Imaginary-Eyelid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.78K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

249

Trades

787

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-25 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

99% 37% -$1,683

Crypto

1% 40% -$11

Politics

0% 0% -$56

Sports

0% 0% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	6	$1.5K	1,359	1,359	+0	Yes	+$88	09-25 08:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	15	$1.4K	1,513	1,422	+91	No	+$47	10-02 08:05
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	8	$1.1K	2,179	1,799	+380	No	-$39	08-25 03:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	5	$843	505	505	+0	Yes	+$145	09-29 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	8	$807	602	602	+0	Yes	+$27	09-04 14:35
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	12	$677	928	928	+0	No	+$57	09-01 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	7	$673	971	249	+722	Yes	+$165	08-21 14:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	13	$649	1,245	1,043	+202	No	-$106	09-04 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	3	$612	413	413	+0	Yes	+$212	09-28 16:37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	2	$547	309	309	+0	Yes	+$27	06-17 13:32
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	9	$521	617	489	+128	No	-$42	09-14 00:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	6	$499	569	569	+0	Yes	+$135	08-26 12:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	3	$468	553	260	+292	No	-$46	08-19 06:38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	17	$456	314	314	+0	Yes	+$55	08-22 15:11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	8	$453	490	341	+149	No	-$47	06-29 10:19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	6	$416	341	341	+0	Yes	+$66	09-02 12:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$408	549	349	+200	No	+$4	06-29 21:48
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	25	$403	248	248	+0	Yes	+$3	09-25 18:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$380	285	285	+0	Yes	-$20	09-29 18:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?	2	$380	378	378	+0	Yes	-$86	06-16 07:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	5	$377	812	435	+376	No	-$97	06-16 12:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	4	$364	273	272	+0	Yes	+$6	06-22 05:20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	5	$347	306	306	+0	Yes	+$88	07-03 12:59
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$338	687	687	+0	No	+$138	08-17 22:24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	6	$335	690	568	+122	No	+$5	08-22 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	2	$335	183	183	+0	No	+$26	08-19 07:19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	4	$331	293	293	+0	Yes	+$31	08-30 18:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$328	240	240	+0	Yes	-$65	10-01 19:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	3	$326	258	258	+0	Yes	+$26	08-31 19:55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	6	$301	2,410	1,410	+1,000	No	+$99	08-28 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 12:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x1f56f9…
10-25 04:02:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xcad118…
10-25 01:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x91bc31…
10-25 01:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0xce30d9…
10-24 16:07:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xdab990…
10-24 16:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	37¢	$40	0xc744af…
10-24 14:38:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0x31a347…
10-22 23:16:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x1e590b…
10-22 23:15:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x6186fd…
10-16 16:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$9	0x41b89e…
10-16 16:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x07ca26…
10-16 16:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x899411…
10-16 13:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	7¢	$8	0x91521a…
10-16 13:35:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0xcb1a93…
10-16 13:35:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	6¢	$7	0xcead30…
10-15 20:57:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x929eb9…
10-15 20:57:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0xce3b85…
10-11 03:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xa484a4…
10-11 02:57:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x7ef7ad…
10-11 01:35:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x415282…
10-10 23:54:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xbaf739…
10-10 23:28:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x60dbcf…
10-10 21:30:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	11¢	$13	0x196220…
10-10 21:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xf51362…
10-10 21:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x5fbbf7…
10-10 21:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x62aaf1…
10-10 11:57:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x5472dc…
10-09 09:42:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	69	35¢	$24	0x16e790…
10-09 09:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x3964ac…
10-08 20:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x4030ca…
10-08 20:37:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1c3289…
10-08 20:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xc06ed1…
10-08 19:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x5da57a…
10-08 19:13:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xa2906c…
10-08 18:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	41	81¢	$33	0x9c0d2a…
10-08 18:44:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	41	84¢	$34	0x765f5f…
10-08 06:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	10¢	$4	0x301b8e…
10-08 01:51:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7c2b21…
10-08 00:56:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xeb9145…
10-08 00:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6b1891…
10-08 00:56:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	10¢	$7	0x1d8261…
10-08 00:56:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xab28ef…
10-07 20:21:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x037200…
10-07 19:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x7a057c…
10-07 14:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	28¢	$29	0x0e6a7d…
10-07 14:36:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x890530…
10-07 14:30:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	88	70¢	$62	0x308715…
10-07 13:13:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	88	73¢	$64	0x94fc8c…
10-07 13:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0x9e4805…
10-07 12:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	96	91¢	$87	0xf72bd2…
10-07 09:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x3066a8…
10-07 05:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfbaa82…
10-06 16:00:53	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	60¢	$41	0x0448e5…
10-06 16:00:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x54113e…
10-06 15:42:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0x70e25c…
10-06 15:33:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	68¢	$112	0x5a4f3e…
10-06 09:28:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x7f2364…
10-06 05:25:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xe06207…
10-05 13:50:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	89	51¢	$46	0x5c6da5…
10-05 13:21:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	40¢	$43	0x576b7d…
10-05 13:18:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x06440c…
10-05 13:14:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xfae05a…
10-05 13:03:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xfba6ad…
10-05 12:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x260fc9…
10-05 12:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0x0d992f…
10-05 12:20:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x2ebea5…
10-05 12:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe406c4…
10-05 12:19:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xa5c2bb…
10-05 12:06:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x74a39f…
10-05 08:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xf04485…
10-05 08:51:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0x5526ed…
10-05 08:49:59	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	864	3¢	$25	0x738b5a…
10-05 04:54:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	364	8¢	$27	0x31a557…
10-05 04:51:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xaab548…
10-04 17:57:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xa5e38f…
10-04 16:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xfa5b02…
10-04 16:29:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xf32e3f…
10-03 06:35:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,452	2¢	$26	0xe9b28f…
10-03 06:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	570	5¢	$29	0x1ae374…
10-02 21:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	570	5¢	$28	0xca6e35…
10-02 21:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	4¢	$9	0x5cdb81…
10-02 20:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6e3aa6…
10-02 20:32:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0x2ac03c…
10-02 19:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x3969e5…
10-02 19:09:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	3¢	$8	0x071cca…
10-02 18:32:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	14¢	$20	0x8bd776…
10-02 17:20:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	70¢	$47	0xcc34b9…
10-02 17:09:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x4f71ff…
10-02 17:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0xddc6b4…
10-02 13:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xcdc781…
10-02 13:35:11	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	66¢	$34	0xb95371…
10-02 08:05:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xfc92ad…
10-02 08:01:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	63¢	$37	0x6f4de3…
10-02 08:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	37¢	$106	0x39bd09…
10-01 21:25:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	50¢	$29	0xf4a853…
10-01 20:51:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	16¢	$18	0x2f33f5…
10-01 19:51:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x1bc179…
10-01 19:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x15022f…
10-01 19:40:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	240	55¢	$132	0xe1b6b8…
10-01 17:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	240	82¢	$197	0x41d30e…