Liquid-Grey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

10,036

Trades

15,730

lifetime

Volume

$142.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 283 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$3,195

Other

0% 0% -$10

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+183	$5	2¢	$3	-$2	10-22 13:55
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+83	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-03 21:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 10:15 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,080	778	+302	Up	-$91	02-12 10:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 18:00 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,405	1,060	+346	Down	+$121	02-11 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 13:15 UTC	2	$1.4K	759	757	+2	Down	+$49	02-14 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 18:45 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,598	889	+709	Down	-$38	01-22 18:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 15:00 UTC	4	$1.1K	837	827	+9	Up	-$18	02-14 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:00 UTC	10	$1.1K	878	869	+9	Up	+$36	02-10 16:14
bitcoin up or down february 12 9am et	2	$1.0K	684	684	+0	Down	+$74	02-12 14:36
bitcoin up or down february 14 12pm et	3	$956	857	857	+0	Down	+$41	02-14 17:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:15 UTC	4	$863	596	588	+9	Up	+$228	02-05 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 19:30 UTC	5	$817	644	593	+51	Up	+$124	01-22 19:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:30 UTC	5	$816	550	544	+6	Up	+$55	01-24 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:00 UTC	5	$796	527	522	+5	Up	+$80	02-11 21:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:45 UTC	4	$785	569	447	+122	Down	+$87	01-24 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 15:00 UTC	7	$714	1,094	1,080	+13	Up	-$314	01-24 15:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 18:15 UTC	2	$683	390	387	+3	Up	+$86	01-22 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 20:30 UTC	3	$661	1,154	1,136	+18	Down	-$593	01-22 20:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 12:45 UTC	3	$637	913	626	+287	Down	-$426	02-14 12:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	4	$628	472	472	+0	Up	+$28	02-11 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 17:45 UTC	4	$617	475	469	+6	Down	-$17	02-14 17:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:00 UTC	4	$614	456	452	+3	Up	-$66	02-08 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 14:00 UTC	4	$601	444	255	+189	Up	-$95	01-22 14:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 11:30 UTC	3	$583	375	370	+5	Down	+$140	01-12 11:41
bitcoin up or down february 11 8am et	2	$574	556	556	+0	Up	+$309	02-11 13:56
bitcoin up or down february 12 10am et	2	$573	320	320	+0	Down	+$42	02-12 15:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:45 UTC	4	$555	409	403	+6	Down	+$87	02-05 23:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:15 UTC	4	$550	529	522	+8	Up	-$47	02-11 13:29
bitcoin up or down february 11 9am et	3	$545	481	170	+310	Down	-$255	02-11 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 13:15 UTC	2	$534	357	352	+5	Down	+$139	02-14 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 14:00 UTC	3	$522	315	312	+4	Up	+$86	02-11 14:09
bitcoin up or down january 21 1pm et	3	$521	288	288	+0	Up	+$54	01-21 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x5c6fa3…
10-26 20:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc42101…
10-26 20:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcf13e8…
10-26 20:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x04c77d…
10-26 20:39:14	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd2489d…
10-26 16:29:06	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd2936b…
10-25 11:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x78fa1e…
10-25 11:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf7bc6b…
10-25 11:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x704207…
10-24 22:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0922d4…
10-24 22:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1bf99c…
10-24 22:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xca63ea…
10-24 22:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xdc2ff8…
10-24 21:58:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x774974…
10-24 16:24:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x3e3eea…
10-24 16:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x284c51…
10-24 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x52f838…
10-24 16:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc250fc…
10-24 10:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x0cc4ff…
10-24 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb5c14b…
10-24 10:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa861b9…
10-24 10:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x894391…
10-23 18:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0ad58d…
10-23 18:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0b1e20…
10-23 18:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe879f3…
10-23 09:12:35	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x7055a9…
10-23 09:12:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x8a7f79…
10-23 09:12:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x4f7452…
10-22 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc814a7…
10-22 13:55:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	2¢	$3	0x51913c…
10-22 13:54:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xec59cf…
10-22 13:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x31ec3e…
10-22 13:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8d317c…
10-22 13:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcd0bb5…
10-22 12:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xabe835…
10-22 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3bb67b…
10-22 12:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1cd47a…
10-22 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x518615…
10-22 10:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x20b409…
10-22 10:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb640dd…
10-22 08:34:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on October 22?	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x4e663d…
10-21 20:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x412fdc…
10-21 18:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4bb5c1…
10-21 18:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb6dfcb…
10-21 15:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x12670b…
10-21 14:24:48	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1,470	0¢	$1	0x3efe71…
10-21 14:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x962acb…
10-21 14:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7c3f66…
10-21 14:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x41ccae…
10-21 14:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbd602e…
10-21 14:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x278cf9…
10-21 14:22:03	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x49ab84…
10-21 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xad58f6…
10-21 14:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x0d8b70…
10-21 13:49:35	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd8648d…
10-21 13:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x971766…
10-21 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xac51e6…
10-21 06:56:12	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x2f9215…
10-21 06:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xf7d45c…
10-21 06:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x272609…
10-21 06:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa8a02f…
10-21 06:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdad86e…
10-21 06:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3888ad…
10-20 19:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x45e8ee…
10-20 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7c5d8b…
10-20 17:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x00ec8e…
10-20 17:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x3f589b…
10-20 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xc0cfa8…
10-20 17:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfce4f2…
10-20 17:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x166197…
10-20 17:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb56ee2…
10-20 16:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x55c8c9…
10-20 16:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xeceafe…
10-20 16:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4dc79b…
10-20 16:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x10cef4…
10-20 16:12:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x76d13a…
10-20 16:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x89f9c9…
10-20 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x269cf7…
10-20 08:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4e0835…
10-19 20:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xc5bbf5…
10-19 19:39:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc085c9…
10-19 19:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2aeed4…
10-19 19:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xb1a87c…
10-19 18:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x486ae2…
10-19 18:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x14c4c1…
10-19 14:07:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb37230…
10-19 06:58:56	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb2c1b6…
10-19 06:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6ddb60…
10-19 06:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1a7813…
10-18 21:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x2253bf…
10-18 21:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x36b6bc…
10-18 21:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3dde9b…
10-18 14:29:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x15cef2…
10-18 14:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9e164d…
10-18 14:19:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa71f02…
10-18 14:10:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9d0d11…
10-17 21:29:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x9078f5…
10-17 20:37:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcf54de…
10-17 20:37:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xea2495…
10-17 15:53:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x22b2be…