627	100¢	$625	0x14b28e…
10-28 15:28:41	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa83914…
10-28 15:27:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd5483f…
10-28 15:23:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5eecaa…
10-28 15:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x965a75…
10-28 15:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xf64d2a…
10-28 14:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x37e881…
10-28 14:46:13	will us gas price be between 4pt24 and 4pt25 on october 29 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x85c9da…
10-28 14:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9c87ab…
10-28 14:37:32	Will Meta have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x07df52…
10-28 14:35:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x395634…
10-28 14:34:44	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x66c763…
10-28 14:29:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x581fe9…
10-28 14:29:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7f51e9…
10-28 14:23:55	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xf6a877…
10-28 14:23:49	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x319e3e…
10-28 14:16:26	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7bd763…
10-28 14:12:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x557715…
10-28 14:10:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x71c5bf…
10-28 14:01:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$977	0xf20e0d…
10-28 14:01:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	575	100¢	$573	0x5a12a7…
10-28 14:01:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$977	0x55f676…
10-28 14:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39a527…
10-28 13:45:13	Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6a4a6a…
10-28 13:43:59	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x5bfea0…
10-28 13:43:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x89eb5a…
10-28 13:34:05	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x9ef9f7…
10-28 13:30:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3825e7…
10-28 13:22:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xdd888f…
10-28 13:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1f0f8e…
10-28 12:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe2c53c…
10-28 12:31:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$977	0xabf533…
10-28 12:31:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	651	100¢	$649	0x5f2a62…
10-28 12:31:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	981	100¢	$978	0x75fa54…
10-28 12:26:31	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x05caa0…
10-28 12:24:05	Will Ra'am win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x095372…
10-28 12:21:47	Will SpaceX have 17+ launches in October 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x785efc…
10-28 12:21:44	Will SpaceX have 17+ launches in October 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xd5b97b…
10-28 12:11:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$977	0xeca587…
10-28 12:01:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0x51367f…
10-28 12:01:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	980	100¢	$977	0xad36f9…
10-28 11:22:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xed3935…
10-28 11:22:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x6b5bb8…