Grim-Reference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-13 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$0

Other

32% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$237	0	238	-238	open	—	01-13 01:25
ethereum above 2900 on january 13	1	$111	112	0	+112	open	—	01-13 01:28
bitcoin above 84k on january 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-13 01:27
will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	01-24 02:21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	02-20 07:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	01-23 06:37
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	01-23 06:37
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	02-20 07:54
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	02-20 07:54
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	02-20 07:55
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	01-23 06:38
will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	2	$33	16	16	+0	open	—	02-20 07:54
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	02-20 07:54
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 23	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	01-23 06:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$27	47	0	+47	open	—	05-16 07:53
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	01-24 02:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 24	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	01-24 02:22
will ethereum dip to 2500 january 19 25	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-24 02:23
ethereum above 2900 on february 2	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-02 03:37
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-02 03:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 2	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-02 03:37
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-02 03:37
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-02 03:37
dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game2	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	08-13 03:16
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$19	10	9	+1	open	—	04-14 01:40
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$17	35	0	+35	open	—	02-02 03:37
gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	01-29 11:35
dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	08-13 03:16
dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	1	$16	21	0	+21	open	—	08-13 03:26
dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game1	1	$16	21	0	+21	open	—	08-13 03:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 03:27:57	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13 game1	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0x04c659…
08-13 03:27:34	dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 08 13	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xc497ca…
08-13 03:26:39	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	GamerLegion	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xc86db9…
08-13 03:26:18	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xdeea2a…
08-13 03:26:00	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game2	Aurora	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x141101…
08-13 03:25:34	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13 game1	Aurora	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xefb933…
08-13 03:25:09	dota2 aur1 gl 2026 08 13	GamerLegion	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x053fb4…
08-13 03:20:34	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	Vici Gaming	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa383d6…
08-13 03:20:07	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xaff607…
08-13 03:19:45	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game2	Vici Gaming	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x695222…
08-13 03:19:19	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13 game1	Vici Gaming	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbd2a86…
08-13 03:18:52	dota2 liquid vg 2026 08 13	Team Liquid	BUY	20	76¢	$16	0x149bf9…
08-13 03:17:12	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game handicap away 1pt5	HULIGANI	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x4f7730…
08-13 03:16:40	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xd2afdd…
08-13 03:16:09	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x98e432…
08-13 03:15:46	dota2 ty huliga 2026 08 13 game1	HULIGANI	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x278adf…
06-29 07:33:28	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x20a137…
06-29 07:33:16	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xaad7f2…
06-13 02:51:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7d9184…
06-10 03:28:10	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x17cd06…
05-26 07:32:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x85f16e…
05-26 07:32:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6c827c…
05-26 07:31:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 May 25-31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1d1c1b…
05-26 07:31:13	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa80c71…
05-16 07:53:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	57¢	$27	0xfb88ce…
05-06 03:38:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcc1733…
05-06 03:37:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5e44b3…
05-06 03:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2adcfa…
04-14 01:50:43	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd7f0c0…
04-14 01:50:31	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xad1b6e…
04-14 01:40:25	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xcf877d…
04-07 02:58:27	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x368d28…
04-07 02:58:11	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ac8eb…
04-07 02:57:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc99b35…
04-01 01:31:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddf447…
04-01 01:31:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 420 439	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd573f8…
03-28 03:14:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69a9ee…
03-17 03:58:33	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04c631…
03-17 03:58:13	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5782b…
03-17 03:58:01	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0ebb4…
03-13 06:40:57	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 9 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf248bd…
03-13 06:40:37	ethereum above 1700 on march 13	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39e338…
03-13 06:40:29	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x263334…
03-13 06:40:17	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x557d73…
02-23 09:13:30	cs2 ecf tdk 2026 02 23	TDK	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x48b8ed…
02-23 09:11:48	cs2 gz1 ug 2026 02 23	Underground ESC	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe4b2ca…
02-23 09:11:42	atp tabur rincon 2026 02 23	Tabur	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x277d1a…
02-23 09:11:38	atp fearnle bouquie 2026 02 23	Fearnley	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf65c87…
02-23 09:11:36	atp fearnle bouquie 2026 02 23	Fearnley	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x28fb7a…
02-23 09:11:32	atp ofner broom 2026 02 23	Ofner	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x29499a…
02-23 09:11:28	atp chidekh safiull 2026 02 23	Chidekh	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7403d5…
02-23 09:11:22	atp carboni shimizu 2026 02 22	Carboni	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x95a45b…
02-23 09:11:16	atp gomez ivashka 2026 02 22	Ivashka	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8833d3…
02-23 09:11:08	lol dnsc nsea 2026 02 23	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaac590…
02-23 09:10:50	epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb580bc…
02-20 07:55:00	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x57f6d2…
02-20 07:54:56	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xaaa8a9…
02-20 07:54:50	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x2e9aa3…
02-20 07:54:44	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x999981…
02-20 07:54:38	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8f8c09…
02-20 07:54:26	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x58d2d7…
02-20 07:54:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x5b5a4c…
02-02 03:37:42	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x385cb0…
02-02 03:37:30	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9baae7…
02-02 03:37:22	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x55a62c…
02-02 03:37:08	ethereum above 2900 on february 2	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x79d106…
02-02 03:37:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 2	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x79b677…
02-02 03:36:50	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9ac0eb…
02-02 03:36:44	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc0e9b6…
02-02 03:36:38	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb58519…
02-02 03:36:32	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x01e354…
01-29 11:36:26	will silver si hit low 25 by end of february 859 949 933 273 811 757 923 129	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x66109d…
01-29 11:35:42	gc settle 4475 4600 jan 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa024eb…
01-29 11:35:18	gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x05c00f…
01-29 11:34:58	si hit 65 low jan 2026 292 389 318	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x57dcdf…
01-24 02:23:06	will ethereum dip to 2500 january 19 25	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x80d2bc…
01-24 02:22:50	will bitcoin dip to 80k january 19 25	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x68ff92…
01-24 02:22:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 24	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc9239d…
01-24 02:21:12	will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x45d07f…
01-23 06:38:58	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 23	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf8f060…
01-23 06:38:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x37a7f6…
01-23 06:38:20	will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x38e68a…
01-23 06:38:04	will solana reach 210 in january 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x65ce84…
01-23 06:37:36	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x4444b3…
01-23 06:37:04	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x84b010…
01-13 01:34:45	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	BUY	16	95¢	$16	0x2c99c4…
01-13 01:32:49	Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcf3a54…
01-13 01:29:23	infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x22df1a…
01-13 01:28:09	ethereum above 2900 on january 13	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x964bf5…
01-13 01:27:57	bitcoin above 84k on january 13	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x522016…
01-13 01:25:39	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0x60eff4…
01-02 08:50:29	ethereum above 3200 on january 2	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1cd062…
01-02 08:49:43	lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xaf81c0…