Notable-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

135

Trades

903

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-22 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$5	4	2	+2	open	—	05-17 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-10 15:00
btc updown 5m 1781754600	5	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-18 03:54
eth updown 15m 1784345400	3	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	07-18 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$3	4	1	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-12 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$3	38	0	+38	Down	$-3	05-13 10:59
btc updown 5m 1782325200	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-24 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-08 14:59
btc updown 5m 1782141900	2	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	06-22 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-12 12:02
btc updown 5m 1782321600	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 17:24
btc updown 5m 1782320100	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 16:59
btc updown 5m 1782332100	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 20:19
btc updown 5m 1782139200	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-22 14:44
btc updown 5m 1782331800	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-24 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 16:04
btc updown 5m 1782483900	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-26 14:29
btc updown 5m 1782348900	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 00:59
btc updown 5m 1782357000	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-08 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-07 14:38
btc updown 5m 1782402000	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 15:44
btc updown 5m 1782402300	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 14:16:01	eth updown 15m 1784729700	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x134b25…
07-22 14:14:25	btc updown 5m 1784729400	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2f6a6…
07-22 14:09:36	btc updown 5m 1784729100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1fc11c…
07-22 10:29:45	eth updown 15m 1784715300	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa94f1f…
07-22 05:44:45	eth updown 15m 1784698200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96daca…
07-22 05:19:13	btc updown 5m 1784697300	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cdbae…
07-22 03:59:10	btc updown 5m 1784692500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0fc70…
07-22 01:34:09	btc updown 5m 1784683800	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34ce59…
07-22 01:14:46	eth updown 15m 1784682000	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b279f…
07-22 00:44:52	eth updown 15m 1784680200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fe7ff…
07-21 21:44:46	eth updown 15m 1784669400	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6967b3…
07-21 20:59:57	eth updown 15m 1784666700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ce774…
07-21 20:59:45	eth updown 15m 1784666700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x565860…
07-21 20:44:57	eth updown 15m 1784665800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x693297…
07-21 20:44:48	eth updown 15m 1784665800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x294362…
07-21 18:49:13	btc updown 5m 1784659500	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa96d24…
07-21 17:49:13	btc updown 5m 1784655900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa79d2d…
07-21 17:44:45	eth updown 15m 1784655000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90bc38…
07-21 16:59:57	eth updown 15m 1784652300	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc126ba…
07-21 16:59:45	eth updown 15m 1784652300	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63a2aa…
07-21 15:39:15	btc updown 5m 1784648100	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9526e…
07-21 15:34:21	btc updown 5m 1784647800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x768c5d…
07-21 15:04:13	btc updown 5m 1784646000	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32568d…
07-21 10:29:57	eth updown 15m 1784628900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb90203…
07-21 10:29:52	eth updown 15m 1784628900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x192341…
07-21 07:49:43	btc updown 5m 1784619900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd320dd…
07-21 05:29:58	eth updown 15m 1784610900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x299239…
07-21 05:29:58	eth updown 15m 1784610900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d2440…
07-21 03:44:46	eth updown 15m 1784604600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b82b9…
07-21 02:29:57	eth updown 15m 1784600100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4e4a6…
07-21 02:29:43	eth updown 15m 1784600100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d7eb5…
07-21 01:59:43	btc updown 5m 1784598900	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x45700f…
07-20 23:44:55	eth updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e3bc5…
07-20 23:44:48	eth updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf18639…
07-20 22:44:58	eth updown 15m 1784586600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6fee7…
07-20 22:29:57	eth updown 15m 1784585700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd72932…
07-20 22:29:45	eth updown 15m 1784585700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89ce25…
07-20 18:59:55	eth updown 15m 1784573100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d7157…
07-20 18:59:45	eth updown 15m 1784573100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e1325…
07-20 18:49:43	btc updown 5m 1784573100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d9972…
07-20 17:44:43	eth updown 15m 1784568600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfebf35…
07-20 16:09:42	btc updown 5m 1784563500	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd7377…
07-20 15:24:46	btc updown 5m 1784560800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f7eec…
07-20 03:14:51	eth updown 15m 1784516400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7adb9…
07-20 02:59:55	eth updown 15m 1784515500	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb55aa…
07-20 01:29:54	eth updown 15m 1784510100	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed8b4a…
07-20 00:44:54	eth updown 15m 1784507400	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82f058…
07-19 20:29:58	eth updown 15m 1784492100	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x793d0f…
07-19 20:14:52	eth updown 15m 1784491200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0553ef…
07-19 18:59:58	eth updown 15m 1784486700	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x75567d…
07-19 17:45:00	doge updown 15m 1784482200	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a28be…
07-19 16:14:57	doge updown 15m 1784476800	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1923cc…
07-19 10:29:54	eth updown 15m 1784456100	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8769f0…
07-19 09:59:55	eth updown 15m 1784454300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0f323…
07-19 09:59:55	eth updown 15m 1784454300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x88aa40…
07-19 09:29:57	doge updown 15m 1784452500	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcb3c4…
07-19 09:29:40	doge updown 15m 1784452500	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27c575…
07-19 08:44:55	eth updown 15m 1784449800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10352b…
07-19 08:44:45	eth updown 15m 1784449800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47c4b5…
07-19 08:30:00	eth updown 15m 1784448900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4af7ac…
07-19 08:29:58	doge updown 15m 1784448900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5304df…
07-19 08:29:40	doge updown 15m 1784448900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b1021…
07-19 08:14:57	doge updown 15m 1784448000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b8360…
07-19 08:14:42	doge updown 15m 1784448000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc358f1…
07-19 08:14:42	eth updown 15m 1784448000	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ec1e4…
07-19 07:59:39	eth updown 15m 1784447100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfebdbd…
07-19 07:59:39	doge updown 15m 1784447100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d8fcb…
07-19 07:45:00	eth updown 15m 1784446200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd8a95…
07-19 07:44:40	eth updown 15m 1784446200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x108ed3…
07-19 07:44:40	doge updown 15m 1784446200	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x064ea8…
07-19 07:29:57	doge updown 15m 1784445300	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7e70c7…
07-19 07:29:57	eth updown 15m 1784445300	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70db63…
07-19 07:29:57	doge updown 15m 1784445300	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e2a7d…
07-19 07:14:55	eth updown 15m 1784444400	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a2148…
07-19 07:14:40	eth updown 15m 1784444400	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x777a33…
07-19 06:44:48	eth updown 15m 1784442600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x313e46…
07-19 06:29:40	doge updown 15m 1784441700	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e301b…
07-19 06:14:55	eth updown 15m 1784440800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x28754d…
07-19 06:14:40	eth updown 15m 1784440800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcffb0f…
07-19 06:00:01	doge updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ec527…
07-19 05:59:57	eth updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75c0b8…
07-19 05:59:42	eth updown 15m 1784439900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72deb4…
07-19 05:44:57	eth updown 15m 1784439000	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8423fa…
07-19 05:44:42	eth updown 15m 1784439000	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6d353…
07-19 05:14:40	doge updown 15m 1784437200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc044da…
07-19 04:59:57	eth updown 15m 1784436300	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x167682…
07-19 04:59:43	eth updown 15m 1784436300	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbeed2f…
07-19 04:44:57	doge updown 15m 1784435400	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72c411…
07-19 04:44:40	doge updown 15m 1784435400	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf89787…
07-19 04:30:00	eth updown 15m 1784434500	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7cebda…
07-19 04:29:42	eth updown 15m 1784434500	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee895b…
07-19 03:44:57	doge updown 15m 1784431800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x94d14d…
07-19 03:44:40	doge updown 15m 1784431800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61320f…
07-19 01:59:55	doge updown 15m 1784425500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0fc81f…
07-19 01:59:39	doge updown 15m 1784425500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdef41c…
07-19 01:44:40	doge updown 15m 1784424600	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x197aae…
07-19 00:59:55	doge updown 15m 1784421900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x125ad9…
07-19 00:59:42	eth updown 15m 1784421900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e61d4…
07-19 00:59:37	doge updown 15m 1784421900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54fa5a…
07-19 00:44:55	doge updown 15m 1784421000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7ceafd…