Notable-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

135

Trades

475

lifetime

Volume

$554

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-29 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$5	4	2	+2	open	—	05-17 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-10 15:00
btc updown 5m 1781754600	5	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-18 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$3	4	1	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-12 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$3	38	0	+38	Down	$-3	05-13 10:59
btc updown 5m 1782325200	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-24 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-08 14:59
btc updown 5m 1782141900	2	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	06-22 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-12 12:02
btc updown 5m 1782321600	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 17:24
btc updown 5m 1782320100	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 16:59
btc updown 5m 1782332100	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 20:19
btc updown 5m 1782139200	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-22 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 14:33
btc updown 5m 1782331800	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-24 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 16:04
btc updown 5m 1782483900	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-26 14:29
btc updown 5m 1782348900	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 00:59
btc updown 5m 1782357000	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	05-08 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-07 14:38
btc updown 5m 1782402000	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 15:44
btc updown 5m 1782402300	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-25 15:49
btc updown 5m 1782320700	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 17:29:16	btc updown 5m 1783099500	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8f1b7…
07-03 17:04:13	btc updown 5m 1783098000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfbb4ce…
07-03 16:49:46	btc updown 5m 1783097100	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x294aad…
07-03 16:49:17	btc updown 5m 1783097100	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x545469…
07-03 16:29:46	btc updown 5m 1783095900	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb6c2fe…
07-03 16:29:19	btc updown 5m 1783095900	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb49e1c…
07-03 16:24:23	btc updown 5m 1783095600	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee748d…
07-03 16:19:11	btc updown 5m 1783095300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x233354…
07-03 16:19:10	btc updown 5m 1783095300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfbf6e…
07-03 16:04:13	btc updown 5m 1783094400	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x858b1b…
07-03 15:59:47	btc updown 5m 1783094100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2be709…
07-03 15:59:14	btc updown 5m 1783094100	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbbeaa3…
07-03 15:44:23	btc updown 5m 1783093200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x273354…
07-03 15:39:44	btc updown 5m 1783092900	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5676c…
07-03 15:39:29	btc updown 5m 1783092900	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcc7676…
07-03 15:29:50	btc updown 5m 1783092300	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0aeef…
06-29 06:59:38	btc updown 5m 1782716100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb65386…
06-29 06:54:35	btc updown 5m 1782715800	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbedf3f…
06-29 06:54:22	btc updown 5m 1782715800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc4bd2…
06-29 06:24:40	btc updown 5m 1782714000	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e8801…
06-29 06:15:04	btc updown 5m 1782713400	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3eb8d9…
06-29 06:09:38	btc updown 5m 1782713100	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x92728a…
06-28 13:14:19	btc updown 5m 1782652200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x491fb9…
06-28 11:14:19	btc updown 5m 1782645000	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x88188c…
06-28 11:04:16	btc updown 5m 1782644400	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc08f44…
06-28 10:49:19	btc updown 5m 1782643500	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0d3784…
06-28 10:34:50	btc updown 5m 1782642600	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa81bc8…
06-28 07:14:49	btc updown 5m 1782630600	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8318aa…
06-28 07:04:14	btc updown 5m 1782630000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf74b7c…
06-26 16:36:07	btc updown 5m 1782491700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22db6f…
06-26 16:34:10	btc updown 5m 1782491400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0afde…
06-26 16:04:13	btc updown 5m 1782489600	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x503dbb…
06-26 15:54:22	btc updown 5m 1782489000	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd142bb…
06-26 15:49:19	btc updown 5m 1782488700	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf3ca4d…
06-26 15:34:56	btc updown 5m 1782487800	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7bea9f…
06-26 14:34:17	btc updown 5m 1782484200	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x1551f3…
06-26 14:29:46	btc updown 5m 1782483900	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1c5230…
06-26 14:29:17	btc updown 5m 1782483900	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe99b0b…
06-26 14:14:48	btc updown 5m 1782483000	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x35a07e…
06-26 14:04:46	btc updown 5m 1782482400	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x6cae59…
06-26 14:04:21	btc updown 5m 1782482400	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xcf78ce…
06-26 12:29:16	btc updown 5m 1782476700	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x51d207…
06-25 16:29:53	btc updown 5m 1782404700	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xb42f8d…
06-25 15:56:19	btc updown 5m 1782402900	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xced3d8…
06-25 15:54:11	btc updown 5m 1782402600	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xaca3e3…
06-25 15:54:08	btc updown 5m 1782402600	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xfd994c…
06-25 15:49:46	btc updown 5m 1782402300	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x0a8bf3…
06-25 15:49:11	btc updown 5m 1782402300	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x841a44…
06-25 15:44:47	btc updown 5m 1782402000	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xfa26fc…
06-25 15:44:17	btc updown 5m 1782402000	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xde3be9…
06-25 15:29:14	btc updown 5m 1782401100	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x611ad7…
06-25 04:14:55	btc updown 5m 1782360600	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x0dfc7f…
06-25 03:39:50	btc updown 5m 1782358500	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xd36164…
06-25 03:14:46	btc updown 5m 1782357000	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x0d0275…
06-25 03:14:16	btc updown 5m 1782357000	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xd25097…
06-25 02:04:55	btc updown 5m 1782352800	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x419ba1…
06-25 01:54:46	btc updown 5m 1782352200	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x428af0…
06-25 01:49:49	btc updown 5m 1782351900	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x93e2fe…
06-25 01:10:02	btc updown 5m 1782349500	Up	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0xcbd9a2…
06-25 01:04:29	btc updown 5m 1782349200	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x8a85bb…
06-25 00:59:46	btc updown 5m 1782348900	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x9c2248…
06-25 00:59:13	btc updown 5m 1782348900	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xa0c0fe…
06-25 00:49:49	btc updown 5m 1782348300	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x078792…
06-25 00:19:11	btc updown 5m 1782346500	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd787e0…
06-25 00:14:19	btc updown 5m 1782346200	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x788b3c…
06-24 23:49:49	btc updown 5m 1782344700	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe28355…
06-24 23:24:13	btc updown 5m 1782343200	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc08441…
06-24 22:34:49	btc updown 5m 1782340200	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xab9f55…
06-24 21:19:11	btc updown 5m 1782335700	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb74324…
06-24 21:19:08	btc updown 5m 1782335700	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x41b0a5…
06-24 21:14:47	btc updown 5m 1782335400	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x247f5e…
06-24 20:59:50	btc updown 5m 1782334500	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x8642a2…
06-24 20:54:28	btc updown 5m 1782334200	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x20ba79…
06-24 20:44:49	btc updown 5m 1782333600	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x4bed68…
06-24 20:39:47	btc updown 5m 1782333300	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x81ab4c…
06-24 20:39:13	btc updown 5m 1782333300	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xddf70f…
06-24 20:29:13	btc updown 5m 1782332700	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x066fed…
06-24 20:19:50	btc updown 5m 1782332100	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x1bb9cf…
06-24 20:19:13	btc updown 5m 1782332100	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x6f1718…
06-24 20:14:49	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x8a6593…
06-24 20:14:32	btc updown 5m 1782331800	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x3d28a1…
06-24 19:49:28	btc updown 5m 1782330300	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xf7c31a…
06-24 19:14:46	btc updown 5m 1782328200	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xeb9f4b…
06-24 19:14:14	btc updown 5m 1782328200	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x0a6f1d…
06-24 19:04:14	btc updown 5m 1782327600	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x094b67…
06-24 18:59:49	btc updown 5m 1782327300	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x122a20…
06-24 18:54:13	btc updown 5m 1782327000	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x11770c…
06-24 18:49:13	btc updown 5m 1782326700	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x2cd89d…
06-24 18:44:49	btc updown 5m 1782326400	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x3a67bc…
06-24 18:34:49	btc updown 5m 1782325800	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0xd76763…
06-24 18:29:25	btc updown 5m 1782325500	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xc204fa…
06-24 18:24:46	btc updown 5m 1782325200	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc41b79…
06-24 18:24:23	btc updown 5m 1782325200	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x071f08…
06-24 18:19:13	btc updown 5m 1782324900	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xe7191a…
06-24 17:44:13	btc updown 5m 1782322800	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe3abd4…
06-24 17:34:13	btc updown 5m 1782322200	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x70aab8…
06-24 17:24:47	btc updown 5m 1782321600	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x298feb…
06-24 17:24:40	btc updown 5m 1782321600	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x499bf2…
06-24 17:09:37	btc updown 5m 1782320700	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8463bc…
06-24 17:09:16	btc updown 5m 1782320700	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x46e843…