Reflecting-Filly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$599

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

487

Trades

670

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$92

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-17 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 30% +$603

Other

3% 18% $-4

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes		-5,000	$-100	2¢	$-92	+$8	06-17 22:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$2.4K	1,407	1,407	+0	Up	+$393	05-10 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$1.0K	1,321	0	+1,321	Down	+$297	05-10 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$1.0K	1,339	0	+1,339	Down	+$339	05-10 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$1000	1,084	0	+1,084	Down	+$84	05-10 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$1000	1,377	0	+1,377	Down	+$377	05-10 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$460	767	0	+767	Up	$-460	05-10 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$311	347	0	+347	Down	+$36	05-10 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$230	434	0	+434	Up	$-230	05-10 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$200	212	0	+212	Down	+$12	05-10 13:39
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$190	193	0	+193	open	—	05-25 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$129	261	0	+261	Down	$-129	05-10 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$110	190	0	+190	Up	$-110	05-10 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$110	231	0	+231	Down	+$121	05-10 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$101	119	0	+119	Down	+$18	05-11 12:07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$100	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	06-17 22:53
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	05-18 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$64	131	0	+131	Down	$-64	05-10 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$52	104	0	+104	Down	+$52	05-10 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$52	108	0	+108	Down	+$56	05-10 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$52	104	0	+104	Up	$-52	05-10 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$52	146	0	+146	Up	$-52	05-10 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$52	91	0	+91	Down	+$39	05-10 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$52	133	0	+133	Down	+$81	05-10 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$52	103	0	+103	Down	+$51	05-10 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$40	97	97	+0	Down	$-24	05-10 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$25	44	0	+44	Down	+$19	05-10 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$24	49	0	+49	Up	$-24	05-10 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$24	54	0	+54	Up	$-24	05-10 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$24	48	0	+48	Up	$-24	05-10 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$24	58	0	+58	Down	+$34	05-10 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 22:53:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,000	2¢	$100	0x771cc7…
05-25 09:40:14	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	193	98¢	$190	0x89bc5b…
05-21 16:41:10	Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xee53bc…
05-18 18:04:11	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x596940…
05-12 08:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x887094…
05-12 08:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2429d4…
05-12 07:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x63ee96…
05-12 07:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc36ce7…
05-12 07:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb5fa19…
05-11 14:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31f12b…
05-11 14:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x374695…
05-11 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x075cfa…
05-11 14:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb15a1f…
05-11 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb04783…
05-11 13:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1cc1a7…
05-11 13:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x07a5c2…
05-11 13:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0ac509…
05-11 13:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x01e792…
05-11 13:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9ca69b…
05-11 13:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5c21af…
05-11 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x687c39…
05-11 13:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9e4ea1…
05-11 13:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd4dada…
05-11 12:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x255ff2…
05-11 12:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x8f6558…
05-11 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x822418…
05-11 12:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf77388…
05-11 12:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc793cf…
05-11 12:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xffbfee…
05-11 12:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x27cb6e…
05-11 12:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x769e74…
05-11 12:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x2fa1d0…
05-11 12:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x47eb17…
05-11 12:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x270181…
05-11 11:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xbd4991…
05-11 11:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x36b166…
05-11 11:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x202a2d…
05-11 11:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x46e17c…
05-11 11:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd7c17c…
05-11 11:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x240167…
05-11 11:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x42b013…
05-11 11:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x509801…
05-11 11:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x282e63…
05-11 10:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb640fb…
05-11 10:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd189e1…
05-11 10:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc683de…
05-11 10:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4f9e4b…
05-11 10:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x93341e…
05-11 10:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xab9a76…
05-11 10:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2a8403…
05-11 10:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbb5f59…
05-11 10:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf851b5…
05-11 10:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5af240…
05-11 10:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x09d817…
05-11 09:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaa9d00…
05-11 09:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x6bee57…
05-11 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1d1b84…
05-11 09:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeed0df…
05-11 09:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1b5813…
05-11 09:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe8b66c…
05-11 09:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xc4f165…
05-11 09:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaaeece…
05-11 09:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$6	0x58eefd…
05-11 09:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x9b311d…
05-11 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1839ab…
05-10 14:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1,407	99¢	$1,393	0x65d95a…
05-10 14:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	612	66¢	$403	0x89fbc1…
05-10 14:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	795	75¢	$597	0x179aa9…
05-10 14:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1,046	92¢	$963	0x87f0a4…
05-10 14:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x1e6ab0…
05-10 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	561	78¢	$436	0x8dd94d…
05-10 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	778	72¢	$564	0x05de7e…
05-10 13:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	767	60¢	$460	0xdb3e2e…
05-10 13:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	531	79¢	$419	0x7118ac…
05-10 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	846	69¢	$581	0x722dfb…
05-10 13:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	434	53¢	$230	0x8f5767…
05-10 13:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x859654…
05-10 13:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	190	58¢	$110	0xb4f3ed…
05-10 13:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	146	36¢	$52	0xb459ec…
05-10 13:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x94f59b…
05-10 13:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xc4758b…
05-10 12:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0xaae1ed…
05-10 12:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x1028f0…
05-10 12:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0x657f7b…
05-10 12:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0xe316cd…
05-10 12:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xcfae7e…
05-10 12:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	91	57¢	$52	0x0fa00f…
05-10 12:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x7933aa…
05-10 12:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x92ff0d…
05-10 12:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0xcff5fc…
05-10 12:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xb1c90f…
05-10 12:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	318	94¢	$300	0xca5c16…
05-10 12:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x73d0dd…
05-10 11:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0xc0a481…
05-10 11:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xa646e5…
05-10 11:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	231	48¢	$110	0x1c6eb5…
05-10 11:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0xa7ed80…
05-10 11:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x48ba20…
05-10 11:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x072d54…
05-10 11:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x42f456…