Ambitious-Encirclement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-23 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

60% 46% $-59

Politics

40% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$4.4K	2,680	2,680	+0	open	—	05-23 00:17
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	2	$964	588	588	+0	open	—	02-04 15:55
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	2	$882	548	548	+0	open	—	02-04 12:08
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	29	$776	1,108	1,108	+0	open	—	02-02 14:17
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	2	$564	295	295	+0	open	—	02-01 10:52
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	30	$563	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	02-02 10:18
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	1	$558	671	0	+671	open	—	02-05 12:16
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	2	$210	152	152	+0	open	—	01-12 23:43
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	1	$168	273	0	+273	open	—	01-29 10:43
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$168	168	0	+168	open	—	01-28 09:56
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 480 499	1	$153	168	0	+168	open	—	01-24 10:37
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	1	$145	153	0	+153	open	—	01-21 09:49
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 600 619	1	$128	145	0	+145	open	—	01-17 01:34
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 580plus	1	$114	128	0	+128	open	—	01-13 01:08
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 460 479	1	$90	97	0	+97	open	—	01-03 02:58
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	5	$60	123	0	+123	open	—	05-21 15:26
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5	1	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	05-16 05:32
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	11	$60	120	0	+120	No	$-60	05-12 11:43
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	1	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	05-16 05:33
Notts County FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 2.5	1	$60	130	0	+130	open	—	05-14 13:59
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5	1	$60	128	0	+128	open	—	05-17 13:12
FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5	1	$60	122	0	+122	open	—	05-14 13:58
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	1	$60	105	0	+105	open	—	05-14 13:56
Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	1	$50	103	0	+103	Yes	+$53	05-08 14:59
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	1	$50	103	0	+103	Over	+$53	05-08 04:16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to Score	2	$50	103	0	+103	Yes	+$53	05-06 06:14
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5	1	$50	109	0	+109	Under	$-50	05-10 05:11
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$50	100	0	+100	No	$-50	05-11 11:07
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	2	$50	100	0	+100	Over	$-50	05-08 18:14
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score	1	$50	96	0	+96	No	$-50	05-05 09:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 00:17:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	700	86¢	$602	0xc0d01d…
05-22 12:05:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	225	78¢	$175	0x7c81d6…
05-22 12:04:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x01d90c…
05-22 12:00:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	425	78¢	$332	0x3fbf40…
05-21 20:18:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	550	81¢	$446	0x4a84ff…
05-21 19:22:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	550	78¢	$429	0x4f4e6d…
05-21 19:02:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	520	81¢	$421	0xf29ffe…
05-21 15:26:37	Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	106	49¢	$52	0x7a852b…
05-21 15:26:32	Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xebc9a4…
05-21 15:15:28	Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5adc6b…
05-21 14:03:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	520	78¢	$406	0xd8fac0…
05-21 10:59:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	510	81¢	$413	0xb9bc18…
05-21 10:13:27	Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8d9d49…
05-21 10:07:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	510	78¢	$398	0xc0e979…
05-21 09:09:29	Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xde8d03…
05-20 00:19:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	400	88¢	$352	0x4ffd11…
05-19 16:46:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0xf68b92…
05-17 13:12:09	Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0x293e24…
05-16 05:33:24	AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x161f8f…
05-16 05:32:30	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x547df3…
05-14 13:59:26	Notts County FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x72932c…
05-14 13:58:37	FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x1bf092…
05-14 13:56:54	Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x3631fe…
05-12 11:43:55	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x332f07…
05-12 11:43:52	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4ae7d1…
05-12 11:21:31	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa7718…
05-12 11:14:03	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x513787…
05-12 11:14:03	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x2df58e…
05-12 10:15:01	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x533b87…
05-12 10:11:52	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf62018…
05-12 10:07:23	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x51b001…
05-12 10:06:27	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xeae797…
05-12 10:06:25	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7c69f3…
05-12 10:06:23	Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x4b1895…
05-11 11:07:37	Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x810cc1…
05-10 17:34:02	Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	91	50¢	$45	0x137a47…
05-10 15:46:09	Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9d4262…
05-10 10:34:13	Millwall FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x9b23cb…
05-10 10:32:26	US Cremonese vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x19b4b6…
05-10 05:11:43	Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x09f00b…
05-09 16:06:19	Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	97	51¢	$50	0xd57811…
05-08 18:14:29	Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc06b46…
05-08 18:13:24	Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xacd961…
05-08 14:59:57	Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0x3a4796…
05-08 04:16:18	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xfb921d…
05-06 06:14:48	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x0a78ec…
05-06 06:14:46	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	84	49¢	$41	0x00d525…
05-06 02:32:58	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x541209…
05-06 02:31:44	Avispa Fukuoka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x77c642…
05-05 09:58:16	FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xfc987a…
02-05 12:16:05	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	No	BUY	671	83¢	$558	0xcef49a…
02-04 15:55:59	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	Yes	SELL	588	95¢	$558	0x5dc1db…
02-04 12:08:52	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	Yes	BUY	588	69¢	$405	0xf3b14d…
02-04 12:08:16	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	No	SELL	548	74¢	$405	0xbb5e86…
02-02 14:33:00	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	No	BUY	548	87¢	$477	0x611a1d…
02-02 14:17:26	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x36d1de…
02-02 14:17:10	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xe0bf60…
02-02 14:17:08	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	790	43¢	$340	0xc99ace…
02-02 14:17:02	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	73	43¢	$32	0x6d1c98…
02-02 14:16:58	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x387efc…
02-02 14:16:52	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	47	43¢	$20	0xbd4b7b…
02-02 14:16:48	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	SELL	91	43¢	$39	0xf05232…
02-02 11:50:06	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	54	27¢	$14	0x3f1ef1…
02-02 11:41:18	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x79ebd8…
02-02 11:39:10	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xab1d4a…
02-02 11:39:00	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xc6d4c0…
02-02 11:36:02	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x31f8e8…
02-02 11:35:30	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0x6313c4…
02-02 11:32:06	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xb3789a…
02-02 11:30:48	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xdad6cd…
02-02 11:30:14	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x53f80d…
02-02 11:29:52	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xaed90c…
02-02 11:29:52	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	81	27¢	$22	0x9dfbbb…
02-02 11:27:54	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xdb2336…
02-02 11:27:54	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x4cac6b…
02-02 11:25:20	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	411	27¢	$111	0x9af388…
02-02 11:24:10	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xc704b8…
02-02 11:23:04	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x21b247…
02-02 11:17:30	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	57	27¢	$15	0x5e70e2…
02-02 11:16:50	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3482d1…
02-02 11:15:08	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xaa89c2…
02-02 11:08:04	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	82	27¢	$22	0xdcb7fc…
02-02 11:07:08	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x681b97…
02-02 11:07:06	elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	Yes	BUY	61	27¢	$17	0xf71f74…
02-02 10:18:08	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	SELL	1,188	25¢	$296	0xfa5011…
02-02 10:06:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xa8b515…
02-01 15:11:38	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	515	22¢	$113	0xcc1822…
02-01 15:08:58	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x255af7…
02-01 15:08:58	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x04bc03…
02-01 15:08:56	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x89f2e8…
02-01 15:08:54	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x115781…
02-01 15:08:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x6b0a64…
02-01 15:08:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0x3f872c…
02-01 15:08:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x13ad9a…
02-01 15:08:44	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	42	22¢	$9	0xa8b57f…
02-01 15:07:52	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	48	22¢	$11	0x5d84af…
02-01 15:07:52	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x408d20…
02-01 14:59:20	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xc6a8da…
02-01 14:57:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x61d2ef…
02-01 14:43:56	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x45b11b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	24	$9.14K	2,755	05-31 04:00
Well-Worn-Tree 0x981b…b8ea	22	$5.35K	67	05-23 00:15
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	20	$92.3K	1,301	05-23 09:51
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	20	$76.2K	3,499	05-17 20:17
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	18	$3.65K	280	05-23 09:36
Infamous-Ocelot 0x7ea5…de7b	16	$12.7K	181	05-23 08:53
Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5	16	$508	426	05-23 11:57
(anonymous) 0x90ed…b5bc	15	$180.6K	2,377	05-31 03:37