Notable-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

135

Trades

959

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-09 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	5	$5	4	2	+2	open	—	05-17 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-10 15:00
btc updown 5m 1781754600	5	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-18 03:54
btc updown 5m 1785942900	2	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	08-05 15:19
eth updown 15m 1784345400	3	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	07-18 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$3	4	1	+3	Down	+$1	05-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	$-3	05-13 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-16 18:14
btc updown 5m 1785342000	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-29 16:24
btc updown 5m 1785126900	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-27 04:39
btc updown 5m 1785244800	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-28 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$3	38	0	+38	Down	$-3	05-13 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-12 11:56
btc updown 5m 1785465900	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	07-31 02:49
btc updown 5m 1782325200	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-24 18:24
btc updown 5m 1785606600	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-01 17:54
btc updown 5m 1785640800	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-02 03:24
btc updown 5m 1782141900	2	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	06-22 15:29
btc updown 5m 1785742200	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-03 07:34
btc updown 5m 1785719100	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-03 01:09
btc updown 5m 1785732900	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-03 04:59
btc updown 5m 1785579300	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-01 10:19
btc updown 5m 1785745500	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-03 08:29
btc updown 5m 1785542400	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	08-01 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-08 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	05-12 12:02
btc updown 5m 1782321600	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 13:44:42	btc updown 5m 1786282800	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd819d…
08-09 13:34:39	btc updown 5m 1786282200	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9b46e…
08-07 08:19:45	btc updown 5m 1786090500	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x5de337…
08-06 20:04:42	btc updown 5m 1786046400	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe4bce6…
08-05 15:19:54	btc updown 5m 1785942900	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x684955…
08-05 15:19:45	btc updown 5m 1785942900	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x20f1cf…
08-05 14:14:47	btc updown 5m 1785939000	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xc01a67…
08-04 23:19:42	btc updown 5m 1785885300	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x5d7abe…
08-04 15:04:47	btc updown 5m 1785855600	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x39158f…
08-04 14:59:47	btc updown 5m 1785855300	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x2a6af8…
08-04 07:34:45	btc updown 5m 1785828600	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9baafd…
08-04 02:44:39	btc updown 5m 1785811200	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1cb592…
08-04 02:39:41	btc updown 5m 1785810900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8cf896…
08-03 23:19:42	btc updown 5m 1785798900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x977fd2…
08-03 16:14:39	btc updown 5m 1785773400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e385f…
08-03 15:44:39	btc updown 5m 1785771600	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd723b9…
08-03 14:19:41	btc updown 5m 1785766500	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d9f1a…
08-03 13:59:02	btc updown 5m 1785765300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb98043…
08-03 12:09:50	btc updown 5m 1785758700	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe5f2e1…
08-03 08:29:42	btc updown 5m 1785745500	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd2a8d5…
08-03 07:34:48	btc updown 5m 1785742200	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9d4c9f…
08-03 06:39:42	btc updown 5m 1785738900	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x397d93…
08-03 04:59:36	btc updown 5m 1785732900	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfaf607…
08-03 03:49:35	btc updown 5m 1785728700	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x238cb4…
08-03 01:09:44	btc updown 5m 1785719100	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x795d7b…
08-03 00:09:33	btc updown 5m 1785715500	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe9b049…
08-02 18:44:48	btc updown 5m 1785696000	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf16fa4…
08-02 03:24:45	btc updown 5m 1785640800	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x647bed…
08-01 17:54:42	btc updown 5m 1785606600	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x243a2e…
08-01 10:19:44	btc updown 5m 1785579300	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xba0149…
08-01 00:04:54	btc updown 5m 1785542400	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4d0363…
07-31 04:24:41	btc updown 5m 1785471600	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2e4634…
07-31 02:49:42	btc updown 5m 1785465900	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfae249…
07-30 04:39:53	btc updown 5m 1785386100	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xd48799…
07-30 02:59:45	btc updown 5m 1785380100	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd96f0d…
07-29 21:49:42	btc updown 5m 1785361500	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x32805a…
07-29 19:24:41	btc updown 5m 1785352800	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xea24bc…
07-29 19:14:41	btc updown 5m 1785352200	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x919da3…
07-29 16:24:56	btc updown 5m 1785342000	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3f93e0…
07-29 16:24:42	btc updown 5m 1785342000	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe7b930…
07-29 14:29:48	btc updown 5m 1785335100	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x39ac13…
07-29 14:19:47	btc updown 5m 1785334500	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc898e6…
07-28 13:44:41	btc updown 5m 1785246000	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x527cf9…
07-28 13:24:53	btc updown 5m 1785244800	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c43a5…
07-28 13:24:52	btc updown 5m 1785244800	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x26261a…
07-27 06:49:45	btc updown 5m 1785134700	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x68a7a2…
07-27 04:39:55	btc updown 5m 1785126900	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5d7c9f…
07-27 04:39:43	btc updown 5m 1785126900	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x40d28f…
07-27 00:39:40	btc updown 5m 1785112500	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbe7d77…
07-27 00:29:52	btc updown 5m 1785111900	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc7d588…
07-26 23:54:51	btc updown 5m 1785109800	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdbb68b…
07-26 16:34:43	btc updown 5m 1785083400	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x043063…
07-26 11:09:57	btc updown 5m 1785063900	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb418d8…
07-26 08:59:45	btc updown 5m 1785056100	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb28056…
07-25 05:59:57	btc updown 5m 1784958900	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb95196…
07-25 01:04:42	btc updown 5m 1784941200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bcd77…
07-22 14:16:01	eth updown 15m 1784729700	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x134b25…
07-22 14:14:25	btc updown 5m 1784729400	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2f6a6…
07-22 14:09:36	btc updown 5m 1784729100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1fc11c…
07-22 10:29:45	eth updown 15m 1784715300	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa94f1f…
07-22 05:44:45	eth updown 15m 1784698200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96daca…
07-22 05:19:13	btc updown 5m 1784697300	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3cdbae…
07-22 03:59:10	btc updown 5m 1784692500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe0fc70…
07-22 01:34:09	btc updown 5m 1784683800	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34ce59…
07-22 01:14:46	eth updown 15m 1784682000	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b279f…
07-22 00:44:52	eth updown 15m 1784680200	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fe7ff…
07-21 21:44:46	eth updown 15m 1784669400	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6967b3…
07-21 20:59:57	eth updown 15m 1784666700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ce774…
07-21 20:59:45	eth updown 15m 1784666700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x565860…
07-21 20:44:57	eth updown 15m 1784665800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x693297…
07-21 20:44:48	eth updown 15m 1784665800	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x294362…
07-21 18:49:13	btc updown 5m 1784659500	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa96d24…
07-21 17:49:13	btc updown 5m 1784655900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa79d2d…
07-21 17:44:45	eth updown 15m 1784655000	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x90bc38…
07-21 16:59:57	eth updown 15m 1784652300	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc126ba…
07-21 16:59:45	eth updown 15m 1784652300	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63a2aa…
07-21 15:39:15	btc updown 5m 1784648100	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9526e…
07-21 15:34:21	btc updown 5m 1784647800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x768c5d…
07-21 15:04:13	btc updown 5m 1784646000	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32568d…
07-21 10:29:57	eth updown 15m 1784628900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb90203…
07-21 10:29:52	eth updown 15m 1784628900	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x192341…
07-21 07:49:43	btc updown 5m 1784619900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd320dd…
07-21 05:29:58	eth updown 15m 1784610900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x299239…
07-21 05:29:58	eth updown 15m 1784610900	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1d2440…
07-21 03:44:46	eth updown 15m 1784604600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b82b9…
07-21 02:29:57	eth updown 15m 1784600100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4e4a6…
07-21 02:29:43	eth updown 15m 1784600100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d7eb5…
07-21 01:59:43	btc updown 5m 1784598900	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x45700f…
07-20 23:44:55	eth updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e3bc5…
07-20 23:44:48	eth updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf18639…
07-20 22:44:58	eth updown 15m 1784586600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6fee7…
07-20 22:29:57	eth updown 15m 1784585700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd72932…
07-20 22:29:45	eth updown 15m 1784585700	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89ce25…
07-20 18:59:55	eth updown 15m 1784573100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d7157…
07-20 18:59:45	eth updown 15m 1784573100	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e1325…
07-20 18:49:43	btc updown 5m 1784573100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0d9972…
07-20 17:44:43	eth updown 15m 1784568600	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfebf35…
07-20 16:09:42	btc updown 5m 1784563500	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd7377…
07-20 15:24:46	btc updown 5m 1784560800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f7eec…
07-20 03:14:51	eth updown 15m 1784516400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7adb9…