Intent-Forehead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

133

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 75% -$42

Other

23% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	16	$280	140	140	+0	Yes	$0	10-23 13:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 08:30 UTC	3	$170	90	90	+0	Up	+$8	01-03 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 07:45 UTC	2	$156	82	82	+0	Up	+$7	01-03 08:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 06:45 UTC	2	$139	72	72	+0	Down	+$4	01-03 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 25?	6	$138	69	69	+0	No	$0	10-25 01:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	6	$132	66	66	+0	No	$0	10-24 01:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 04:15 UTC	2	$120	68	68	+0	Up	+$15	01-03 04:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 03:45 UTC	2	$105	53	53	+0	Down	+$0	01-03 04:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 02:45 UTC	2	$82	82	82	+0	Up	-$63	01-04 02:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 09:30 UTC	2	$72	43	43	+0	Up	+$14	01-02 09:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 09:15 UTC	2	$58	29	29	+0	Down	+$0	01-02 09:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 13:45 UTC	3	$50	30	23	+7	Down	-$5	01-03 14:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 03:00 UTC	5	$48	37	37	+0	Up	+$5	01-04 03:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 09:45 UTC	2	$48	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	01-01 10:00
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 11:15 UTC	2	$38	21	21	+0	Down	+$4	01-03 11:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 03:30 UTC	2	$35	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	01-04 03:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 01:45 UTC	4	$31	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	01-04 01:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 14:45 UTC	3	$23	13	19	-5	Up	+$8	01-02 14:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 11:30 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	01-03 11:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 01:15 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	01-04 01:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 08:45 UTC	3	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	01-03 08:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 01:45 UTC	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	01-04 01:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 05:45 UTC	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	01-02 06:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 07:30 UTC	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	01-03 07:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 13:45 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	01-02 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 03:45 UTC	1	$19	25	0	+25	Down	-$19	01-04 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	10-23 07:18
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 15:00 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	01-02 15:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 03:00 UTC	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$6	01-06 03:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 02:30 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	01-03 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 04:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6b3ecb…
10-26 04:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfe6ff5…
10-26 04:18:32	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x08e76a…
10-26 02:08:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x28e221…
10-26 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x53a406…
10-26 01:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdbf1bd…
10-26 01:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2b66b5…
10-26 01:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe3996b…
10-26 01:03:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x63e110…
10-26 01:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6765df…
10-25 05:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd30261…
10-25 03:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc4d994…
10-25 01:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe5527a…
10-25 01:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x120144…
10-25 01:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x8fc440…
10-25 01:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x17c409…
10-25 01:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 25?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x68ee74…
10-25 01:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0983e9…
10-25 01:28:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe8a615…
10-25 01:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0cedfd…
10-25 01:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8a4b13…
10-25 01:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0cdfe7…
10-25 01:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2609e9…
10-25 01:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x68c4f2…
10-25 01:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x963ad6…
10-24 12:00:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x005a57…
10-24 02:14:14	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd283dd…
10-24 02:09:00	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x95eda3…
10-24 02:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xbe1be2…
10-24 02:08:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9bd046…
10-24 02:02:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfa46e4…
10-24 01:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x90a50b…
10-24 01:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4c8be8…
10-24 01:48:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x006af1…
10-24 01:48:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf55a2f…
10-24 01:48:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x346cb2…
10-24 01:48:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa88e99…
10-24 01:47:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x31f486…
10-24 01:47:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x36f0c6…
10-23 13:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6ab117…
10-23 13:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb68143…
10-23 13:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9edc18…
10-23 13:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3f7b71…
10-23 13:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4dfd85…
10-23 13:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb844d1…
10-23 13:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x682b94…
10-23 13:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb6e094…
10-23 13:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1751d6…
10-23 13:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x033193…
10-23 13:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x42fb56…
10-23 13:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xad1a75…
10-23 13:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8cf4ad…
10-23 13:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbebf87…
10-23 13:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7366ec…
10-23 13:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf3eddf…
10-23 12:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc3e26c…
10-23 12:41:57	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x581de7…
10-23 12:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc7d7d9…
10-23 12:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9f5e68…
10-23 12:28:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5cab05…
10-23 12:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x168be6…
10-23 12:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x135227…
10-23 12:04:18	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x351824…
10-23 12:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a3d6e…
10-23 12:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf5d7df…
10-23 12:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaacfee…
10-23 11:59:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57d7c6…
10-23 11:58:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xfd3c32…
10-23 11:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x810eea…
10-23 11:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xea778a…
10-23 11:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b19c5…
10-23 11:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9b4af7…
10-23 11:49:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x462ee7…
10-23 11:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb8186…
10-23 11:47:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x72d3b8…
10-23 07:18:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3851f3…
10-23 07:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x63e4da…
10-23 07:04:06	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa47240…
10-23 07:02:57	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xefd05c…
10-23 03:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x1bd8c6…
10-22 09:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x3662c1…
05-14 03:14:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x268e7b…
05-14 02:44:47	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x312d77…
05-14 02:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6b55b2…
05-14 02:39:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe37ca7…
05-14 02:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf2bba5…
05-14 02:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4270de…
05-14 02:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf6abdf…
05-14 02:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2227c…
05-14 02:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x779466…
05-14 00:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x309b8c…
05-14 00:29:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9eadf6…
05-14 00:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfdcda8…
05-12 11:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x37a52f…
05-12 11:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa19ebf…
05-12 11:39:31	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7ea26d…
05-12 11:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf64d3d…
05-12 11:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc5260b…
05-12 11:29:34	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7e09d0…
05-12 11:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0dc172…